68/100BMarriott International stock forecast 2026–2030What is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
Analysts' average 12-month price target for Marriott International is 399.10, 4.2% below the current price of 416.47. Their targets range from 360.00 to 463.00.
Of the 18 firms that rated Marriott International in the past 12 months, 8 rate it buy or strong buy, 10 hold and 0 sell or strong sell (each firm at its latest rating): a Hold consensus.
Analysts' 1-year price targets range from 360.00 to 463.00, with an average of 399.10.
| Buy | 8 | |
| Hold | 10 | |
| Sell | 0 |
12-month price target
| Highest target | 463.00 |
| Average target | 399.10 |
| Lowest target | 360.00 |
| Current price | 416.47 |
Marriott International price target historyWhat is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
Have analysts recently raised or lowered their Marriott International price target and rating?
How analysts rate Marriott International, month by monthWhat is the analyst rating? The analyst rating sums up what the analysts covering a stock recommend, from strong buy to strong sell, by the share of them rating it a buy.
8 of 18 firms rate it buy now, against 5 of 14 in December 2025.
Each month: every firm at its latest rating from the 12 months before. Strong buys count as buys, strong sells as sells.
Marriott International analyst upgrades, downgrades and price targets
The latest rating change came on 9 January 2026, when BMO Capital upgraded Marriott International from Market Perform to Outperform. Its price target is 370.00. The most recent new target came from Bernstein on 4 November 2026: 445.00.
| Date | Firm | Rating | Price target | Change | Price then |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2026 | Bernstein Richard Clarke | — | 412.00 → 445.00 | +8.0% | 419.51 |
| 3 Nov 2026 | Wells Fargo Trey Bowers | Reiterated · Overweight | 426.00 → 463.00 | +8.7% | 416.30 |
| 2 Nov 2026 | Stifel Nicolaus Simon Yarmak | — | 343.00 → 402.00 | +17.2% | 416.12 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Reiterated · Overweight | 384.00 → 403.00 | +4.9% | 401.85 |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo Trey Bowers | Reiterated · Overweight | 449.00 → 426.00 | -5.1% | 388.05 |
| 16 Oct 2026 | Barclays Brandt Montour | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 348.00 → 363.00 | +4.3% | 385.71 |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley Stephen Grambling | Reiterated · Overweight | 353.00 → 384.00 | +8.8% | 365.88 |
| 10 Sept 2026 | Truist Financial | Reiterated · Hold | 350.00 → 360.00 | +2.9% | 332.84 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | UBS Robin Farley | Reiterated · Neutral | 412.00 → 395.00 | -4.1% | 359.95 |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Deutsche Bank | — | 376.00 → 372.00 | -1.1% | 344.70 |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Robert W. Baird | — | 386.00 → 393.00 | +1.8% | 346.83 |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Barclays Brandt Montour | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 379.00 → 348.00 | -8.2% | 346.83 |
| 3 Aug 2026 | BMO Capital | — | 400.00 → 395.00 | -1.2% | 346.83 |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Stifel Nicolaus Simon Yarmak | — | 343.00 | — | 345.78 |
| 20 Jul 2026 | Barclays | — | 376.00 → 379.00 | +0.8% | 366.24 |
| 16 Jul 2026 | Wells Fargo | Reiterated · Overweight | 446.00 → 449.00 | +0.7% | 369.05 |
| 15 Jun 2026 | Bernstein | — | 402.00 → 412.00 | +2.5% | 402.79 |
| 15 Jun 2026 | UBS | Reiterated · Neutral | 412.00 | — | 402.54 |
| 15 May 2026 | Bernstein | Reiterated · Outperform | 369.00 → 402.00 | +8.9% | 353.47 |
| 12 May 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Reiterated · Overweight | 350.00 → 353.00 | +0.9% | 354.77 |
| 7 May 2026 | Wells Fargo | Reiterated · Overweight | 446.00 | — | 355.55 |
| 7 May 2026 | Argus Research John Staszak | — | 310.00 → 425.00 | +37.1% | 354.67 |
| 7 May 2026 | Deutsche Bank Steven Pizzella | — | 376.00 | — | 354.87 |
| 7 May 2026 | Mizuho Securities | Reiterated · Neutral | 343.00 → 384.00 | +12.0% | 359.06 |
| 7 May 2026 | Robert W. Baird | — | 358.00 → 386.00 | +7.8% | 359.06 |
| 7 May 2026 | Barclays | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 372.00 → 376.00 | +1.1% | 359.06 |
