2027 revenue outlook
The outlook will show whether chipmakers’ spending can sustain ASML’s growth.
ASML Holding reports its Q4 FY2026 results on 27 January 2027. Analysts expect earnings per share of 16.61 USD and revenue of 16.34B USD.
In Q3 FY2026, reported on 14 October 2026, ASML Holding earned 14.89 USD a share against the 12.47 USD analysts expected (+19.4%), on revenue of 12.97B USD against 13.14B USD (-1.3%).
| Period | Report date | EPS estimate | Reported EPS | Surprise | EPS growth | Revenue estimate | Reported revenue | Surprise | Revenue growth | Next-day move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 FY2027 | 17.10 | — | — | +14.86% | 16.83B | — | — | +29.79% | — | |
| Q2 FY2027 | 15.47 | — | — | +78.17% | 15.51B | — | — | +45.44% | — | |
| Q1 FY2027 | 14.45 | — | — | +72.62% | 14.66B | — | — | +41.73% | — | |
| Q4 FY2026 | 16.61 | — | — | +94.27% | 16.34B | — | — | +40.79% | — | |
| Q3 FY2026 | 12.47 | 14.89 | +19.41% | +132.29% | 13.14B | 12.97B | -1.33% | +48.45% | +0.5% | |
| Q2 FY2026 | 7.98 | 8.68 | +8.77% | +26.90% | 10.24B | 10.67B | +4.16% | +19.57% | -2.1% | |
| Q1 FY2026 | 7.72 | 8.37 | +8.42% | +32.65% | 10.10B | 10.34B | +2.43% | +17.37% | -4.8% | |
| Q4 FY2025 | 9.04 | 8.55 | -5.42% | +19.75% | 11.19B | 11.61B | +3.77% | +20.26% | +2.2% | |
| Q3 FY2025 | 6.36 | 6.41 | +0.79% | +11.67% | 9.02B | 8.74B | -3.17% | +7.31% | +1.0% | |
| Q2 FY2025 | 6.10 | 6.84 | +12.13% | +56.88% | 8.77B | 8.92B | +1.67% | +30.71% | -1.3% | |
| Q1 FY2025 | 6.12 | 6.31 | +3.10% | +90.63% | 8.32B | 8.81B | +5.87% | +56.62% | +0.9% | |
| Q4 FY2024 | 7.41 | 7.14 | -3.64% | +26.60% | 9.54B | 9.65B | +1.17% | +22.34% | +3.4% | |
| Q3 FY2024 | 5.29 | 5.74 | +8.51% | +12.55% | 7.87B | 8.14B | +3.47% | +15.77% | -6.4% | |
| Q2 FY2024 | 4.06 | 4.36 | +7.39% | -20.58% | 6.53B | 6.82B | +4.46% | -11.65% | -0.9% | |
| Q1 FY2024 | 3.00 | 3.31 | +10.33% | -42.33% | 5.88B | 5.63B | -4.23% | -23.89% | -2.0% | |
| Q4 FY2023 | 5.12 | 5.64 | +10.16% | +10.37% | 7.44B | 7.89B | +6.03% | +12.54% | +2.6% | |
| Q3 FY2023 | 4.86 | 5.10 | +4.94% | +20.00% | 7.19B | 7.03B | -2.23% | +24.31% | +0.7% | |
| Q2 FY2023 | 5.06 | 5.49 | +8.50% | +45.62% | 7.40B | 7.72B | +4.33% | +39.26% | -5.6% | |
| Q1 FY2023 | 4.59 | 5.74 | +25.05% | +200.52% | 6.84B | 7.39B | +8.15% | +92.52% | +1.6% | |
| Q4 FY2022 | 4.62 | 5.11 | +10.61% | +2.00% | 6.78B | 7.01B | +3.45% | +24.03% | +0.4% | |
| Q3 FY2022 | 3.94 | 4.25 | +7.87% | -15.34% | 5.49B | 5.66B | +3.04% | -7.01% | +3.0% | |
| Q2 FY2022 | 3.57 | 3.77 | +5.60% | +24.01% | 5.54B | 5.55B | +0.08% | +16.28% | +5.3% | |
