US Inflation Pressures Wall Street as Oil Surge Deepens Market Anxiety
US stock markets retreated on Tuesday after fresh inflation data reinforced concerns that price pressures in the American economy remain persistent, while soaring oil prices added to fears that the Federal Reserve may be forced to maintain tighter monetary policy for longer.
The pullback came after Wall Street had opened the week at record highs, supported by strong momentum in technology and artificial intelligence stocks.
The technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite fell 0.7%, while the S&P 500 declined 0.2% after both indices reached fresh all-time highs in the previous session. The Dow Jones Industrial Average managed to close marginally higher by around 0.1%.
Investor sentiment weakened after the latest US Consumer Price Index report showed headline inflation rising to 3.8% year-on-year in April, up from 3.3% in March and matching market expectations. However, core inflation — which excludes food and energy prices — climbed to 2.8% from 2.6%, exceeding expectations and marking its highest level since September.
The inflation figures significantly reduced expectations for near-term Federal Reserve rate cuts, particularly as energy prices continue to climb.
Ronald Temple, chief market strategist at Lazard, said the probability of a rate cut has now become increasingly unlikely, although markets still see limited chances of additional rate hikes despite accelerating inflation pressures.
Concerns also grew that the conflict involving Iran is beginning to directly affect the American consumer through higher gasoline and food prices. US gasoline prices reportedly climbed to roughly $4.50 per gallon, compared to around $4 during April, raising fears that inflation could accelerate further in the coming months.
Oil markets continued their aggressive rally after comments from US President Donald Trump rejecting Iran’s response to a proposed peace initiative increased fears of prolonged instability in the Middle East.
West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 2.8% to trade above $102 per barrel, while Brent crude climbed more than 3% to settle near $108 per barrel amid ongoing concerns surrounding global supply disruptions and shipping flows through the Strait of Hormuz.
Bond yields also moved higher, with the benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield rising to 4.46%, increasing pressure on equity valuations and tightening financial conditions for consumers and businesses alike.
In commodity markets, gold futures slipped 0.4% to around $4,710 per ounce despite persistent geopolitical tensions, while Bitcoin fell back toward the $80,800 level after briefly trading near $82,100 overnight.
Technology shares delivered mixed performances. NVIDIA gained 0.6% after reaching another record high during the session, continuing to benefit from strong investor demand linked to artificial intelligence.
However, semiconductor stocks broadly faced heavy selling pressure. Intel fell nearly 7%, while Micron Technology lost 3.6%. Qualcomm also dropped more than 11% amid aggressive profit-taking.
Elsewhere, GameStop declined 3.3% after eBay rejected the company’s proposed $56 billion takeover offer, describing it as unattractive and unreliable. eBay shares rose more than 2% following the news.
Retail and software shares also came under pressure. Under Armour plunged 17% after reporting weaker-than-expected guidance, while Hims & Hers Health fell 14% following a surprise quarterly loss. GitLab dropped over 10% after announcing job cuts aimed at accelerating its artificial intelligence expansion strategy.
Market Outlook
Global financial markets are expected to remain highly volatile in the near term as investors continue to assess the implications of rising inflation, elevated oil prices, and tightening financial conditions.
Attention is now turning toward the anticipated summit in Beijing between Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping, where trade, technology, energy security, and geopolitical tensions are expected to dominate discussions.
Markets are also closely monitoring the Senate vote regarding Kevin Warsh’s potential leadership of the Federal Reserve, as investors increasingly expect a more hawkish policy stance if inflation remains elevated.
If bond yields and oil prices continue to rise, equity markets — particularly technology and growth sectors — could face additional pressure in the sessions ahead. At the same time, energy and defense stocks may continue attracting investor interest as geopolitical tensions intensify.
Technology shares, especially semiconductor and artificial intelligence companies, are likely to remain highly sensitive to inflation expectations and changes in interest-rate outlooks over the coming weeks.
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