100/100BASML Holding stock forecast 2026–2030What is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
Analysts' average 12-month price target for ASML Holding is 2,330.75, 63.6% above the current price of 1,424.24. Their targets range from 2,100.00 to 2,623.00.
Of the 8 firms that rated ASML Holding in the past 12 months, 7 rate it buy or strong buy, 1 hold and 0 sell or strong sell (each firm at its latest rating): a Strong buy consensus.
Analysts' 1-year price targets range from 2,100.00 to 2,623.00, with an average of 2,330.75.
| Buy | 7 | |
| Hold | 1 | |
| Sell | 0 |
12-month price target
| Highest target | 2,623.00 |
| Average target | 2,330.75 |
| Lowest target | 2,100.00 |
| Current price | 1,424.24 |
ASML Holding price target historyWhat is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
Have analysts recently raised or lowered their ASML Holding price target and rating?
How analysts rate ASML Holding, month by monthWhat is the analyst rating? The analyst rating sums up what the analysts covering a stock recommend, from strong buy to strong sell, by the share of them rating it a buy.
7 of 8 firms rate it buy now, against 6 of 9 in December 2025.
Each month: every firm at its latest rating from the 12 months before. Strong buys count as buys, strong sells as sells.
ASML Holding analyst upgrades, downgrades and price targets
The latest rating change came on 29 January 2026, when Barclays upgraded ASML Holding from Equal Weight to Overweight. The most recent new target came from RBC Capital on 7 October 2026: 2,100.00.
| Date | Firm | Rating | Price target | Change | Price then |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2026 | RBC Capital Srini Pajjuri | — | 2,000.00 → 2,100.00 | +5.0% | 1,803.25 |
| 16 Jul 2026 | Argus Research | — | 2,100.00 | — | 1,838.44 |
| 16 Jul 2026 | Wells Fargo | Reiterated · Overweight | 2,200.00 → 2,500.00 | +13.6% | 1,815.27 |
| 14 Jul 2026 | RBC Capital | Reiterated · Outperform | 1,700.00 → 2,000.00 | +17.6% | 1,726.04 |
| 6 Jul 2026 | Bernstein David Dai | Reiterated · Outperform | 1,911.00 → 2,623.00 | +37.3% | 1,769.32 |
| 22 Jun 2026 | Wells Fargo Joe Quatrochi | Reiterated · Overweight | 1,750.00 → 2,200.00 | +25.7% | 1,929.68 |
| 16 Apr 2026 | RBC Capital Srini Pajjuri | Reiterated · Outperform | 1,625.00 → 1,700.00 | +4.6% | 1,481.77 |
| 16 Apr 2026 | Wells Fargo | Reiterated · Overweight | 1,450.00 → 1,750.00 | +20.7% | 1,481.77 |
| 29 Jan 2026 | RBC Capital Srini Pajjuri | Reiterated · Outperform | 1,550.00 → 1,625.00 | +4.8% | 1,437.89 |
| 29 Jan 2026 | Bernstein David Dai | — | 1,642.00 → 1,911.00 | +16.4% | 1,422.92 |
| 29 Jan 2026 | Barclays | Upgraded · Equal Weight → Overweight | — | — | — |
| 22 Jan 2026 | Bernstein David Dai | Reiterated · Outperform | 1,528.00 → 1,642.00 | +7.5% | 1,360.09 |
| 15 Jan 2026 | Wells Fargo | Reiterated · Overweight | 1,140.00 → 1,450.00 | +27.2% | 1,263.72 |
| 15 Jan 2026 | KGI Securities Leon Chen | Upgraded · Hold → Outperform | 1,415.00 | — | 1,263.72 |
| 14 Jan 2026 | RBC Capital | — | 1,550.00 | — | 1,263.72 |
| 5 Jan 2026 | Bernstein | Upgraded · Market Perform → Outperform | — | — | — |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Bernstein | — | 935.00 → 1,528.00 | +63.4% | 1,163.78 |
ASML Holding EPS and revenue estimatesWhat are estimate revisions? Estimate revisions are the changes analysts make to their EPS and revenue forecasts for the years ahead. They show whether expectations are rising or falling.
Analysts expect ASML Holding's EPS to grow 44.8% a year until 2028, faster than over the last 5 years (23.8% a year) and the last 3 years (20.5%).
Analysts expect ASML Holding's revenue to grow 30.2% a year until 2028, faster than over the last 5 years (18.5% a year) and the last 3 years (15.6%).
Revenue
EPS
Does ASML Holding beat earnings estimates?What is an earnings surprise? An earnings surprise is how far a company's reported EPS or revenue came above or below the analysts' average estimate, in percent.
On average, analysts' EPS estimate was 8.2% off the result, either way, and their revenue estimate 3.5%, over the last 12 quarters.
- EPS beats
- 59 / 109
- Revenue beats
- 86 / 105
- Average EPS surprise, last 12What is an earnings surprise? An earnings surprise is how far a company's reported EPS or revenue came above or below the analysts' average estimate, in percent.