| Q1 FY2022 | 1.89 | 1.91 | +1.06% | -50.52% | 3.86B | 3.84B | -0.53% | -25.19% | -2.2% | |
| Q4 FY2021 | 4.31 | 5.01 | +16.24% | +26.52% | 5.94B | 5.65B | -4.88% | +8.34% | +0.4% | |
| Q3 FY2021 | 4.69 | 5.02 | +7.04% | +68.46% | 6.35B | 6.08B | -4.16% | +30.91% | +2.1% | |
| Q2 FY2021 | 2.97 | 3.04 | +2.36% | +51.24% | 6.35B | 4.77B | -24.86% | +27.46% | +1.3% | |
| Q1 FY2021 | 3.08 | 3.86 | +25.32% | +274.76% | 3.15B | 5.13B | +62.94% | +93.27% | -1.1% | |
| Q4 FY2020 | 3.05 | 3.96 | +29.84% | +32.89% | 4.00B | 5.22B | +30.33% | +13.92% | +3.7% | |
| Q3 FY2020 | 2.58 | 2.98 | +15.50% | +79.52% | 4.36B | 4.65B | +6.59% | +41.94% | -3.0% | |
| Q2 FY2020 | 1.68 | 2.01 | +19.64% | +58.27% | 3.29B | 3.74B | +13.68% | +28.34% | +2.7% | |
| Q1 FY2020 | 1.31 | 1.03 | -21.37% | -7.21% | 3.02B | 2.66B | -12.03% | +6.08% | +3.7% | |
| Q4 FY2019 | 2.95 | 2.98 | +1.02% | +36.07% | 3.57B | 4.58B | +28.36% | +21.96% | -0.7% | |
| Q3 FY2019 | 1.60 | 1.66 | +3.75% | -10.75% | 2.91B | 3.27B | +12.40% | +1.15% | -0.2% | |
| Q2 FY2019 | 1.09 | 1.27 | +16.51% | -22.09% | 2.25B | 2.92B | +29.61% | -8.34% | +4.2% | |
| Q1 FY2019 | 0.55 | 1.11 | +100.72% | -28.39% | 2.84B | 2.50B | -11.76% | -11.09% | +1.3% | |
| Q4 FY2018 | 2.40 | 2.19 | -8.75% | +23.73% | 3.02B | 3.75B | +24.20% | +24.99% | +4.2% | |
| Q3 FY2018 | 2.08 | 1.86 | -10.58% | +22.37% | 2.70B | 3.24B | +19.91% | +12.33% | -4.6% | |
| Q2 FY2018 | 1.43 | 1.63 | +13.99% | +32.52% | 2.34B | 3.18B | +36.23% | +32.84% | -1.2% | |
| Q1 FY2018 | 1.39 | 1.55 | +11.51% | +38.39% | 2.15B | 2.82B | +30.74% | +35.26% | -5.6% | |
| Q4 FY2017 | 1.25 | 1.77 | +41.60% | +33.08% | 2.48B | 3.00B | +21.06% | +50.15% | +2.0% | |
| Q3 FY2017 | 1.28 | 1.52 | +18.75% | +46.15% | 2.01B | 2.88B | +43.29% | +41.56% | +2.5% | |
| Q2 FY2017 | 1.03 | 1.23 | +19.42% | +32.26% | 1.80B | 2.39B | +33.38% | +23.85% | +2.1% | |
| Q1 FY2017 | 0.99 | 1.12 | +13.13% | +119.61% | 1.73B | 2.08B | +20.20% | +37.46% | +2.6% | |
| Q4 FY2016 | 1.08 | 1.33 | +23.15% | +79.73% | 1.90B | 2.00B | +5.42% | +27.85% | -0.9% | |
| Q3 FY2016 | 1.07 | 1.04 | -2.80% | +25.30% | 1.83B | 2.04B | +11.12% | +17.32% | -0.4% | |
| Q2 FY2016 | 0.87 | 0.93 | +6.90% | -3.12% | 1.60B | 1.93B | +20.87% | +5.42% | -2.5% | |
| Q1 FY2016 | 0.46 | 0.51 | +10.87% | -49.50% | 1.19B | 1.51B | +27.45% | -15.45% | -0.6% | |
| Q4 FY2015 | 0.77 | 0.74 | -4.02% | -18.59% | 1.39B | 1.56B | +12.24% | -19.30% | +2.5% | |
| Q3 FY2015 | 0.82 | 0.83 | +1.22% | +16.90% | 1.53B | 1.74B | +13.38% | +3.94% | +1.4% | |
