47/100BUnited Parcel Service stock forecast 2026–2030What is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
Analysts' average 12-month price target for United Parcel Service is 115.79, 3.4% above the current price of 111.98. Their targets range from 76.00 to 135.00.
Of the 19 firms that rated United Parcel Service in the past 12 months, 8 rate it buy or strong buy, 9 hold and 2 sell or strong sell (each firm at its latest rating): a Hold consensus.
Analysts' 1-year price targets range from 76.00 to 135.00, with an average of 115.79.
| Buy | 8 | |
| Hold | 9 | |
| Sell | 2 |
12-month price target
| Highest target | 135.00 |
| Average target | 115.79 |
| Lowest target | 76.00 |
| Current price | 111.98 |
United Parcel Service price target historyWhat is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
Have analysts recently raised or lowered their United Parcel Service price target and rating?
How analysts rate United Parcel Service, month by monthWhat is the analyst rating? The analyst rating sums up what the analysts covering a stock recommend, from strong buy to strong sell, by the share of them rating it a buy.
8 of 19 firms rate it buy now, against 7 of 18 in December 2025.
Each month: every firm at its latest rating from the 12 months before. Strong buys count as buys, strong sells as sells.
United Parcel Service analyst upgrades, downgrades and price targets
The latest rating change came on 8 January 2026, when Wolfe Research downgraded United Parcel Service from Outperform to Peer Perform. The most recent new target came from Oppenheimer on 28 October 2026: 119.00.
| Date | Firm | Rating | Price target | Change | Price then |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 | Oppenheimer Scott Schneeberger | Reiterated · Outperform | 117.00 → 119.00 | +1.7% | 105.02 |
| 28 Oct 2026 | Barclays | Reiterated · Underweight | 95.00 | — | 106.14 |
| 28 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo Christian Wetherbee | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 110.00 → 112.00 | +1.8% | 106.14 |
| 27 Oct 2026 | Goldman Sachs | — | 132.00 → 135.00 | +2.3% | 106.14 |
| 21 Oct 2026 | Bernstein | Reiterated · Outperform | 131.00 → 127.00 | -3.1% | 98.52 |
| 20 Oct 2026 | Evercore ISI | Reiterated · In Line | 118.00 → 107.00 | -9.3% | 97.46 |
| 7 Oct 2026 | Truist Financial Lucas Servera | Reiterated · Buy | 100.00 → 115.00 | +15.0% | 93.17 |
| 29 Jul 2026 | BMO Capital | Reiterated · Market Perform | 110.00 → 115.00 | +4.5% | 104.90 |
| 29 Jul 2026 | Oppenheimer | Reiterated · Outperform | 115.00 → 117.00 | +1.7% | 105.59 |
| 29 Jul 2026 | Susquehanna | Reiterated · Neutral | 118.00 → 120.00 | +1.7% | 105.59 |
| 29 Jul 2026 | Stifel Nicolaus Bruce Chan | Reiterated · Buy | 114.00 → 115.00 | +0.9% | 105.59 |
| 29 Jul 2026 | Stephens | Reiterated · Overweight | 115.00 → 130.00 | +13.0% | 105.59 |
| 29 Jul 2026 | UBS | Reiterated · Buy | 125.00 → 124.00 | -0.8% | 105.59 |
| 29 Jul 2026 | Bernstein David Vernon | — | 133.00 → 131.00 | -1.5% | 105.59 |
| 29 Jul 2026 | Raymond James Patrick Tyler Brown | — | 115.00 → 131.00 | +13.9% | 105.59 |
| 28 Jul 2026 | Goldman Sachs | — | 127.00 → 132.00 | +3.9% | 105.59 |
| 28 Jul 2026 | Evercore ISI | — | 117.00 → 118.00 | +0.9% | 105.56 |
| 21 Jul 2026 | Evercore ISI Jonathan Chappell | Reiterated · In Line | 111.00 → 117.00 | +5.4% | 113.19 |
| 21 Jul 2026 | Bernstein David Vernon | Reiterated · Outperform | 128.00 → 133.00 | +3.9% | 113.19 |
| 6 Jul 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Reiterated · Underweight | 75.00 → 76.00 | +1.3% | 110.00 |
| 29 Apr 2026 | Evercore ISI | Reiterated · In Line | 113.00 → 111.00 | -1.8% | 105.45 |
| 29 Apr 2026 | Susquehanna | Reiterated · Neutral | 116.00 → 118.00 | +1.7% | 103.92 |
| 28 Apr 2026 | Goldman Sachs | — | 99.00 → 127.00 | +28.3% | 103.92 |
| 24 Apr 2026 | Stifel Nicolaus Bruce Chan | — | 116.00 → 114.00 | -1.7% | 106.61 |
| 24 Apr 2026 | Susquehanna | — | 115.00 → 116.00 | +0.9% | 106.35 |
