80/100BJohnson Controls International stock forecast 2027–2031What is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
Analysts' average 12-month price target for Johnson Controls International is 178.11, 28.5% above the current price of 138.62. Their targets range from 165.00 to 200.00.
Of the 13 firms that rated Johnson Controls International in the past 12 months, 6 rate it buy or strong buy, 6 hold and 1 sell or strong sell (each firm at its latest rating): a Hold consensus.
Analysts' 1-year price targets range from 165.00 to 200.00, with an average of 178.11.
| Buy | 6 | |
| Hold | 6 | |
| Sell | 1 |
12-month price target
| Highest target | 200.00 |
| Average target | 178.11 |
| Lowest target | 165.00 |
| Current price | 138.62 |
Johnson Controls International price target historyWhat is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
Have analysts recently raised or lowered their Johnson Controls International price target and rating?
How analysts rate Johnson Controls International, month by monthWhat is the analyst rating? The analyst rating sums up what the analysts covering a stock recommend, from strong buy to strong sell, by the share of them rating it a buy.
6 of 13 firms rate it buy now, against 7 of 15 in December 2025.
Each month: every firm at its latest rating from the 12 months before. Strong buys count as buys, strong sells as sells.
Johnson Controls International analyst upgrades, downgrades and price targets
| Date | Firm | Rating | Price target | Change | Price then |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 | Evercore ISI | Reiterated · In Line | 170.00 | — | 159.21 |
| 28 Oct 2026 | Robert W. Baird | — | 132.00 → 172.00 | +30.3% | 155.88 |
| 28 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Reiterated · Overweight | 186.00 → 200.00 | +7.5% | 155.88 |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Mizuho Securities | Reiterated · Neutral | 130.00 → 165.00 | +26.9% | 152.44 |
| 24 Sept 2026 | Wells Fargo | — | 186.00 | — | 145.36 |
| 2 Sept 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Reiterated · Overweight | 175.00 → 180.00 | +2.9% | 138.46 |
| 14 Aug 2026 | Bernstein | Reiterated · Outperform | 176.00 → 190.00 | +8.0% | 152.36 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Argus Research John Eade | — | 175.00 | — | 154.55 |
| 9 Jun 2026 | Bernstein | — | 176.00 | — | 147.75 |
| 9 Jun 2026 | Morgan Stanley Chris Snyder | Reiterated · Overweight | 140.00 → 175.00 | +25.0% | 144.05 |
| 3 Jun 2026 | Wolfe Research | — | 171.00 | — | 141.99 |
| 2 Jun 2026 | UBS Amit Mehrotra | Reiterated · Buy | 124.00 → 180.00 | +45.2% | 141.26 |
| 7 May 2026 | RBC Capital | Reiterated · Sector Perform | 140.00 → 154.00 | +10.0% | 139.13 |
| 7 May 2026 | Barclays Julian Mitchell | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 136.00 → 144.00 | +5.9% | 143.14 |
| 11 Mar 2026 | Morgan Stanley Christopher Snyder | Reiterated · Overweight | 130.00 → 140.00 | +7.7% | 134.99 |
| 5 Feb 2026 | RBC Capital Deane Dray | Reiterated · Sector Perform | 140.00 | — | 131.97 |
| 5 Feb 2026 | Mizuho Securities | Reiterated · Neutral | 130.00 | — | 131.39 |
| 5 Feb 2026 | Goldman Sachs | — | 142.00 → 154.00 | +8.5% | 129.49 |
| 5 Feb 2026 | Robert W. Baird | — | 132.00 | — | 129.49 |
| 5 Feb 2026 | Barclays | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 125.00 → 136.00 | +8.8% | 129.49 |
| 13 Jan 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Reiterated · Overweight | 130.00 | — | 111.51 |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Melius Research Scott Davis | — | 148.00 | — | 113.95 |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Barclays | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 90.00 → 125.00 | +38.9% | 113.95 |
Johnson Controls International EPS and revenue estimatesWhat are estimate revisions? Estimate revisions are the changes analysts make to their EPS and revenue forecasts for the years ahead. They show whether expectations are rising or falling.
Analysts expect Johnson Controls International's EPS to grow 21.6% a year until 2029. Over the last 5 years it grew 15.6% a year, and over the last 3 years 20.3%.
Analysts expect Johnson Controls International's revenue to grow 8.9% a year until 2029, faster than over the last 5 years (1.6% a year) and the last 3 years (4.7%).
Revenue
EPS
Does Johnson Controls International beat earnings estimates?What is an earnings surprise? An earnings surprise is how far a company's reported EPS or revenue came above or below the analysts' average estimate, in percent.
On average, analysts' EPS estimate was 5.0% off the result, either way, and their revenue estimate 6.3%, over the last 12 quarters.
- EPS beats
- 107 / 136
- Revenue beats
- 75 / 120
- Average EPS surprise, last 12What is an earnings surprise? An earnings surprise is how far a company's reported EPS or revenue came above or below the analysts' average estimate, in percent.