| Q2 FY2015 | 0.90 | 0.96 | +6.67% | -22.58% | 1.52B | 1.83B | +20.46% | -18.11% | -5.9% | |
| Q1 FY2015 | 1.07 | 1.01 | -5.61% | +32.89% | 1.37B | 1.79B | +30.79% | -6.66% | -1.1% | |
| Q4 FY2014 | 0.65 | 0.91 | +40.06% | -37.74% | 1.17B | 1.94B | +66.08% | -21.00% | +0.9% | |
| Q3 FY2014 | 0.70 | 0.71 | +1.43% | +22.41% | 1.25B | 1.67B | +33.91% | -6.75% | -1.2% | |
| Q2 FY2014 | 1.03 | 1.24 | +20.39% | +85.07% | 1.34B | 2.24B | +66.72% | +44.73% | -2.5% | |
| Q1 FY2014 | 0.81 | 0.76 | -6.17% | +146.91% | 1.30B | 1.92B | +47.82% | +67.75% | -0.7% | |
| Q4 FY2013 | 1.26 | 1.46 | +15.87% | +110.68% | 1.62B | 2.45B | +51.30% | +85.97% | -3.2% | |
| Q3 FY2013 | 0.69 | 0.58 | -15.94% | -47.27% | 1.58B | 1.79B | +13.44% | +13.02% | -1.2% | |
| Q2 FY2013 | 0.64 | 0.67 | +4.69% | -43.22% | 1.20B | 1.55B | +28.50% | +0.74% | +0.1% | |
| Q1 FY2013 | 0.71 | 0.31 | -56.40% | -73.47% | 1.16B | 1.14B | -1.36% | -31.39% | +2.8% | |
| Q4 FY2012 | 0.89 | 0.69 | -22.40% | -41.76% | 1.25B | 1.32B | +5.42% | -16.41% | +1.2% | |
| Q3 FY2012 | 1.45 | 1.10 | -24.14% | -29.03% | 1.30B | 1.58B | +22.29% | -19.43% | +2.5% | |
| Q2 FY2012 | 1.36 | 1.18 | -13.24% | -37.89% | 1.15B | 1.54B | +33.54% | -30.63% | +2.2% | |
| Q1 FY2012 | 1.47 | 1.16 | -21.09% | -30.12% | 1.21B | 1.67B | +38.11% | -18.96% | +1.5% | |
| Q4 FY2011 | 1.20 | 1.19 | -0.83% | -27.44% | 872.39M | 1.58B | +81.01% | -21.75% | +0.5% | |
| Q3 FY2011 | 1.96 | 1.55 | -20.92% | +50.49% | 1.32B | 1.97B | +48.37% | +22.42% | +1.6% | |
| Q2 FY2011 | 2.46 | 1.90 | -22.76% | +108.79% | 1.42B | 2.21B | +56.47% | +66.63% | -2.1% | |
| Q1 FY2011 | 2.06 | 1.66 | -19.42% | +268.89% | 1.28B | 2.06B | +60.79% | +105.48% | +0.3% | |
| Q4 FY2010 | 1.73 | 1.64 | -5.20% | +613.04% | 1.09B | 2.02B | +84.54% | +142.45% | +3.7% | |
| Q3 FY2010 | 0.96 | 1.03 | +7.29% | +1,187.50% | 1.11B | 1.61B | +44.05% | +98.12% | +0.8% | |
| Q2 FY2010 | 0.75 | 0.91 | +21.33% | — | 840.71M | 1.33B | +58.07% | +242.79% | -1.1% | |
| Q1 FY2010 | 0.56 | 0.45 | -19.06% | — | 669.43M | 1.00B | +49.57% | +307.25% | -0.3% | |
| Q4 FY2009 | 0.24 | 0.23 | -5.62% | — | 493.48M | 832.36M | +68.67% | +14.34% | -0.1% | |
| Q3 FY2009 | -0.01 | 0.08 | +900.00% | -76.47% | 5.50B | 810.56M | -85.25% | -15.79% | -2.5% | |
| Q2 FY2009 | -0.61 | -0.43 | +28.38% | -146.77% | 276.60M | 387.67M | +40.15% | -70.87% | +0.2% | |
| Q1 FY2009 | -0.59 | -0.47 | +20.56% | -167.83% | 183.63M | 245.86M | +33.89% | -82.95% | +2.3% | |
| Q4 FY2008 | 0.03 | -0.38 | -1,525.22% | -143.20% | 8.61B | 727.98M | -91.55% | -44.06% | +1.0% | |
