WCN

Waste Connections
D

WCN

Arincen73/100B

If you had invested in Waste Connections ago, it would be worth $4,241 today, against $4,096 in SPY and $6,368 in QQQ.

ArincenArincen ScoreBeta

73/100

Six parts of the company, five checks each, from its own reported figures. A part scores the checks it passes out of 10; the score is their average out of 100.

Profitability6

Plus shows the checks behind each part of the score, what passed, what failed and the figure it read, for every stock.

Cash10

Plus shows the checks behind each part of the score, what passed, what failed and the figure it read, for every stock.

Valuation6

Plus shows the checks behind each part of the score, what passed, what failed and the figure it read, for every stock.

Growth10

Plus shows the checks behind each part of the score, what passed, what failed and the figure it read, for every stock.

Financial strength4

Plus shows the checks behind each part of the score, what passed, what failed and the figure it read, for every stock.

Shareholders8

Plus shows the checks behind each part of the score, what passed, what failed and the figure it read, for every stock.

Figures to FY2025; the price as of today.

Waste Connections key facts

Style
Blend stock · 5.2/10Growth 5.2 · Value 3.6 · Dividend 3.1
Day range
194.000 – 196.500
52-week range
146.890 – 196.500
Market capitalization
49.01B USD
P/E
43.93
PEG ratio
3.17
EPS
4.46
Div Yield
0.79%
EPS growth forecast (FY2026)
+9.4%
Volume
14,316
Beta
0.48
ESG score
54.8/100Environment 48 · Social 51 · Governance 66
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Waste Management
CEO
Ronald J. Mittelstaedt
Employees
24K
IPO date
22 May 1998

Waste Connections earnings

Next earnings · Q4 FY2026
EPS estimate
1.40 USD
Revenue estimate
2.48B USD
Last quarter · Q3 FY2026
EPS1.58Beat +3.9%Revenue2.60BBeat +0.1%

Revenue

ReportedEstimate

EPS

ReportedEstimate
PeriodReport dateEPS estimateReported EPSSurpriseEPS growthRevenue estimateReported revenueSurpriseRevenue growth
Q3 FY20281.81———2.88B———
Q2 FY20281.67———2.81B———
Q1 FY20281.47———2.63B———
Q4 FY20261.40——+8.53%2.48B——+5.73%
Q3 FY20261.521.58+3.95%+9.72%2.60B2.60B+0.05%+5.77%
Q2 FY20261.351.50+11.11%+16.28%2.51B2.54B+1.12%+3.83%
Q1 FY20261.191.23+3.36%+8.85%2.32B2.33B+0.33%+4.62%
Q4 FY20251.281.29+0.78%+11.21%2.38B2.35B-1.28%+3.98%
Q3 FY20251.381.44+4.35%+6.67%2.37B2.46B+3.73%+5.13%
Q2 FY20251.251.29+3.20%+4.03%2.49B2.45B-1.58%+8.85%

Analysts' estimates for FY2026 over the last 7 days:EPS Revenue How the estimates moved

Waste Connections analyst forecast

12-month price target
201.33 USD
+2.77%

Analysts' 1-year price targets range from 189.00 to 215.00, with an average of 201.33.

Past year
1-year forecast
Strong sellStrong buy
Strong buy
14 ratings
Buy
12
Hold
2
Sell
0

12-month price target

Highest target215.00
Average target201.33
Lowest target189.00
Current price195.91

Waste Connections valuation

Price to earnings ratio (TTM)
43.93
Forward P/E (FY2026)
34.77
Price to sales (TTM)
4.93
Price to book
6.22
EV / EBITDA (TTM)
18.30

Capital structure

Market capitalization
49.01B USD
+
Total debt
9.76B USD
−
Cash and short-term investments
95.69M USD
=
Enterprise value
58.67B USD

Valuation over time

P/EForward P/EForward P/E · EstimateEstimate
Fiscal yearP/EForward P/EP/SP/BEV/EBITDA
FY2028 (est.)29.12————
FY2027 (est.)32.2029.12———
FY2026 (est.)34.7732.20———
Now (TTM)43.9332.524.936.2218.30
FY202541.8533.184.725.4518.04
FY202471.7933.184.965.6322.01
FY202350.4331.334.795.0019.35
FY202240.7935.984.734.8018.82
FY202157.5035.985.795.0921.50

Waste Connections against its own history

Each figure in the latest fiscal year against the same figure from FY2021 to FY2025: the range, its median (the line) and the latest (the dot, green on the good side of the median). The P/E is today's against its daily readings of five years.

Its peers: Republic Services, Waste Management, GFL Environmental, Clean Harbors, and Casella Waste Systems, the US Waste Management companies closest to it in size, each in its own latest fiscal year: their median (the line) and its rank among them, first being the best.

  • P/E (today)Below its median43.9
    39.662.0
  • Gross marginLowest in 5 years39.0%
    39.0%41.8%
    Against its peers: 2 of 6Peers' median 29.1%
  • Operating marginHighest in 5 years18.0%
    12.0%18.0%
    Against its peers: 3 of 6Peers' median 11.2%
  • Net marginAbove its median11.4%
    6.9%11.6%
    Against its peers: 3 of 6Peers' median 10.7%
  • Return on equityHighest in 5 years13.1%
    7.9%13.1%
    Against its peers: 5 of 6Peers' median 17.9%
  • Free cash flow marginLowest in 5 years13.0%
    13.0%15.5%
    Against its peers: 2 of 6Peers' median 7.3%
  • Revenue growthLowest in 5 years6.5%
    6.5%17.2%
    Against its peers: 4 of 6Peers' median 7.8%
  • EPS growthAbove its median74.9%
    -19.0%202.6%
    Against its peers: 1 of 5Peers' median -1.8%
  • Debt to EBITDAAt its median3.04×
    2.76×3.51×
    Against its peers: 2 of 6Peers' median 3.15×
  • Current ratioLowest in 5 years0.62
    0.620.84
    Against its peers: 5 of 6Peers' median 0.89

Peers: US companies of the same industry (of its sector when the industry has too few) from a tenth to ten times its market value, the six closest in size. Updated weekly.

