VST

Vistra
D

VST

Arincen63/100B

If you had invested in Vistra ago, it would be worth $12,524 today, against $4,096 in SPY and $6,368 in QQQ.

ArincenArincen ScoreBeta

63/100

Six parts of the company, five checks each, from its own reported figures. A part scores the checks it passes out of 10; the score is their average out of 100.

Profitability6

Plus shows the checks behind each part of the score, what passed, what failed and the figure it read, for every stock.

Cash2

Plus shows the checks behind each part of the score, what passed, what failed and the figure it read, for every stock.

Valuation10

Plus shows the checks behind each part of the score, what passed, what failed and the figure it read, for every stock.

Growth10

Plus shows the checks behind each part of the score, what passed, what failed and the figure it read, for every stock.

Financial strength4

Plus shows the checks behind each part of the score, what passed, what failed and the figure it read, for every stock.

Shareholders6

Plus shows the checks behind each part of the score, what passed, what failed and the figure it read, for every stock.

Figures to FY2025; the price as of today.

Vistra key facts

Style
Growth stock · 10.0/10Growth 10.0 · Value 7.6 · Dividend 1.8
Day range
131.580 – 135.380
52-week range
110.890 – 189.290
Market capitalization
44.67B USD
P/E
17.60
PEG ratio
0.36
EPS
7.48
Div Yield
0.70%
EPS growth forecast (FY2026)
+293.7%
Volume
22,612
Beta
1.38
ESG score
70.6/100Environment 71 · Social 70 · Governance 71
Sector
Utilities
Industry
Independent Power Producers
CEO
James A. Burke
Employees
6K
IPO date
5 Oct 2016

Vistra earnings

Next earnings · Q4 FY2026
EPS estimate
2.11 USD
Revenue estimate
5.93B USD
Last quarter · Q3 FY2026
EPS3.23Beat +8.4%Revenue6.35BBeat +5.2%

Revenue

ReportedEstimate

EPS

ReportedEstimate
PeriodReport dateEPS estimateReported EPSSurpriseEPS growthRevenue estimateReported revenueSurpriseRevenue growth
Q4 FY20262.11——+288.58%5.93B——+29.42%
Q3 FY20262.983.23+8.39%+84.57%6.03B6.35B+5.23%+27.68%
Q2 FY20261.610.77-52.17%-4.94%5.46B4.02B-26.49%-5.48%
Q1 FY20261.322.87+117.42%—5.22B5.64B+8.13%+9.07%
Q4 FY20252.310.54-76.49%-52.37%5.79B4.58B-20.82%-37.73%
Q3 FY20252.081.75-15.87%-67.59%6.11B4.97B-18.70%-20.94%
Q2 FY20250.880.81-7.43%-10.00%4.74B4.25B-10.42%+15.24%

Analysts' estimates for FY2026 over the last 7 days:EPS Revenue How the estimates moved

Vistra analyst forecast

12-month price target
196.76 USD
+49.49%

Analysts' 1-year price targets range from 169.00 to 255.00, with an average of 196.76.

Past year
1-year forecast
Strong sellStrong buy
Strong buy
12 ratings
Buy
11
Hold
1
Sell
0

12-month price target

Highest target255.00
Average target196.76
Lowest target169.00
Current price131.62

Vistra valuation

Price to earnings ratio (TTM)
17.60
Forward P/E (FY2026)
15.38
Price to sales (TTM)
2.17
Price to book
7.08
EV / EBITDA (TTM)
8.40

Capital structure

Market capitalization
44.67B USD
+
Total debt
21.15B USD
−
Cash and short-term investments
2.74B USD
=
Enterprise value
63.07B USD

Valuation over time

P/EForward P/EForward P/E · EstimateEstimate
Fiscal yearP/EForward P/EP/SP/BEV/EBITDA
FY2028 (est.)11.64————
FY2027 (est.)13.1111.64———
FY2026 (est.)15.3813.11———
Now (TTM)17.6013.372.177.088.40
FY202572.6718.863.0810.7114.15
FY202419.2628.842.768.539.10
FY202310.616.600.962.685.56
FY2022-7.125.840.712.0021.62
FY2021-8.46—0.911.3226.42

Vistra against its own history

Each figure in the latest fiscal year against the same figure from FY2021 to FY2025: the range, its median (the line) and the latest (the dot, green on the good side of the median). The P/E is today's against its daily readings of five years.

Its peers: NRG Energy, Constellation Energy, and Talen Energy, the US Independent Power Producers companies closest to it in size, each in its own latest fiscal year: their median (the line) and its rank among them, first being the best.

  • Gross marginAt its median32.9%
    11.2%43.7%
    Against its peers: 2 of 4Peers' median 21.8%
  • Operating marginAt its median10.7%
    -12.5%23.7%
    Against its peers: 2 of 4Peers' median 6.0%
  • Net marginAt its median5.3%
    -10.5%15.4%
    Against its peers: 2 of 4Peers' median 2.8%
  • Return on equityAt its median18.5%
    -25.0%47.7%
    Against its peers: 2 of 4Peers' median 16.0%
  • Free cash flow marginAt its median0.7%
    -10.3%25.6%
    Against its peers: 4 of 4Peers' median 5.0%
  • Revenue growthLowest in 5 years3.0%
    3.0%16.5%
    Against its peers: 4 of 4Peers' median 9.2%
  • EPS growthAt its median-68.9%
    -306.9%95.5%
    Against its peers: 3 of 4Peers' median -37.8%
  • Debt to EBITDAAt its median3.88×
    2.48×14.08×
    Against its peers: 2 of 4Peers' median 5.10×
  • Current ratioLowest in 5 years0.78
    0.781.35
    Against its peers: 4 of 4Peers' median 1.53

Peers: US companies of the same industry (of its sector when the industry has too few) from a tenth to ten times its market value, the six closest in size. Updated weekly.

