57/100BUBS Group stock forecast 2027–2029What is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
Analysts' average 12-month price target for UBS Group is 23.57, 50.7% below the current price of 47.77. Their targets range from 19.24 to 34.00.
Of the 2 firms that rated UBS Group in the past 12 months, 1 rate it buy or strong buy, 1 hold and 0 sell or strong sell (each firm at its latest rating): a Hold consensus.
Analysts' 1-year price targets range from 19.24 to 34.00, with an average of 23.57.
| Buy | 1 | |
| Hold | 1 | |
| Sell | 0 |
12-month price target
| Highest target | 34.00 |
| Average target | 23.57 |
| Lowest target | 19.24 |
| Current price | 47.77 |
UBS Group price target historyWhat is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
How analysts rate UBS Group, month by monthWhat is the analyst rating? The analyst rating sums up what the analysts covering a stock recommend, from strong buy to strong sell, by the share of them rating it a buy.
1 of 2 firms rate it buy now, against 3 of 3 in December 2025.
Each month: every firm at its latest rating from the 12 months before. Strong buys count as buys, strong sells as sells.
UBS Group analyst upgrades, downgrades and price targets
The latest rating change came on 20 April 2026, when Barclays upgraded UBS Group from Underweight to Equal Weight.
| Date | Firm | Rating | Price target | Change | Price then |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr 2026 | Barclays | Upgraded · Underweight → Equal Weight | — | — | — |
| 16 Dec 2025 | B of A Securities | Upgraded · Neutral → Buy | — | — | — |
UBS Group EPS and revenue estimatesWhat are estimate revisions? Estimate revisions are the changes analysts make to their EPS and revenue forecasts for the years ahead. They show whether expectations are rising or falling.
Analysts expect UBS Group's EPS to grow 33.9% a year until 2027, faster than over the last 5 years (5.9% a year) and the last 3 years (1.6%).
Analysts expect UBS Group's revenue to fall 8.3% a year until 2028. Over the last 5 years it grew 18.2% a year, and over the last 3 years it grew 26.1%.
Revenue
EPS
Does UBS Group beat earnings estimates?What is an earnings surprise? An earnings surprise is how far a company's reported EPS or revenue came above or below the analysts' average estimate, in percent.
On average, analysts' EPS estimate was 38.0% off the result, either way, and their revenue estimate 2.6%, over the last 12 quarters.
- EPS beats
- 38 / 74
- Revenue beats
- 54 / 72
- Average EPS surprise, last 12What is an earnings surprise? An earnings surprise is how far a company's reported EPS or revenue came above or below the analysts' average estimate, in percent.
- +2.6%
- Since
- February 2007
| Quarter | Report date | EPS estimate | Reported EPS | Surprise | Revenue estimate | Reported revenue | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 FY2026 | 28 Oct 2026 | 0.91 | 0.85 | -6.6% | 13.07B | 13.39B | +2.4% |
| Q2 FY2026 | 29 Jul 2026 | 0.90 | 0.87 | -3.3% | 13.40B | 13.35B | -0.4% |
| Q1 FY2026 | 29 Apr 2026 | 0.85 | 0.94 | +10.6% | 13.16B | 13.64B | +3.7% |
| Q4 FY2025 | 4 Feb 2026 | 0.54 | 0.37 | -31.7% | 11.71B | 12.20B | +4.2% |
| Q3 FY2025 | 29 Oct 2025 | 0.49 | 0.76 | +55.9% | 11.92B | 12.20B | +2.3% |
| Q2 FY2025 | 30 Jul 2025 | 0.70 | 0.72 | +2.9% | 11.57B | 11.55B | -0.2% |
| Q1 FY2025 | 30 Apr 2025 | 0.42 | 0.51 | +21.4% | 11.66B | 11.90B | +2.1% |
| Q4 FY2024 | 4 Feb 2025 | 0.31 | 0.23 | -25.8% | 11.17B | 11.06B | -1.0% |
| Q3 FY2024 | 30 Oct 2024 | 0.35 | 0.43 | +22.9% | 11.26B | 11.67B | +3.6% |
| Q2 FY2024 | 14 Aug 2024 | 0.30 | 0.34 | +13.3% | 11.11B | 11.90B | +7.2% |
| Q1 FY2024 | 7 May 2024 | 0.24 | 0.52 | +116.7% | 12.08B | 11.96B | -1.0% |
| Q4 FY2023 | 6 Feb 2024 | 0.20 | -0.09 | -145.0% | 10.76B | 10.42B | -3.1% |
UBS Group stock price 2027–2029: scenariosHow are the stock price scenarios calculated? Bear, base and bull prices for the years ahead: the analysts' EPS estimates times the lowest, average and highest P/E of the stock today and at its last five year ends, or of its peers.