| 24 Apr 2026 | Evercore ISI | Reiterated · Outperform | 385.00 → 400.00 | +3.9% | 367.08 |
| 23 Apr 2026 | Susquehanna Christopher Stathoulopoulos | Reiterated · Neutral | 280.00 → 385.00 | +37.5% | 367.13 |
| 16 Apr 2026 | Barclays | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 320.00 → 372.00 | +16.3% | 363.74 |
| 10 Apr 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Reiterated · Overweight | 328.00 → 350.00 | +6.7% | 354.20 |
| 11 Feb 2026 | Truist Financial Patrick Scholes | Reiterated · Hold | 283.00 → 350.00 | +23.7% | 366.67 |
| 11 Feb 2026 | Evercore ISI | Reiterated · Outperform | 350.00 → 385.00 | +10.0% | 366.50 |
| 11 Feb 2026 | Mizuho Securities Ben Chaiken | — | 343.00 | — | 359.35 |
| 11 Feb 2026 | Goldman Sachs Lizzie Dove | Reiterated · Buy | 345.00 → 398.00 | +15.4% | 358.15 |
| 11 Feb 2026 | Robert W. Baird | — | 358.00 | — | 359.35 |
| 10 Feb 2026 | BMO Capital | — | 370.00 → 400.00 | +8.1% | 359.35 |
| 22 Jan 2026 | Evercore ISI | Reiterated · Outperform | 330.00 → 350.00 | +6.1% | 320.56 |
| 16 Jan 2026 | Morgan Stanley Stephen Grambling | Reiterated · Overweight | 296.00 → 328.00 | +10.8% | 325.79 |
| 16 Jan 2026 | Barclays Brandt Montour | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 276.00 → 320.00 | +15.9% | 325.79 |
| 9 Jan 2026 | BMO Capital | Upgraded · Market Perform → Outperform | 370.00 | — | 324.91 |
| 6 Jan 2026 | Bernstein | Reiterated · Outperform | 327.00 → 369.00 | +12.8% | 314.95 |
| 17 Dec 2025 | Barclays | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 274.00 → 276.00 | +0.7% | 305.97 |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Goldman Sachs Lizzie Dove | Upgraded · Neutral → Buy | 288.00 → 345.00 | +19.8% | 298.78 |
| 4 Dec 2025 | Truist Financial Patrick Scholes | Reiterated · Hold | 278.00 → 283.00 | +1.8% | 306.65 |
Marriott International EPS and revenue estimatesWhat are estimate revisions? Estimate revisions are the changes analysts make to their EPS and revenue forecasts for the years ahead. They show whether expectations are rising or falling.
Analysts expect Marriott International's EPS to grow 16.3% a year until 2028.
Analysts expect Marriott International's revenue to grow 6.2% a year until 2028. Over the last 5 years it grew 19.9% a year, and over the last 3 years 8.0%.
Revenue
EPS
Does Marriott International beat earnings estimates?What is an earnings surprise? An earnings surprise is how far a company's reported EPS or revenue came above or below the analysts' average estimate, in percent.
On average, analysts' EPS estimate was 8.6% off the result, either way, and their revenue estimate 0.9%, over the last 12 quarters.
- EPS beats
- 90 / 132
- Revenue beats
- 83 / 114
- Average EPS surprise, last 12What is an earnings surprise? An earnings surprise is how far a company's reported EPS or revenue came above or below the analysts' average estimate, in percent.
- +7.8%
- Since
- February 1993
| Quarter | Report date | EPS estimate | Reported EPS | Surprise | Revenue estimate | Reported revenue | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 FY2026 | 2 Nov 2026 | 2.84 | 3.02 | +6.3% | 6.93B | 7.01B | +1.1% |
| Q2 FY2026 | 3 Aug 2026 | 3.06 | 3.19 | +4.2% | 7.19B | 7.07B | -1.7% |
| Q1 FY2026 | 6 May 2026 | 2.56 | 2.72 | +6.3% | 6.59B | 6.65B | +1.0% |
| Q4 FY2025 | 10 Feb 2026 | 2.60 | 2.58 | -0.8% | 6.67B | 6.69B | +0.3% |
| Q3 FY2025 | 4 Nov 2025 | 2.38 | 2.47 | +3.8% | 6.46B | 6.49B | +0.5% |
| Q2 FY2025 | 5 Aug 2025 | 2.61 | 2.65 | +1.5% | 6.67B | 6.74B | +1.1% |
| Q1 FY2025 | 6 May 2025 | 2.25 | 2.32 | +3.1% | 6.19B | 6.26B | +1.2% |
| Q4 FY2024 | 11 Feb 2025 | 2.37 | 2.45 | +3.4% | 6.40B | 6.43B | +0.4% |
| Q3 FY2024 | 4 Nov 2024 | 2.31 | 2.26 | -2.2% | 6.28B | 6.26B | -0.3% |
| Q2 FY2024 | 31 Jul 2024 | 2.47 | 2.50 | +1.2% | 6.47B | 6.44B | -0.5% |
| Q1 FY2024 | 1 May 2024 | 2.17 | 2.13 | -1.8% | 5.95B | 5.98B | +0.5% |
| Q4 FY2023 | 13 Feb 2024 | 2.12 | 3.57 | +68.4% | 6.20B | 6.10B | -1.7% |
Marriott International stock price 2026–2030: scenariosHow are the stock price scenarios calculated? Bear, base and bull prices for the years ahead: the analysts' EPS estimates times the lowest, average and highest P/E of the stock today and at its last five year ends, or of its peers.
