63/100BVistra stock forecast 2026–2030What is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
Analysts' average 12-month price target for Vistra is 196.76, 50.0% above the current price of 131.15. Their targets range from 169.00 to 255.00.
Of the 12 firms that rated Vistra in the past 12 months, 11 rate it buy or strong buy, 1 hold and 0 sell or strong sell (each firm at its latest rating): a Strong buy consensus.
Analysts' 1-year price targets range from 169.00 to 255.00, with an average of 196.76.
| Buy | 11 | |
| Hold | 1 | |
| Sell | 0 |
12-month price target
| Highest target | 255.00 |
| Average target | 196.76 |
| Lowest target | 169.00 |
| Current price | 131.15 |
Vistra price target historyWhat is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
Have analysts recently raised or lowered their Vistra price target and rating?
How analysts rate Vistra, month by monthWhat is the analyst rating? The analyst rating sums up what the analysts covering a stock recommend, from strong buy to strong sell, by the share of them rating it a buy.
11 of 12 firms rate it buy now, against 7 of 9 in December 2025.
Each month: every firm at its latest rating from the 12 months before. Strong buys count as buys, strong sells as sells.
Vistra analyst upgrades, downgrades and price targets
The latest rating change came on 4 November 2026, when Keybanc downgraded Vistra from Overweight to Sector Weight. The most recent new target came from Scotiabank on 9 November 2026: 169.00.
| Date | Firm | Rating | Price target | Change | Price then |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2026 | Scotiabank Andrew Weisel | Reiterated · Sector Outperform | 189.00 → 169.00 | -10.6% | 124.80 |
| 4 Nov 2026 | Keybanc | Downgraded · Overweight → Sector Weight | — | — | — |
| 28 Oct 2026 | CIBC | Reiterated · Outperform | 181.00 | — | 144.05 |
| 28 Oct 2026 | Scotiabank | Reiterated · Sector Outperform | 298.00 → 189.00 | -36.6% | 144.09 |
| 27 Oct 2026 | Truist Financial | — | 194.00 | — | 141.73 |
| 27 Oct 2026 | Lake Street | — | 194.00 | — | 141.73 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | HSBC | — | 190.00 | — | 156.14 |
| 21 Oct 2026 | Raymond James | — | 208.00 → 176.00 | -15.4% | 154.98 |
| 21 Oct 2026 | UBS | — | 227.00 → 176.00 | -22.5% | 150.32 |
| 5 Oct 2026 | BMO Capital | Reiterated · Outperform | 241.00 → 210.00 | -12.9% | 144.85 |
| 2 Oct 2026 | Williams Trading | — | 202.00 | — | 139.75 |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Bernstein Sunaina Ocalan | Reiterated · Outperform | 187.00 → 181.00 | -3.2% | 138.37 |
| 24 Aug 2026 | Mizuho Securities Anthony Crowdell | — | 169.00 | — | 136.21 |
| 19 Aug 2026 | BNP Paribas | — | 255.00 | — | 141.38 |
| 12 Aug 2026 | Goldman Sachs | — | 205.00 → 206.00 | +0.5% | 147.25 |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Wells Fargo Shahriar Pourreza | — | 236.00 → 212.00 | -10.2% | 140.59 |
| 28 Jul 2026 | UBS William Appicelli | Reiterated · Buy | 233.00 → 227.00 | -2.6% | 150.70 |
| 15 Jul 2026 | Scotiabank | Reiterated · Sector Outperform | 293.00 → 298.00 | +1.7% | 159.23 |
| 24 Jun 2026 | Morgan Stanley David Arcaro | — | 212.00 → 210.00 | -0.9% | 164.26 |
| 16 Jun 2026 | Bernstein Sunaina Ocalan | — | 187.00 | — | 158.61 |
| 15 Jun 2026 | Seaport Global | — | 232.00 → 230.00 | -0.9% | 153.93 |
| 21 May 2026 | Morgan Stanley | — | 208.00 → 212.00 | +1.9% | 148.51 |
| 21 May 2026 | Jefferies Julien Dumoulin-Smith | — | 203.00 → 190.00 | -6.4% | 144.00 |
| 27 Apr 2026 | Raymond James | — | 208.00 | — | 163.61 |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Morgan Stanley David Arcaro | — | 215.00 → 208.00 | -3.3% | 156.31 |
| 2 Mar 2026 | BMO Capital James Thalacker | — | 244.00 → 241.00 | -1.2% | 172.43 |
| 20 Feb 2026 | Morgan Stanley David Arcaro | — | 227.00 → 215.00 | -5.3% | 171.40 |
| 10 Feb 2026 | Jefferies Julien Dumoulin-Smith | Upgraded · Hold → Buy | 241.00 → 203.00 | -15.8% | 152.97 |
| 6 Feb 2026 | Goldman Sachs Carly Davenport | — | 134.00 → 205.00 | +53.0% | 143.07 |
| 21 Jan 2026 | Morgan Stanley | — | 228.00 → 227.00 | -0.4% | 156.60 |
| 20 Jan 2026 | Wells Fargo Shahriar Pourreza | Reiterated · Overweight | 238.00 → 236.00 | -0.8% | 166.60 |
| 12 Jan 2026 | Scotiabank Andrew Weisel | Reiterated · Sector Outperform | 256.00 → 293.00 | +14.5% | 176.29 |
| 12 Jan 2026 | UBS William Appicelli | Reiterated · Buy | 233.00 | — | 174.57 |
| 12 Jan 2026 | BMO Capital James Thalacker | Reiterated · Outperform | 230.00 → 244.00 | +6.1% | 166.37 |
| 6 Jan 2026 | Seaport Global | — | 242.00 → 232.00 | -4.1% | 166.80 |
| 6 Jan 2026 | BMO Capital James Thalacker | Reiterated · Outperform | 236.00 → 230.00 | -2.5% | 162.93 |
| 16 Dec 2025 | Morgan Stanley David Arcaro | — | 225.00 → 228.00 | +1.3% | 172.72 |
| 24 Nov 2025 | KeyBanc | — | 217.00 | — | 175.14 |
| 20 Nov 2025 | Morgan Stanley | — | 223.00 → 225.00 | +0.9% | 176.40 |
Vistra EPS and revenue estimatesWhat are estimate revisions? Estimate revisions are the changes analysts make to their EPS and revenue forecasts for the years ahead. They show whether expectations are rising or falling.