| Q3 FY2008 | 0.30 | 0.34 | +11.70% | -46.79% | 546.62M | 962.51M | +76.08% | -27.45% | +5.7% | |
| Q2 FY2008 | 0.78 | 0.93 | +19.41% | +45.16% | 768.18M | 1.33B | +73.27% | +5.93% | +2.5% | |
| Q1 FY2008 | 1.03 | 0.69 | -32.91% | +3.13% | 932.87M | 1.44B | +54.56% | +13.91% | +2.1% | |
| Q4 FY2007 | 0.61 | 0.87 | +42.62% | +12.99% | 925.98M | 1.30B | +40.54% | -7.53% | +0.1% | |
| Q3 FY2007 | 0.80 | 0.64 | -19.92% | +4.75% | 839.82M | 1.33B | +57.98% | +9.15% | +1.8% | |
| Q2 FY2007 | 0.77 | 0.64 | -17.21% | +12.08% | 801.55M | 1.26B | +56.76% | +5.02% | +3.9% | |
| Q1 FY2007 | 0.82 | 0.67 | -17.79% | +151.79% | 847.96M | 1.27B | +49.27% | +66.38% | -0.2% | |
| Q4 FY2006 | 0.70 | 0.77 | +10.47% | +305.26% | 872.55M | 1.41B | +61.30% | +116.95% | -4.2% | |
| Q3 FY2006 | 0.68 | 0.61 | -10.16% | +238.89% | 833.34M | 1.22B | +45.86% | +90.07% | +0.5% | |
| Q2 FY2006 | 0.44 | 0.57 | +29.77% | +46.41% | 685.40M | 1.20B | +74.56% | +30.87% | -4.6% | |
| Q1 FY2006 | 0.35 | 0.27 | -23.07% | -35.10% | 674.01M | 760.76M | +12.87% | -13.90% | -0.8% | |
| Q4 FY2005 | 0.15 | 0.19 | +26.67% | -51.79% | 401.93M | 648.71M | +61.40% | -39.08% | +1.2% | |
| Q3 FY2005 | 0.19 | 0.18 | -6.54% | +20.00% | 466.01M | 639.50M | +37.23% | -15.29% | +4.8% | |
| Q2 FY2005 | 0.35 | 0.39 | +12.04% | +69.57% | 649.70M | 914.21M | +40.71% | +21.45% | +0.4% | |
| Q1 FY2005 | 0.49 | 0.41 | -16.43% | +476.17% | 630.39M | 883.61M | +40.17% | +60.07% | -1.0% | |
| Q4 FY2004 | 0.48 | 0.39 | -18.17% | +697.29% | 741.26M | 1.06B | +43.66% | +76.94% | -0.6% | |
| Q3 FY2004 | 0.37 | 0.15 | -59.73% | — | 824.00M | 754.92M | -8.38% | +74.97% | -1.8% | |
| Q2 FY2004 | 0.23 | 0.23 | -0.99% | — | 557.00M | 752.73M | +35.14% | +99.62% | -1.3% | |
| Q1 FY2004 | 0.15 | 0.07 | -53.85% | — | 627.12M | 552.03M | -11.97% | +61.55% | -1.5% | |
| Q4 FY2003 | — | 0.05 | — | — | — | 601.86M | — | +13.18% | +2.2% | |
| Q3 FY2003 | -0.12 | -0.08 | +30.00% | — | 480.71M | 431.47M | -10.24% | — | +1.6% | |
| Q2 FY2003 | -0.12 | -0.17 | -36.36% | — | 313.56M | 377.09M | +20.26% | -37.08% | -8.8% | |
| Q1 FY2003 | -0.04 | -0.27 | -524.96% | — | 1.21B | 341.71M | -71.83% | — | +4.4% | |
| Q4 FY2002 | -0.02 | -0.37 | -1,649.98% | — | 7.99B | 531.76M | -93.35% | +17.31% | -7.0% | |
| Q2 FY2002 | -0.11 | -0.32 | -190.91% | — | 361.27M | 599.30M | +65.89% | +37.48% | -3.7% | |
| Q4 FY2001 | -0.15 | -0.19 | -29.42% | — | — | 453.30M | — | — | +1.4% | |
| Q2 FY2001 | 0.60 | -0.12 | -120.08% | — | — | 435.93M | — | — | -2.1% | |