If Marriott International's earnings keep growing at the 14.3% a year analysts expect to FY2028, it would earn about 19.51 a share in FY2030. At the P/E it has traded at over the last five years (20.5 to 49.2) that is 399.55 to 959.44 a share, or 648.45 at its average P/E of 33.2. This is arithmetic on the analysts' estimates, not a prediction.
| Fiscal year | EPS | Bear | Base | Bull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | 11.99 | 245.56 | 398.54 | 589.67 |
| FY2027 | 13.36 | 273.60 | 444.04 | 656.99 |
| FY2028 | 14.94 | 306.07 | 496.74 | 734.97 |
| FY2029 (extrapolated) | 17.08 | 349.70 | 567.55 | 839.74 |
| FY2030 (extrapolated) | 19.51 | 399.55 | 648.45 | 959.44 |
Each year's EPS is the analysts' consensus to FY2028; the years after grow 14.3% a year (the analysts' growth, at most 15%). Bear, base and bull apply the lowest, average and highest P/E of today and the last five fiscal year ends, leaving out any above 60, the mark of a year of collapsed earnings (20.5, 33.2, 49.2).
Is Marriott International stock undervalued or overvalued?How does Arincen work out a stock's fair value? Fair value is our estimate of a share's price at the P/E the company usually trades at, with a low to high range around it.
Marriott International's P/E of 41.8 is near the top of its 5-year range (19.6 to 122.5, median 30.3). Analysts do not expect faster growth than in recent years, so it is expensive compared with its own history. At its usual P/E (29.6 × EPS of 9.97), Marriott International's fair value is 295.29; the price, 416.47, is 41.0% above it. Its forward P/E, on the consensus for FY2026, is 34.7.
Fair value is the usual (median) P/E of the last five years times the earnings per share of the last twelve months; the ends of the bar are the same earnings at its lowest and highest P/E of those years (19.6 and 42.6). The price against its P/E range
- Price to earnings ratio (TTM)What is the P/E ratio? The P/E ratio divides a share's price by its earnings per share over the last year: what you pay for each dollar of profit.
- 41.77
- Five-year median P/EWhat is the P/E ratio? The P/E ratio divides a share's price by its earnings per share over the last year: what you pay for each dollar of profit.
- 30.32
- Five-year P/E range
- 19.6 – 122.5
- Forward P/E (FY2026)What is the forward P/E ratio? Forward P/E divides a share's price by the earnings per share analysts expect in the coming year, rather than last year's actual earnings.
- 34.73
- PEG ratioWhat is the PEG ratio? The PEG ratio divides the P/E by the yearly earnings growth analysts expect, to show how much you pay for each point of growth.
- 2.93
- To the average targetWhat is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
- -4.2%
Most undervalued US stocksHow does Arincen work out a stock's fair value? Fair value is our estimate of a share's price at the P/E the company usually trades at, with a low to high range around it.
| Stock | Price | Fair value | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99.090 | 194.93146Price 99.09244 | +96.7% | |
| 42.225 | 82.9546Price 42.23165 | +96.4% | |
| 186.680 | 360.82271Price 186.68451 | +93.3% | |
| 213.670 | 405.57304Price 213.67507 | +89.8% | |
| 161.160 | 305.51157Price 161.16396 | +89.6% | |
| 160.650 | 300.09225Price 160.65375 | +86.8% | |
| 165.860 | 308.95212Price 165.86442 | +86.3% |
Furthest below the fair value on each stock's page, updated every day.