69/100BTrip.com Group stock forecast 2026–2030What is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
Analysts' average 12-month price target for Trip.com Group is 56.64, 29.9% above the current price of 43.59. Their targets range from 48.00 to 63.00.
Of the 10 firms that rated Trip.com Group in the past 12 months, 9 rate it buy or strong buy, 1 hold and 0 sell or strong sell (each firm at its latest rating): a Strong buy consensus.
Analysts' 1-year price targets range from 48.00 to 63.00, with an average of 56.64.
| Buy | 9 | |
| Hold | 1 | |
| Sell | 0 |
12-month price target
| Highest target | 63.00 |
| Average target | 56.64 |
| Lowest target | 48.00 |
| Current price | 43.59 |
Trip.com Group price target historyWhat is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
Have analysts recently raised or lowered their Trip.com Group price target and rating?
How analysts rate Trip.com Group, month by monthWhat is the analyst rating? The analyst rating sums up what the analysts covering a stock recommend, from strong buy to strong sell, by the share of them rating it a buy.
9 of 10 firms rate it buy now, against 8 of 8 in December 2025.
Each month: every firm at its latest rating from the 12 months before. Strong buys count as buys, strong sells as sells.
Trip.com Group analyst upgrades, downgrades and price targets
The latest rating change came on 17 September 2026, when Macquarie upgraded Trip.com Group from Neutral to Outperform. Its price target is 52.20, from 44.30.
| Date | Firm | Rating | Price target | Change | Price then |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sept 2026 | Macquarie | Upgraded · Neutral → Outperform | 44.30 → 52.20 | +17.8% | 40.43 |
| 16 Sept 2026 | Mizuho Securities James Lee | Reiterated · Outperform | 60.00 | — | 39.25 |
| 3 Sept 2026 | HSBC Parash Jain | — | 48.00 | — | 41.38 |
| 28 Jul 2026 | Jefferies Thomas Chong | — | 63.00 | — | 44.77 |
| 2 Jul 2026 | China Renaissance | Downgraded · Buy → Hold | — | — | — |
| 26 Jun 2026 | Barclays | Reiterated · Overweight | 75.00 → 60.00 | -20.0% | 40.49 |
| 26 Jun 2026 | Macquarie Ellie Jiang | Downgraded · Outperform → Neutral | 44.30 | — | 40.49 |
| 26 Feb 2026 | Barclays Jiong Shao | — | 90.00 → 75.00 | -16.7% | 52.12 |
| 26 Feb 2026 | Morgan Stanley Yang Liu | — | 75.00 | — | 52.33 |
| 19 Nov 2025 | Barclays Jiong Shao | Reiterated · Overweight | 85.00 → 90.00 | +5.9% | 72.44 |
Trip.com Group EPS and revenue estimatesWhat are estimate revisions? Estimate revisions are the changes analysts make to their EPS and revenue forecasts for the years ahead. They show whether expectations are rising or falling.
Analysts expect Trip.com Group's EPS to fall 13.1% a year until 2028.
Analysts expect Trip.com Group's revenue to grow 9.9% a year until 2028, slower than over the last 5 years (27.1% a year) and the last 3 years (44.7%).
Revenue
EPS
Does Trip.com Group beat earnings estimates?What is an earnings surprise? An earnings surprise is how far a company's reported EPS or revenue came above or below the analysts' average estimate, in percent.
On average, analysts' EPS estimate was 41.5% off the result, either way, and their revenue estimate 3.2%, over the last 12 quarters.
- EPS beats
- 68 / 77
- Revenue beats
- 60 / 75
- Average EPS surprise, last 12What is an earnings surprise? An earnings surprise is how far a company's reported EPS or revenue came above or below the analysts' average estimate, in percent.
