72/100BYum! Brands stock forecast 2026–2030What is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
Analysts' average 12-month price target for Yum! Brands is 171.13, 6.2% above the current price of 161.16. Their targets range from 155.00 to 185.00.
Of the 14 firms that rated Yum! Brands in the past 12 months, 9 rate it buy or strong buy, 5 hold and 0 sell or strong sell (each firm at its latest rating): a Buy consensus.
Analysts' 1-year price targets range from 155.00 to 185.00, with an average of 171.13.
| Buy | 9 | |
| Hold | 5 | |
| Sell | 0 |
12-month price target
| Highest target | 185.00 |
| Average target | 171.13 |
| Lowest target | 155.00 |
| Current price | 161.16 |
Yum! Brands price target historyWhat is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
Have analysts recently raised or lowered their Yum! Brands price target and rating?
How analysts rate Yum! Brands, month by monthWhat is the analyst rating? The analyst rating sums up what the analysts covering a stock recommend, from strong buy to strong sell, by the share of them rating it a buy.
9 of 14 firms rate it buy now, against 10 of 18 in December 2025.
Each month: every firm at its latest rating from the 12 months before. Strong buys count as buys, strong sells as sells.
Yum! Brands analyst upgrades, downgrades and price targets
The latest rating change came on 24 September 2026, when Argus Research downgraded Yum! Brands from Buy to Hold. The most recent new target came from RBC Capital on 4 November 2026: 180.00.
| Date | Firm | Rating | Price target | Change | Price then |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2026 | RBC Capital Logan Reich | Reiterated · Sector Perform | 170.00 → 180.00 | +5.9% | 164.39 |
| 21 Oct 2026 | Deutsche Bank Lauren Silberman | — | 174.00 → 167.00 | -4.0% | 149.72 |
| 6 Oct 2026 | Guggenheim | Reiterated · Buy | 180.00 → 155.00 | -13.9% | 139.35 |
| 24 Sept 2026 | Argus Research | Downgraded · Buy → Hold | — | — | — |
| 16 Sept 2026 | Robert W. Baird Chris O'Cull | — | 165.00 | — | 140.77 |
| 16 Sept 2026 | Seaport Global | — | 162.00 | — | 140.77 |
| 10 Sept 2026 | Wells Fargo Zachary Fadem | Upgraded · Equal Weight → Overweight | 160.00 → 175.00 | +9.4% | 145.09 |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Argus Research John Staszak | Reiterated · Buy | 180.00 | — | 143.70 |
| 31 Jul 2026 | RBC Capital Logan Reich | Reiterated · Sector Perform | 165.00 → 170.00 | +3.0% | 153.92 |
| 31 Jul 2026 | Deutsche Bank Lauren Silberman | — | 177.00 → 174.00 | -1.7% | 153.17 |
| 3 Jun 2026 | Morgan Stanley Brian Harbour | Upgraded · Equal Weight → Overweight | 180.00 → 185.00 | +2.8% | 146.58 |
| 4 May 2026 | BMO Capital Andrew Strelzik | — | 165.00 → 168.00 | +1.8% | 156.77 |
| 1 May 2026 | Morgan Stanley | — | 176.00 → 180.00 | +2.3% | 157.71 |
| 30 Apr 2026 | Deutsche Bank | — | 171.00 → 177.00 | +3.5% | 159.46 |
| 15 Apr 2026 | Deutsche Bank Lauren Silberman | — | 171.00 | — | 161.46 |
| 13 Feb 2026 | Evercore ISI | Reiterated · Outperform | 180.00 → 190.00 | +5.6% | 162.04 |
| 12 Feb 2026 | Guggenheim Gregory Francfort | — | 160.00 → 180.00 | +12.5% | 159.06 |
| 5 Feb 2026 | Wells Fargo | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 160.00 | — | 159.57 |
| 5 Feb 2026 | BMO Capital | — | 165.00 | — | 159.57 |
| 5 Feb 2026 | Barclays | — | 175.00 → 185.00 | +5.7% | 159.57 |
| 2 Feb 2026 | UBS Dennis Geiger | — | 180.00 | — | 157.16 |
| 20 Jan 2026 | Morgan Stanley Brian Harbour | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 165.00 → 176.00 | +6.7% | 157.23 |
| 8 Jan 2026 | Gordon Haskett Capital Corporation | Upgraded · Hold → Buy | 176.00 | — | 152.65 |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Bernstein Jeffrey Bernstein | — | 160.00 → 179.00 | +11.9% | 151.41 |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Oppenheimer | Downgraded · Outperform → Perform | — | — | — |
| 17 Nov 2025 | Stifel Nicolaus Chris O'Cull | — | 160.00 | — | 148.03 |
| 17 Nov 2025 | TD Cowen | Upgraded · Hold → Buy | — | — | — |
Yum! Brands EPS and revenue estimatesWhat are estimate revisions? Estimate revisions are the changes analysts make to their EPS and revenue forecasts for the years ahead. They show whether expectations are rising or falling.