| Q4 FY1999 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 0.00% | +4,248.11% | 465.19M | 468.60M | +0.73% | +122.36% | -2.1% | |
| Q2 FY1999 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00% | -95.99% | 203.80M | 209.48M | +2.78% | -14.62% | +3.6% | |
| Q4 FY1998 | 0.03 | 0.01 | -82.47% | -95.38% | 295.09M | 210.75M | -28.58% | -27.12% | -2.1% | |
| Q2 FY1998 | 0.28 | 0.27 | -4.00% | +18.92% | 233.76M | 245.34M | +4.95% | +25.98% | -3.1% | |
| Q4 FY1997 | 0.35 | 0.39 | +12.49% | +38.19% | — | 246.64M | — | +19.00% | -0.8% | |
| Q4 FY1997 | 0.38 | 0.13 | -65.63% | -53.43% | — | 289.16M | — | +39.51% | +0.7% | |
| Q2 FY1997 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.00% | +1.86% | 173.28M | 194.75M | +12.39% | -1.57% | +0.3% | |
| Q4 FY1996 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.00% | +34.67% | 156.39M | 207.27M | +32.53% | +31.52% | +1.5% | |
| Q2 FY1996 | 0.26 | 0.22 | -14.03% | +100.00% | 147.27M | 197.86M | +34.36% | +34.53% | -1.3% | |
| Q4 FY1995 | 0.13 | 0.21 | +61.54% | — | 111.97M | 157.60M | +40.75% | — | -4.8% | |
| Q2 FY1995 | 0.14 | 0.11 | -23.61% | — | 107.59M | 147.08M | +36.70% | — | +0.9% |
| Period | EPS estimate | Reported EPS | Surprise | EPS growth | Revenue estimate | Reported revenue | Surprise | Revenue growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2028 | 83.62 | — | — | +31.97% | 80.38B | — | — | +25.56% |
| FY2027 | 63.37 | — | — | +38.02% | 64.02B | — | — | +29.73% |
| FY2026 | 45.91 | — | — | +63.33% | 49.35B | — | — | +29.60% |
| FY2025 | 29.07 | 28.11 | -3.29% | +36.79% | 37.96B | 38.08B | +0.31% | +25.89% |
| FY2024 | 19.96 | 20.55 | +2.93% | -6.46% | 29.48B | 30.24B | +2.61% | +0.69% |
| FY2023 | 21.13 | 21.97 | +3.98% | +46.08% | 29.54B | 30.04B | +1.70% | +36.21% |
| FY2022 | 14.67 | 15.04 | +2.53% | -11.16% | 22.32B | 22.05B | -1.19% | +1.92% |
The move is the shares' change on the trading day after the report: after a report after the close, the next day's close on the report day's; before the open, the report day's close on the day before's. Surprise is the reported figure against the analysts' average estimate.
From the last earnings call, the company's guidance and analysts' previews, and checked against the report when it comes.
The outlook will show whether chipmakers’ spending can sustain ASML’s growth.
On average, analysts' EPS estimate was 8.2% off the result, either way, and their revenue estimate 3.5%, over the last 12 quarters.
See also:Forecast,EPS,Income statement
Source: Financial Modeling Prep
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