Vistra growth and profitability

Revenue (TTM)
20.59B USD
Net income (TTM)
2.71B USD
Gross margin
41.22%
Operating margin
20.56%
Net margin
13.15%

Revenue / Net income

Revenue Net income Net margin
PeriodRevenueGrowthNet incomeGrowthGross marginOperating marginNet marginEBITDAGrowth
FY202517.74B+2.98%944.00M-64.50%32.89%10.75%5.32%5.25B-24.95%
FY202417.22B+16.54%2.66B+78.10%43.69%23.69%15.44%7.00B+53.03%
FY202314.78B+7.66%1.49B—37.35%18.01%10.10%4.57B+335.94%
FY202213.73B+13.67%-1.23B—12.25%-8.57%-8.94%1.05B+34.14%
FY202112.08B+5.54%-1.27B-300.31%11.17%-12.54%-10.55%782.00M-76.89%

Vistra revenue breakdown

By product

FY2025
Retail: 51.0%East: 23.1%Texas: 18.1%Revenue From Other Wholesale Contracts: 7.8%51.0%Retail23.1%East18.1%Texas7.8%Revenue From Other Wholesale Contracts
SegmentRevenueShare of revenueChange on the year
Retail8.97B51.0%+11.2%
East4.06B23.1%+12.9%
Texas3.19B18.1%+61.2%
Revenue From Other Wholesale Contracts1.37B7.8%+22.2%

By region

FY2025
East: 95.0%West: 5.0%95.0%East5.0%West
RegionRevenueShare of revenueChange on the year
East6.17B95.0%+9.1%
West328.00M5.0%-62.6%

How Vistra makes its money

Retail8.97B 50.5%
East4.06B 22.9%
Texas3.19B 18.0%
Revenue From Other Wholesale Contracts1.37B 7.7%
Revenue17.74B 100.0%
Cost of revenue11.90B 67.1%
Gross profit5.83B 32.9%
Selling and administration1.71B 9.7%
Other operating expenses2.21B 12.5%
Operating income1.91B 10.7%
Tax179.00M 1.0%
Other expense783.00M 4.4%
Net income944.00M 5.3%

FY2025, in USD. Each band is as wide as its money; the percentage is its share of revenue.

Vistra dividends

Annual dividend
0.92 USD
Dividend yield (indicated)
0.70%
Payout ratio
15.31%
Years of dividend growth
7
Frequency
Quarterly
Next payment
0.23 USD
Next ex-dividend date
22 Dec 2026
Next payment date
31 Dec 2026

Dividends per share

Year20252024202320222021202020192016
Dividends per share0.900.870.820.720.600.540.502.32

Vistra financial health

Cash and short-term investments
2.74B USD
Total debt
21.15B USD
Net cash
-18.40B USD
Free cash flow (TTM)
1.93B USD
Current ratio
1.16
Debt to equity
3.35
Piotroski score
8 / 9
Altman Z-score
1.59

Cash, debt and free cash flow

Cash and short-term investments Total debt Free cash flow
Fiscal yearCash and short-term investmentsTotal debtFree cash flow
FY2025816.00M20.40B129.00M
FY20241.19B17.36B2.49B
FY20233.49B14.68B3.78B
FY2022455.00M13.34B-816.00M
FY20211.33B11.01B-1.24B

Vistra ownership

Institutions
84.51%
Institutional holders
1,522 (+102)
Free float
93.32%

Who owns the shares

Institutions 84.5% Others 15.5%
As of 30 Jun 2026

Shares free to trade

Free float 316.72M shares ·93.3% Closely held 22.67M shares ·6.7%

Closely held shares belong to insiders, founders and owners of more than 5%, and seldom change hands. The free float is the rest: the shares anyone can buy and sell.

Insider trading

QuarterPurchasesSalesShares acquiredShares disposed of
Q4 2026020.0042.22K
Q3 2026348.67K64.44K
Q2 20260813.42K56.59K
Q1 202601932.85K412.81K

Shares outstanding

Basic shares Diluted shares Change in diluted shares
Fiscal yearBasic sharesDiluted sharesChange in diluted shares
FY2025339.12M345.66M-1.96%
FY2024344.79M352.57M-6.03%
FY2023369.77M375.19M-11.19%
FY2022422.45M422.45M-12.39%
FY2021482.21M482.21M-1.81%

Source: Financial Modeling Prep

Related Instruments News

Title: Vistra Corp

Sector: Utilities
Industry: Independent Power Producers
Vistra Corp. is one of the largest power producers and retail energy providers in the US. It owns 44 gigawatts of generation capacity, including natural gas (27 GW), nuclear (6.5 GW), coal (8.7 GW), and solar and battery storage (1.3 GW). The Cogentrix acquisition will add 5.5 GW of gas generation. Vistra's retail electricity business serves 5 million customers in 20 states, including almost a third of all Texas electricity consumers. Vistra emerged from the Energy Future Holdings bankruptcy as a stand-alone entity in 2016.

Common questions about Vistra stock