- +40.1%
- Since
- April 2004
| Quarter | Report date | EPS estimate | Reported EPS | Surprise | Revenue estimate | Reported revenue | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | 15 Sept 2026 | 0.88 | 1.07 | +22.3% | 2.29B | 2.31B | +0.6% |
| Q1 FY2026 | 24 Jun 2026 | 0.85 | 0.83 | -2.4% | 2.30B | 2.35B | +2.1% |
| Q4 FY2025 | 25 Feb 2026 | 0.72 | 0.71 | -1.4% | 2.13B | 2.20B | +3.6% |
| Q3 FY2025 | 17 Nov 2025 | 1.15 | 3.87 | +236.5% | 2.09B | 2.58B | +23.2% |
| Q2 FY2025 | 27 Aug 2025 | 0.98 | 1.01 | +3.1% | 2.04B | 2.07B | +1.3% |
| Q1 FY2025 | 19 May 2025 | 0.86 | 0.82 | -4.7% | 1.90B | 1.90B | -0.3% |
| Q4 FY2024 | 24 Feb 2025 | 3.77 | 4.35 | +15.4% | 12.32B | 12.66B | +2.8% |
| Q3 FY2024 | 18 Nov 2024 | 0.91 | 1.25 | +37.4% | 2.23B | 2.26B | +1.6% |
| Q2 FY2024 | 26 Aug 2024 | 0.74 | 1.00 | +35.1% | 1.76B | 1.76B | +0.1% |
| Q1 FY2024 | 20 May 2024 | 0.62 | 0.83 | +33.9% | 1.62B | 1.65B | +1.9% |
| Q4 FY2023 | 21 Feb 2024 | 0.34 | 0.56 | +64.7% | 1.44B | 1.45B | +1.0% |
| Q3 FY2023 | 20 Nov 2023 | 0.71 | 1.00 | +40.8% | 1.87B | 1.88B | +0.4% |
Trip.com Group stock price 2026–2030: scenariosHow are the stock price scenarios calculated? Bear, base and bull prices for the years ahead: the analysts' EPS estimates times the lowest, average and highest P/E of the stock today and at its last five year ends, or of its peers.
If Trip.com Group's earnings keep growing at the -10.7% a year analysts expect to FY2028, it would earn about 3.64 a share in FY2030. At the P/E it has traded at over the last five years (7.9 to 19.2) that is 28.80 to 69.88 a share, or 49.27 at its average P/E of 13.5. This is arithmetic on the analysts' estimates, not a prediction.
| Fiscal year | EPS | Bear | Base | Bull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | 3.58 | 28.29 | 48.40 | 68.64 |
| FY2027 | 4.06 | 32.16 | 55.02 | 78.04 |
| FY2028 | 4.56 | 36.12 | 61.79 | 87.64 |
| FY2029 (extrapolated) | 4.08 | 32.25 | 55.18 | 78.26 |
| FY2030 (extrapolated) | 3.64 | 28.80 | 49.27 | 69.88 |
Each year's EPS is the analysts' consensus to FY2028; the years after grow -10.7% a year (the analysts' growth, at most 15%). Bear, base and bull apply the lowest, average and highest P/E of today and the last five fiscal year ends, leaving out any above 60, the mark of a year of collapsed earnings (7.9, 13.5, 19.2).
Is Trip.com Group stock undervalued or overvalued?How does Arincen work out a stock's fair value? Fair value is our estimate of a share's price at the P/E the company usually trades at, with a low to high range around it.
Trip.com Group's P/E of 7.9 is near the bottom of its 5-year range (5.1 to 96.1, median 18.6). Analysts expect slower growth than in recent years, so the low P/E may be deserved. Its forward P/E, on the consensus for FY2026, is 12.2.
- Price to earnings ratio (TTM)What is the P/E ratio? The P/E ratio divides a share's price by its earnings per share over the last year: what you pay for each dollar of profit.
- 7.91
- Five-year median P/EWhat is the P/E ratio? The P/E ratio divides a share's price by its earnings per share over the last year: what you pay for each dollar of profit.
- 18.57
- Five-year P/E range
- 5.1 – 96.1
- Forward P/E (FY2026)What is the forward P/E ratio? Forward P/E divides a share's price by the earnings per share analysts expect in the coming year, rather than last year's actual earnings.
- 12.19
- To the average targetWhat is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
- +29.9%
Most undervalued US stocksHow does Arincen work out a stock's fair value? Fair value is our estimate of a share's price at the P/E the company usually trades at, with a low to high range around it.
| Stock | Price | Fair value | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35.760 | 71.4258Price 35.76193 | +99.7% | |
| 29.080 | 56.2434Price 29.0896 | +93.4% | |
| 240.360 | 464.26205Price 240.36627 | +93.2% | |
| 202.040 | 384.58163Price 202.042,644 | +90.3% | |
| 161.340 | 305.52160Price 161.34396 | +89.4% | |
| 125.395 | 237.44178Price 125.40297 | +89.4% | |
| 159.580 | 300.48225Price 159.58376 | +88.3% |
Furthest below the fair value on each stock's page, updated every day.