- +5.0%
- Since
- January 1993
| Quarter | Report date | EPS estimate | Reported EPS | Surprise | Revenue estimate | Reported revenue | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 FY2026 | 27 Oct 2026 | 1.59 | 1.66 | +4.4% | 7.04B | 7.11B | +1.0% |
| Q3 FY2026 | 29 Jul 2026 | 1.30 | 1.42 | +9.2% | 6.46B | 6.61B | +2.3% |
| Q2 FY2026 | 6 May 2026 | 1.12 | 1.19 | +6.2% | 6.08B | 6.14B | +1.1% |
| Q1 FY2026 | 4 Feb 2026 | 0.84 | 0.89 | +5.8% | 5.64B | 5.80B | +2.8% |
| Q4 FY2025 | 5 Nov 2025 | 1.20 | 1.26 | +5.0% | 6.33B | 6.44B | +1.8% |
| Q3 FY2025 | 29 Jul 2025 | 1.01 | 1.05 | +4.0% | 5.99B | 6.05B | +1.0% |
| Q2 FY2025 | 7 May 2025 | 0.79 | 0.82 | +4.1% | 5.63B | 5.68B | +0.7% |
| Q1 FY2025 | 5 Feb 2025 | 0.59 | 0.64 | +8.5% | 5.29B | 5.43B | +2.6% |
| Q4 FY2024 | 6 Nov 2024 | 1.24 | 1.28 | +3.2% | 7.32B | 2.93B | -60.0% |
| Q3 FY2024 | 31 Jul 2024 | 1.08 | 1.14 | +5.6% | 7.34B | 7.23B | -1.5% |
| Q2 FY2024 | 1 May 2024 | 0.75 | 0.78 | +3.4% | 6.71B | 6.70B | -0.2% |
| Q1 FY2024 | 30 Jan 2024 | 0.51 | 0.51 | 0.0% | 6.12B | 6.09B | -0.5% |
Johnson Controls International stock price 2027–2031: scenariosHow are the stock price scenarios calculated? Bear, base and bull prices for the years ahead: the analysts' EPS estimates times the lowest, average and highest P/E of the stock today and at its last five year ends, or of its peers.
If Johnson Controls International's earnings grow at the 17.7% a year analysts expect to FY2029, then 15.0% a year, it would earn about 11.12 a share in FY2031. At the P/E it has traded at over the last five years (19.7 to 41.6) that is 219.13 to 463.08 a share, or 325.14 at its average P/E of 29.2. This is arithmetic on the analysts' estimates, not a prediction.
| Fiscal year | EPS | Bear | Base | Bull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2027 | 6.30 | 124.21 | 184.30 | 262.49 |
| FY2028 | 7.43 | 146.48 | 217.35 | 309.56 |
| FY2029 | 8.41 | 165.69 | 245.86 | 350.16 |
| FY2030 (extrapolated) | 9.67 | 190.54 | 282.73 | 402.68 |
| FY2031 (extrapolated) | 11.12 | 219.13 | 325.14 | 463.08 |
Each year's EPS is the analysts' consensus to FY2029; the years after grow 15.0% a year (the analysts' growth, at most 15%). Bear, base and bull apply the lowest, average and highest P/E of today and the last five fiscal year ends, leaving out any above 60, the mark of a year of collapsed earnings (19.7, 29.2, 41.6).
Is Johnson Controls International stock undervalued or overvalued?How does Arincen work out a stock's fair value? Fair value is our estimate of a share's price at the P/E the company usually trades at, with a low to high range around it.
Johnson Controls International's P/E of 29.6 is around the middle of its 5-year range (16.0 to 44.0, median 28.7). It is in line with its own history. Buyers pay less for each point of growth than usual: a PEG of 1.4 on expected growth against 1.8 on its median P/E and past five years' growth. At its usual P/E (29.4 × EPS of 3.91), Johnson Controls International's fair value is 114.80; the price, 138.62, is 20.8% above it. The EPS is without 0.78 a share of one-off gains in its other income, which the business does not repeat. Its forward P/E, on the consensus for FY2027, is 22.0.
Fair value is the usual (median) P/E of the last five years times the earnings per share of the last twelve months; the ends of the bar are the same earnings at its lowest and highest P/E of those years (16.0 and 40.5). The price against its P/E range
- Price to earnings ratio (TTM)What is the P/E ratio? The P/E ratio divides a share's price by its earnings per share over the last year: what you pay for each dollar of profit.
- 29.56
- Five-year median P/EWhat is the P/E ratio? The P/E ratio divides a share's price by its earnings per share over the last year: what you pay for each dollar of profit.
- 28.67
- Five-year P/E range
- 16.0 – 44.0
- Forward P/E (FY2027)What is the forward P/E ratio? Forward P/E divides a share's price by the earnings per share analysts expect in the coming year, rather than last year's actual earnings.
- 21.99
- PEG ratioWhat is the PEG ratio? The PEG ratio divides the P/E by the yearly earnings growth analysts expect, to show how much you pay for each point of growth.
- 1.67
- To the average targetWhat is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
- +28.5%
Most undervalued US stocksHow does Arincen work out a stock's fair value? Fair value is our estimate of a share's price at the P/E the company usually trades at, with a low to high range around it.
| Stock | Price | Fair value | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35.850 | 71.4258Price 35.85193 | +99.2% | |
| 29.050 | 56.2634Price 29.0596 | +93.7% | |
| 241.000 | 464.49205Price 241.00627 | +92.7% | |
| 123.590 | 237.24178Price 123.59297 | +92.0% | |
| 161.400 | 305.52159Price 161.40396 | +89.3% | |
| 157.460 | 297.58169Price 157.46471 | +89.0% | |
| 217.560 | 405.38304Price 217.56507 | +86.3% |
Furthest below the fair value on each stock's page, updated every day.