Waste Connections growth and profitability

Revenue (TTM)
9.94B USD
Net income (TTM)
1.13B USD
Gross margin
39.52%
Operating margin
17.74%
Net margin
11.40%

Revenue / Net income

Revenue Net income Net margin
PeriodRevenueGrowthNet incomeGrowthGross marginOperating marginNet marginEBITDAGrowth
FY20259.50B+6.55%1.08B+74.96%38.96%18.00%11.37%3.00B+25.72%
FY20248.92B+11.19%617.57M-19.04%41.79%11.97%6.92%2.39B+1.89%
FY20238.02B+11.23%762.80M-8.72%40.86%15.41%9.51%2.35B+7.29%
FY20227.21B+17.24%835.66M+35.21%39.88%17.22%11.59%2.19B+15.61%
FY20216.15B+12.95%618.05M+201.96%40.60%16.90%10.05%1.89B+18.37%

Waste Connections revenue breakdown

By product

FY2025
Solid Waste Collection: 62.2%Landfill: 14.2%Transfer: 13.5%Exploration And Production Waste Treatment Recovery And Disposal: 6.3%Solid Waste Recycling: 2.2%Intermodal and Other: 1.6%62.2%Solid Waste Collection14.2%Landfill13.5%Transfer6.3%Exploration And Production Waste Treatment Recovery And Disposal2.2%Solid Waste Recycling1.6%Intermodal and Other
SegmentRevenueShare of revenueChange on the year
Solid Waste Collection6.75B62.2%+6.6%
Landfill1.54B14.2%-1.0%
Transfer1.46B13.5%+8.3%
Exploration And Production Waste Treatment Recovery And Disposal688.76M6.3%+32.1%
Solid Waste Recycling240.06M2.2%-0.8%
Intermodal and Other175.47M1.6%-8.6%

By region

FY2025
Southern: 22.5%Western: 22.1%Eastern: 21.5%Central: 18.7%Canada: 15.3%22.5%Southern22.1%Western21.5%Eastern18.7%Central15.3%Canada
RegionRevenueShare of revenueChange on the year
Southern2.15B22.5%+8.2%
Western2.11B22.1%+3.8%
Eastern2.05B21.5%+9.3%
Central1.78B18.7%+5.1%
Canada1.46B15.3%+5.5%

How Waste Connections makes its money

Revenue9.50B 100.0%
Cost of revenue5.80B 61.0%
Gross profit3.70B 39.0%
Selling and administration946.64M 10.0%
Other operating expenses1.05B 11.0%
Operating income1.71B 18.0%
Tax342.63M 3.6%
Other expense287.02M 3.0%
Net income1.08B 11.4%

FY2025, in USD. Each band is as wide as its money; the percentage is its share of revenue.

Waste Connections dividends

Annual dividend
1.54 USD
Dividend yield (indicated)
0.79%
Payout ratio
32.17%
Years of dividend growth
16
Frequency
Quarterly
Next payment
0.39 USD
Last ex-dividend date
5 Nov 2026
Next payment date
19 Nov 2026

Dividends per share

Year2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Dividends per share1.301.171.050.950.850.760.670.580.500.71

Waste Connections financial health

Cash and short-term investments
95.69M USD
Total debt
9.76B USD
Net cash
-9.66B USD
Free cash flow (TTM)
1.25B USD
Current ratio
0.67
Debt to equity
1.24
Piotroski score
7 / 9
Altman Z-score
3.19

Cash, debt and free cash flow

Cash and short-term investments Total debt Free cash flow
Fiscal yearCash and short-term investmentsTotal debtFree cash flow
FY202545.88M9.13B1.23B
FY202462.37M8.39B1.17B
FY202378.40M7.02B1.19B
FY202278.64M7.10B1.11B
FY2021147.44M5.21B953.91M

Waste Connections ownership

Institutions
85.04%
Institutional holders
866 (+49)
Free float
99.66%

Who owns the shares

Institutions 85.0% Others 15.0%
As of 30 Jun 2026

Shares free to trade

Free float 249.33M shares ·99.7% Closely held 848.57K shares ·0.3%

Closely held shares belong to insiders, founders and owners of more than 5%, and seldom change hands. The free float is the rest: the shares anyone can buy and sell.

Insider trading

QuarterPurchasesSalesShares acquiredShares disposed of
Q4 2026070.0016.00K
Q3 2026060.008.06K
Q2 20261751.62K19.36K
Q1 202601208.05K141.56K

Shares outstanding

Basic shares Diluted shares Change in diluted shares
Fiscal yearBasic sharesDiluted sharesChange in diluted shares
FY2025255.80M256.47M-0.85%
FY2024257.97M258.66M+0.20%
FY2023257.55M258.15M+0.04%
FY2022257.38M258.04M-1.41%
FY2021261.17M261.73M-0.74%

Source: Financial Modeling Prep

Related Instruments

Title: Waste Connections

Sector: Industrials
Industry: Waste Management
Waste Connections is a North American waste management company focused on integrated waste collection services. The firm primarily focuses on residential, commercial, municipal, and industrial waste collection, with a secondary market focus on rural areas. With 113 landfills and 222 transfer stations as of 2024, it is the third-largest waste management company by revenue. Revenue is split among six operating segments: Western, Southern, Eastern, Central, Canada, and Midsouth

Common questions about Waste Connections stock