| 28 Jan 2026 | Raymond James | — | 120.00 → 115.00 | -4.2% | 104.90 |
| 28 Jan 2026 | HSBC Parash Jain | — | 105.00 → 125.00 | +19.0% | 105.92 |
| 28 Jan 2026 | BMO Capital | Reiterated · Market Perform | 105.00 → 110.00 | +4.8% | 107.22 |
| 28 Jan 2026 | Oppenheimer | Reiterated · Outperform | 107.00 → 115.00 | +7.5% | 107.22 |
| 28 Jan 2026 | Stifel Nicolaus | Reiterated · Buy | 112.00 → 116.00 | +3.6% | 107.22 |
| 28 Jan 2026 | Stephens | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 86.00 → 115.00 | +33.7% | 107.22 |
| 28 Jan 2026 | UBS | Reiterated · Buy | 116.00 → 125.00 | +7.8% | 107.22 |
| 28 Jan 2026 | Bernstein David Vernon | — | 125.00 → 128.00 | +2.4% | 107.22 |
| 28 Jan 2026 | Wells Fargo | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 96.00 → 110.00 | +14.6% | 107.22 |
| 21 Jan 2026 | Evercore ISI Jonathan Chappell | Reiterated · In Line | 92.00 → 113.00 | +22.8% | 106.54 |
| 20 Jan 2026 | Susquehanna Bascome Majors | Reiterated · Neutral | 105.00 → 115.00 | +9.5% | 106.44 |
| 13 Jan 2026 | BNP Paribas | — | 85.00 | — | 108.03 |
| 9 Jan 2026 | Bernstein David Vernon | Reiterated · Outperform | 122.00 → 125.00 | +2.5% | 106.97 |
| 8 Jan 2026 | Wolfe Research | Downgraded · Outperform → Peer Perform | — | — | — |
| 7 Jan 2026 | UBS | Reiterated · Buy | 113.00 → 116.00 | +2.7% | 105.24 |
| 18 Dec 2025 | Goldman Sachs | — | 99.00 | — | 100.96 |
| 16 Dec 2025 | Stifel Nicolaus | Reiterated · Buy | 110.00 → 112.00 | +1.8% | 100.06 |
United Parcel Service EPS and revenue estimatesWhat are estimate revisions? Estimate revisions are the changes analysts make to their EPS and revenue forecasts for the years ahead. They show whether expectations are rising or falling.
Analysts expect United Parcel Service's EPS to grow 9.4% a year until 2028. Over the last 5 years it grew 33.6% a year, and over the last 3 years it fell 20.8%.
Analysts expect United Parcel Service's revenue to grow 3.7% a year until 2028. Over the last 5 years it grew 1.0% a year, and over the last 3 years it fell 3.9%.
Revenue
EPS
Does United Parcel Service beat earnings estimates?What is an earnings surprise? An earnings surprise is how far a company's reported EPS or revenue came above or below the analysts' average estimate, in percent.
On average, analysts' EPS estimate was 8.7% off the result, either way, and their revenue estimate 2.1%, over the last 12 quarters.
- EPS beats
- 73 / 108
- Revenue beats
- 63 / 108
- Average EPS surprise, last 12What is an earnings surprise? An earnings surprise is how far a company's reported EPS or revenue came above or below the analysts' average estimate, in percent.
- +6.9%
- Since
- January 2000
| Quarter | Report date | EPS estimate | Reported EPS | Surprise | Revenue estimate | Reported revenue | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 FY2026 | 27 Oct 2026 | 1.62 | 1.69 | +4.3% | 22.27B | 22.90B | +2.8% |
| Q2 FY2026 | 28 Jul 2026 | 1.66 | 1.76 | +6.0% | 21.86B | 22.80B | +4.3% |
| Q1 FY2026 | 28 Apr 2026 | 1.04 | 1.07 | +2.9% | 21.86B | 21.20B | -3.0% |
| Q4 FY2025 | 27 Jan 2026 | 2.20 | 2.38 | +8.2% | 24.01B | 24.50B | +2.0% |
| Q3 FY2025 | 28 Oct 2025 | 1.29 | 1.74 | +34.9% | 20.84B | 21.42B | +2.8% |
| Q2 FY2025 | 29 Jul 2025 | 1.56 | 1.55 | -0.6% | 20.85B | 21.22B | +1.8% |
| Q1 FY2025 | 29 Apr 2025 | 1.38 | 1.49 | +8.0% | 21.00B | 21.55B | +2.6% |
| Q4 FY2024 | 30 Jan 2025 | 2.52 | 2.75 | +9.1% | 25.41B | 25.30B | -0.4% |
| Q3 FY2024 | 24 Oct 2024 | 1.63 | 1.76 | +8.0% | 22.10B | 22.25B | +0.7% |
| Q2 FY2024 | 23 Jul 2024 | 1.99 | 1.79 | -10.1% | 22.17B | 21.77B | -1.8% |
| Q1 FY2024 | 23 Apr 2024 | 1.29 | 1.43 | +10.9% | 21.84B | 21.67B | -0.8% |
| Q4 FY2023 | 30 Jan 2024 | 2.44 | 2.47 | +1.2% | 25.45B | 24.92B | -2.1% |
United Parcel Service stock price 2026–2030: scenariosHow are the stock price scenarios calculated? Bear, base and bull prices for the years ahead: the analysts' EPS estimates times the lowest, average and highest P/E of the stock today and at its last five year ends, or of its peers.