- +6.7%
- Since
- August 1995
| Quarter | Report date | EPS estimate | Reported EPS | Surprise | Revenue estimate | Reported revenue | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 FY2026 | 14 Oct 2026 | 12.47 | 14.89 | +19.4% | 13.14B | 12.97B | -1.3% |
| Q2 FY2026 | 15 Jul 2026 | 7.98 | 8.68 | +8.8% | 10.24B | 10.67B | +4.2% |
| Q1 FY2026 | 15 Apr 2026 | 7.72 | 8.37 | +8.4% | 10.10B | 10.34B | +2.4% |
| Q4 FY2025 | 28 Jan 2026 | 9.04 | 8.55 | -5.4% | 11.19B | 11.61B | +3.8% |
| Q3 FY2025 | 15 Oct 2025 | 6.36 | 6.41 | +0.8% | 9.02B | 8.74B | -3.2% |
| Q2 FY2025 | 16 Jul 2025 | 6.10 | 6.84 | +12.1% | 8.77B | 8.92B | +1.7% |
| Q1 FY2025 | 16 Apr 2025 | 6.12 | 6.31 | +3.1% | 8.32B | 8.81B | +5.9% |
| Q4 FY2024 | 29 Jan 2025 | 7.41 | 7.14 | -3.6% | 9.54B | 9.65B | +1.2% |
| Q3 FY2024 | 15 Oct 2024 | 5.29 | 5.74 | +8.5% | 7.87B | 8.14B | +3.5% |
| Q2 FY2024 | 17 Jul 2024 | 4.06 | 4.36 | +7.4% | 6.53B | 6.82B | +4.5% |
| Q1 FY2024 | 17 Apr 2024 | 3.00 | 3.31 | +10.3% | 5.88B | 5.63B | -4.2% |
| Q4 FY2023 | 24 Jan 2024 | 5.12 | 5.64 | +10.2% | 7.44B | 7.89B | +6.0% |
ASML Holding stock price 2026–2030: scenariosHow are the stock price scenarios calculated? Bear, base and bull prices for the years ahead: the analysts' EPS estimates times the lowest, average and highest P/E of the stock today and at its last five year ends, or of its peers.
If ASML Holding's earnings grow at the 43.8% a year analysts expect to FY2028, then 15.0% a year, it would earn about 110.59 a share in FY2030. At the P/E it has traded at over the last five years (32.6 to 48.8) that is 3,602.69 to 5,391.93 a share, or 4,155.87 at its average P/E of 37.6. This is arithmetic on the analysts' estimates, not a prediction.
| Fiscal year | EPS | Bear | Base | Bull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | 45.91 | 1,495.63 | 1,725.27 | 2,238.42 |
| FY2027 | 63.37 | 2,064.27 | 2,381.23 | 3,089.47 |
| FY2028 | 83.62 | 2,724.15 | 3,142.44 | 4,077.08 |
| FY2029 (extrapolated) | 96.17 | 3,132.78 | 3,613.80 | 4,688.64 |
| FY2030 (extrapolated) | 110.59 | 3,602.69 | 4,155.87 | 5,391.93 |
Each year's EPS is the analysts' consensus to FY2028; the years after grow 15.0% a year (the analysts' growth, at most 15%). Bear, base and bull apply the lowest, average and highest P/E of today and the last five fiscal year ends, leaving out any above 60, the mark of a year of collapsed earnings (32.6, 37.6, 48.8).
Is ASML Holding stock undervalued or overvalued?How does Arincen work out a stock's fair value? Fair value is our estimate of a share's price at the P/E the company usually trades at, with a low to high range around it.
ASML Holding's P/E of 36.5 is below the middle of its 5-year range (24.5 to 66.0, median 39.3). Analysts do not expect slower growth than in recent years, so it is cheaper than its usual level. Buyers pay less for each point of growth than usual: a PEG of 0.8 on expected growth against 1.6 on its median P/E and past five years' growth. Growing 44.8% a year, ASML Holding earns a P/E of 25.0 at a PEG of 1 (at most 25): × the next twelve months' EPS of 60.88, a fair value of 1,522.00; the price, 1,424.24, is 6.4% below it. Its forward P/E, on the consensus for FY2026, is 31.0.
Fair value on growth is a P/E equal to the EPS growth analysts expect a year (a PEG of 1, at most 25) times the earnings per share of the next twelve months; the ends of the bar are a PEG of 0.75 and 1.25 (a P/E of 18.8 and 31.3). The price against its P/E range
- Price to earnings ratio (TTM)What is the P/E ratio? The P/E ratio divides a share's price by its earnings per share over the last year: what you pay for each dollar of profit.
- 36.46
- Five-year median P/EWhat is the P/E ratio? The P/E ratio divides a share's price by its earnings per share over the last year: what you pay for each dollar of profit.
- 39.26
- Five-year P/E range
- 24.5 – 66.0
- Forward P/E (FY2026)What is the forward P/E ratio? Forward P/E divides a share's price by the earnings per share analysts expect in the coming year, rather than last year's actual earnings.
- 31.02
- PEG ratioWhat is the PEG ratio? The PEG ratio divides the P/E by the yearly earnings growth analysts expect, to show how much you pay for each point of growth.
- 0.83
- To the average targetWhat is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
- +63.6%
Most undervalued US stocksHow does Arincen work out a stock's fair value? Fair value is our estimate of a share's price at the P/E the company usually trades at, with a low to high range around it.
| Stock | Price | Fair value | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99.090 | 194.93146Price 99.09244 | +96.7% | |
| 42.225 | 82.9546Price 42.23165 | +96.4% | |
| 186.680 | 360.82271Price 186.68451 | +93.3% | |
| 213.670 | 405.57304Price 213.67507 | +89.8% | |
| 161.160 | 305.51157Price 161.16396 | +89.6% | |
| 160.650 | 300.09225Price 160.65375 | +86.8% | |
| 165.860 | 308.95212Price 165.86442 | +86.3% |
Furthest below the fair value on each stock's page, updated every day.