Revenue
EPS
Does Vistra beat earnings estimates?What is an earnings surprise? An earnings surprise is how far a company's reported EPS or revenue came above or below the analysts' average estimate, in percent.
On average, analysts' EPS estimate was 208.7% off the result, either way, and their revenue estimate 19.2%, over the last 12 quarters.
- EPS beats
- 11 / 39
- Revenue beats
- 13 / 39
- Average EPS surprise, last 12What is an earnings surprise? An earnings surprise is how far a company's reported EPS or revenue came above or below the analysts' average estimate, in percent.
- -123.7%
- Since
- May 2017
| Quarter | Report date | EPS estimate | Reported EPS | Surprise | Revenue estimate | Reported revenue | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 FY2026 | 6 Nov 2026 | 2.98 | 3.23 | +8.4% | 6.03B | 6.35B | +5.2% |
| Q2 FY2026 | 7 Aug 2026 | 1.61 | 0.77 | -52.2% | 5.46B | 4.02B | -26.5% |
| Q1 FY2026 | 7 May 2026 | 1.32 | 2.87 | +117.4% | 5.22B | 5.64B | +8.1% |
| Q4 FY2025 | 26 Feb 2026 | 2.31 | 0.54 | -76.5% | 5.79B | 4.58B | -20.8% |
| Q3 FY2025 | 6 Nov 2025 | 2.08 | 1.75 | -15.9% | 6.11B | 4.97B | -18.7% |
| Q2 FY2025 | 6 Aug 2025 | 0.88 | 0.81 | -7.4% | 4.74B | 4.25B | -10.4% |
| Q1 FY2025 | 8 May 2025 | 0.54 | -0.93 | -273.5% | 4.55B | 5.17B | +13.7% |
| Q4 FY2024 | 27 Feb 2025 | 0.85 | 1.14 | +34.1% | 3.91B | 7.36B | +88.1% |
| Q3 FY2024 | 7 Nov 2024 | 1.20 | 5.40 | +350.0% | 5.01B | 6.29B | +25.4% |
| Q2 FY2024 | 8 Aug 2024 | 1.38 | 0.90 | -34.8% | 3.96B | 3.69B | -7.0% |
| Q1 FY2024 | 9 May 2024 | 0.62 | 0.23 | -62.8% | 2.92B | 2.79B | -4.5% |
| Q4 FY2023 | 28 Feb 2024 | -0.04 | -0.55 | -1,471.4% | 3.47B | 3.39B | -2.3% |
Vistra stock price 2026–2030: scenariosHow are the stock price scenarios calculated? Bear, base and bull prices for the years ahead: the analysts' EPS estimates times the lowest, average and highest P/E of the stock today and at its last five year ends, or of its peers.
If Vistra's earnings grow at the 73.3% a year analysts expect to FY2028, then 15.0% a year, it would earn about 14.96 a share in FY2030. At the P/E it has traded at over the last five years (10.6 to 19.3) that is 158.72 to 288.02 a share, or 236.33 at its average P/E of 15.8. This is arithmetic on the analysts' estimates, not a prediction.
| Fiscal year | EPS | Bear | Base | Bull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | 8.56 | 90.79 | 135.19 | 164.75 |
| FY2027 | 10.04 | 106.55 | 158.65 | 193.35 |
| FY2028 | 11.31 | 120.02 | 178.70 | 217.78 |
| FY2029 (extrapolated) | 13.01 | 138.02 | 205.51 | 250.45 |
| FY2030 (extrapolated) | 14.96 | 158.72 | 236.33 | 288.02 |
Each year's EPS is the analysts' consensus to FY2028; the years after grow 15.0% a year (the analysts' growth, at most 15%). Bear, base and bull apply the lowest, average and highest P/E of today and the last five fiscal year ends, leaving out any above 60, the mark of a year of collapsed earnings (10.6, 15.8, 19.3).
Most undervalued US stocksHow does Arincen work out a stock's fair value? Fair value is our estimate of a share's price at the P/E the company usually trades at, with a low to high range around it.
| Stock | Price | Fair value | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35.850 | 71.4258Price 35.85193 | +99.2% | |
| 29.050 | 56.2634Price 29.0596 | +93.7% | |
| 241.000 | 464.49205Price 241.00627 | +92.7% | |
| 123.590 | 237.24178Price 123.59297 | +92.0% | |
| 161.400 | 305.52159Price 161.40396 | +89.3% | |
| 157.460 | 297.58169Price 157.46471 | +89.0% | |
| 217.560 | 405.38304Price 217.56507 | +86.3% |
Furthest below the fair value on each stock's page, updated every day.