If UBS Group's earnings grow at the 33.9% a year analysts expect to FY2027, then 15.0% a year, it would earn about 5.59 a share in FY2029. At the P/E it has traded at over the last five years (3.7 to 19.1) that is 20.83 to 106.68 a share, or 68.92 at its average P/E of 12.3. This is arithmetic on the analysts' estimates, not a prediction.
| Fiscal year | EPS | Bear | Base | Bull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2027 | 4.23 | 15.75 | 52.11 | 80.66 |
| FY2028 (extrapolated) | 4.86 | 18.11 | 59.93 | 92.76 |
| FY2029 (extrapolated) | 5.59 | 20.83 | 68.92 | 106.68 |
Each year's EPS is the analysts' consensus to FY2027; the years after grow 15.0% a year (the analysts' growth, at most 15%). Bear, base and bull apply the lowest, average and highest P/E of today and the last five fiscal year ends, leaving out any above 60, the mark of a year of collapsed earnings (3.7, 12.3, 19.1).
Is UBS Group stock undervalued or overvalued?How does Arincen work out a stock's fair value? Fair value is our estimate of a share's price at the P/E the company usually trades at, with a low to high range around it.
UBS Group's P/E of 16.0 is around the middle of its 5-year range (3.0 to 54.5, median 17.2). It is in line with its own history. Buyers pay less for each point of growth than usual: a PEG of 0.5 on expected growth against 2.9 on its median P/E and past five years' growth. Fair value is not a reliable guide for UBS Group: its earnings swing (EPS fell 81.7% in FY2024), so its usual P/E would mislead. Its forward P/E, on the consensus for FY2026, is 13.0.
- Price to earnings ratio (TTM)What is the P/E ratio? The P/E ratio divides a share's price by its earnings per share over the last year: what you pay for each dollar of profit.
- 15.97
- Five-year median P/EWhat is the P/E ratio? The P/E ratio divides a share's price by its earnings per share over the last year: what you pay for each dollar of profit.
- 17.20
- Five-year P/E range
- 3.0 – 54.5
- Forward P/E (FY2026)What is the forward P/E ratio? Forward P/E divides a share's price by the earnings per share analysts expect in the coming year, rather than last year's actual earnings.
- 12.99
- PEG ratioWhat is the PEG ratio? The PEG ratio divides the P/E by the yearly earnings growth analysts expect, to show how much you pay for each point of growth.
- 0.47
- To the average targetWhat is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
- -50.7%
Most undervalued US stocksHow does Arincen work out a stock's fair value? Fair value is our estimate of a share's price at the P/E the company usually trades at, with a low to high range around it.
| Stock | Price | Fair value | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99.090 | 194.93146Price 99.09244 | +96.7% | |
| 42.225 | 82.9546Price 42.23165 | +96.4% | |
| 186.680 | 360.82271Price 186.68451 | +93.3% | |
| 213.670 | 405.57304Price 213.67507 | +89.8% | |
| 161.160 | 305.51157Price 161.16396 | +89.6% | |
| 160.650 | 300.09225Price 160.65375 | +86.8% | |
| 165.860 | 308.95212Price 165.86442 | +86.3% |
Furthest below the fair value on each stock's page, updated every day.