Analysts expect Yum! Brands's EPS to grow 11.9% a year until 2028. Over the last 5 years it grew 13.6% a year, and over the last 3 years 6.8%.
Analysts expect Yum! Brands's revenue to grow 3.9% a year until 2028. Over the last 5 years it grew 7.8% a year, and over the last 3 years 6.3%.
Revenue
EPS
Does Yum! Brands beat earnings estimates?What is an earnings surprise? An earnings surprise is how far a company's reported EPS or revenue came above or below the analysts' average estimate, in percent.
On average, analysts' EPS estimate was 3.7% off the result, either way, and their revenue estimate 2.1%, over the last 12 quarters.
- EPS beats
- 83 / 114
- Revenue beats
- 78 / 114
- Average EPS surprise, last 12What is an earnings surprise? An earnings surprise is how far a company's reported EPS or revenue came above or below the analysts' average estimate, in percent.
- +0.3%
- Since
- October 1997
| Quarter | Report date | EPS estimate | Reported EPS | Surprise | Revenue estimate | Reported revenue | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 FY2026 | 3 Nov 2026 | 1.51 | 1.56 | +3.3% | 2.05B | 2.05B | +0.1% |
| Q2 FY2026 | 30 Jul 2026 | 1.57 | 1.62 | +3.2% | 2.18B | 2.17B | -0.5% |
| Q1 FY2026 | 29 Apr 2026 | 1.38 | 1.50 | +8.7% | 2.04B | 2.06B | +0.7% |
| Q4 FY2025 | 4 Feb 2026 | 1.76 | 1.73 | -1.7% | 2.45B | 2.51B | +2.6% |
| Q3 FY2025 | 4 Nov 2025 | 1.49 | 1.58 | +6.0% | 2.00B | 1.98B | -1.1% |
| Q2 FY2025 | 5 Aug 2025 | 1.46 | 1.44 | -1.4% | 1.94B | 1.93B | -0.3% |
| Q1 FY2025 | 30 Apr 2025 | 1.29 | 1.30 | +0.8% | 1.85B | 1.79B | -3.5% |
| Q4 FY2024 | 6 Feb 2025 | 1.60 | 1.61 | +0.6% | 2.36B | 2.36B | +0.3% |
| Q3 FY2024 | 5 Nov 2024 | 1.42 | 1.37 | -3.5% | 1.90B | 1.83B | -3.8% |
| Q2 FY2024 | 6 Aug 2024 | 1.33 | 1.35 | +1.5% | 1.81B | 1.76B | -2.3% |
| Q1 FY2024 | 1 May 2024 | 1.20 | 1.15 | -4.2% | 1.71B | 1.60B | -6.6% |
| Q4 FY2023 | 7 Feb 2024 | 1.40 | 1.26 | -10.0% | 2.11B | 2.04B | -3.3% |
Yum! Brands stock price 2026–2030: scenariosHow are the stock price scenarios calculated? Bear, base and bull prices for the years ahead: the analysts' EPS estimates times the lowest, average and highest P/E of the stock today and at its last five year ends, or of its peers.