If United Parcel Service's earnings keep growing at the 6.2% a year analysts expect to FY2028, it would earn about 9.68 a share in FY2030. At the P/E it has traded at over the last five years (13.1 to 21.5) that is 126.96 to 208.15 a share, or 166.31 at its average P/E of 17.2. This is arithmetic on the analysts' estimates, not a prediction.
| Fiscal year | EPS | Bear | Base | Bull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | 7.26 | 95.24 | 124.75 | 156.13 |
| FY2027 | 8.06 | 105.60 | 138.33 | 173.13 |
| FY2028 | 8.58 | 112.52 | 147.39 | 184.46 |
| FY2029 (extrapolated) | 9.12 | 119.52 | 156.57 | 195.95 |
| FY2030 (extrapolated) | 9.68 | 126.96 | 166.31 | 208.15 |
Each year's EPS is the analysts' consensus to FY2028; the years after grow 6.2% a year (the analysts' growth, at most 15%). Bear, base and bull apply the lowest, average and highest P/E of today and the last five fiscal year ends, leaving out any above 60, the mark of a year of collapsed earnings (13.1, 17.2, 21.5).
Is United Parcel Service stock undervalued or overvalued?How does Arincen work out a stock's fair value? Fair value is our estimate of a share's price at the P/E the company usually trades at, with a low to high range around it.
United Parcel Service's P/E of 21.5 is near the top of its 5-year range (11.7 to 31.1, median 15.4). Analysts expect faster growth than in recent years, which can explain part of the high P/E. Buyers pay more for each point of growth than usual: a PEG of 2.3 on expected growth against 0.5 on its median P/E and past five years' growth. At its usual P/E (15.4 × EPS of 5.21), United Parcel Service's fair value is 80.15; the price, 111.98, is 39.7% above it. Its forward P/E, on the consensus for FY2026, is 15.4.
Fair value is the usual (median) P/E of the last five years times the earnings per share of the last twelve months; the ends of the bar are the same earnings at its lowest and highest P/E of those years (11.7 and 31.1). The price against its P/E range
- Price to earnings ratio (TTM)What is the P/E ratio? The P/E ratio divides a share's price by its earnings per share over the last year: what you pay for each dollar of profit.
- 21.49
- Five-year median P/EWhat is the P/E ratio? The P/E ratio divides a share's price by its earnings per share over the last year: what you pay for each dollar of profit.
- 15.38
- Five-year P/E range
- 11.7 – 31.1
- Forward P/E (FY2026)What is the forward P/E ratio? Forward P/E divides a share's price by the earnings per share analysts expect in the coming year, rather than last year's actual earnings.
- 15.42
- PEG ratioWhat is the PEG ratio? The PEG ratio divides the P/E by the yearly earnings growth analysts expect, to show how much you pay for each point of growth.
- 3.45
- To the average targetWhat is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
- +3.4%
Most undervalued US stocksHow does Arincen work out a stock's fair value? Fair value is our estimate of a share's price at the P/E the company usually trades at, with a low to high range around it.
| Stock | Price | Fair value | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35.850 | 71.4258Price 35.85193 | +99.2% | |
| 29.050 | 56.2634Price 29.0596 | +93.7% | |
| 241.000 | 464.49205Price 241.00627 | +92.7% | |
| 123.590 | 237.24178Price 123.59297 | +92.0% | |
| 161.400 | 305.52159Price 161.40396 | +89.3% | |
| 157.460 | 297.58169Price 157.46471 | +89.0% | |
| 217.560 | 405.38304Price 217.56507 | +86.3% |
Furthest below the fair value on each stock's page, updated every day.