If Yum! Brands's earnings keep growing at the 8.8% a year analysts expect to FY2028, it would earn about 9.24 a share in FY2030. At the P/E it has traded at over the last five years (12.9 to 27.7) that is 118.75 to 255.62 a share, or 218.98 at its average P/E of 23.7. This is arithmetic on the analysts' estimates, not a prediction.
| Fiscal year | EPS | Bear | Base | Bull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | 6.43 | 82.64 | 152.39 | 177.89 |
| FY2027 | 6.82 | 87.61 | 161.55 | 188.57 |
| FY2028 | 7.80 | 100.25 | 184.86 | 215.78 |
| FY2029 (extrapolated) | 8.49 | 109.11 | 201.20 | 234.86 |
| FY2030 (extrapolated) | 9.24 | 118.75 | 218.98 | 255.62 |
Each year's EPS is the analysts' consensus to FY2028; the years after grow 8.8% a year (the analysts' growth, at most 15%). Bear, base and bull apply the lowest, average and highest P/E of today and the last five fiscal year ends, leaving out any above 60, the mark of a year of collapsed earnings (12.9, 23.7, 27.7).
Is Yum! Brands stock undervalued or overvalued?How does Arincen work out a stock's fair value? Fair value is our estimate of a share's price at the P/E the company usually trades at, with a low to high range around it.
Yum! Brands's P/E of 12.9 is near the bottom of its 5-year range (12.5 to 31.6, median 24.4). It is within 5% of its 5-year low. Analysts do not expect slower growth than in recent years, so it is cheaper than its usual level. Buyers pay less for each point of growth than usual: a PEG of 1.1 on expected growth against 1.8 on its median P/E and past five years' growth. At its usual P/E (24.4 × EPS of 12.54), Yum! Brands's fair value is 305.51; the price, 161.16, is 47.2% below it. Its forward P/E, on the consensus for FY2026, is 25.1.
Fair value is the usual (median) P/E of the last five years times the earnings per share of the last twelve months; the ends of the bar are the same earnings at its lowest and highest P/E of those years (12.5 and 31.6). The price against its P/E range
- Price to earnings ratio (TTM)What is the P/E ratio? The P/E ratio divides a share's price by its earnings per share over the last year: what you pay for each dollar of profit.
- 12.85
- Five-year median P/EWhat is the P/E ratio? The P/E ratio divides a share's price by its earnings per share over the last year: what you pay for each dollar of profit.
- 24.36
- Five-year P/E range
- 12.5 – 31.6
- Forward P/E (FY2026)What is the forward P/E ratio? Forward P/E divides a share's price by the earnings per share analysts expect in the coming year, rather than last year's actual earnings.
- 25.06
- PEG ratioWhat is the PEG ratio? The PEG ratio divides the P/E by the yearly earnings growth analysts expect, to show how much you pay for each point of growth.
- 1.45
- To the average targetWhat is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
- +6.2%
Most undervalued US stocksHow does Arincen work out a stock's fair value? Fair value is our estimate of a share's price at the P/E the company usually trades at, with a low to high range around it.
| Stock | Price | Fair value | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99.090 | 194.93146Price 99.09244 | +96.7% | |
| 42.225 | 82.9546Price 42.23165 | +96.4% | |
| 186.680 | 360.82271Price 186.68451 | +93.3% | |
| 213.670 | 405.57304Price 213.67507 | +89.8% | |
| 160.650 | 300.09225Price 160.65375 | +86.8% | |
| 165.860 | 308.95212Price 165.86442 | +86.3% |
Furthest below the fair value on each stock's page, updated every day.