80/100BSouthern Copper stock forecast 2026–2030What is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
Analysts' average 12-month price target for Southern Copper is 169.60, 3.5% above the current price of 163.82. Their targets range from 140.00 to 193.00.
Of the 7 firms that rated Southern Copper in the past 12 months, 0 rate it buy or strong buy, 2 hold and 5 sell or strong sell (each firm at its latest rating): a Sell consensus.
Analysts' 1-year price targets range from 140.00 to 193.00, with an average of 169.60.
| Buy | 0 | |
| Hold | 2 | |
| Sell | 5 |
12-month price target
| Highest target | 193.00 |
| Average target | 169.60 |
| Lowest target | 140.00 |
| Current price | 163.82 |
Southern Copper price target historyWhat is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
Have analysts recently raised or lowered their Southern Copper price target and rating?
How analysts rate Southern Copper, month by monthWhat is the analyst rating? The analyst rating sums up what the analysts covering a stock recommend, from strong buy to strong sell, by the share of them rating it a buy.
0 of 7 firms rate it buy now, against 1 of 10 in December 2025.
Each month: every firm at its latest rating from the 12 months before. Strong buys count as buys, strong sells as sells.
Southern Copper analyst upgrades, downgrades and price targets
The latest rating change came on 10 November 2026, when UBS upgraded Southern Copper from Sell to Neutral. The most recent new target came from Barclays on 26 October 2026: 165.00.
| Date | Firm | Rating | Price target | Change | Price then |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov 2026 | UBS | Upgraded · Sell → Neutral | — | — | — |
| 26 Oct 2026 | Barclays | Reiterated · Underweight | 168.00 → 165.00 | -1.8% | 185.01 |
| 23 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 172.00 → 193.00 | +12.2% | 183.59 |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Barclays | Reiterated · Underweight | 166.00 → 168.00 | +1.2% | 200.51 |
| 8 Oct 2026 | UBS | Reiterated · Sell | 160.00 → 180.00 | +12.5% | 200.57 |
| 7 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley | — | 158.00 → 170.00 | +7.6% | 198.54 |
| 23 Jul 2026 | Barclays Richard Garchitorena | Reiterated · Underweight | 160.00 → 166.00 | +3.8% | 195.48 |
| 15 Jul 2026 | Barclays | — | 148.00 → 160.00 | +8.1% | 179.37 |
| 9 Jul 2026 | Wells Fargo | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 171.00 → 172.00 | +0.6% | 167.21 |
| 8 Jul 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Reiterated · Underweight | 160.00 → 158.00 | -1.2% | 169.75 |
| 30 Jun 2026 | UBS Myles Allsop | Reiterated · Sell | 145.00 → 160.00 | +10.3% | 172.48 |
| 15 Jun 2026 | Scotiabank Alfonso Salazar | Reiterated · Sector Underperform → Sector Underweight | 135.00 → 140.00 | +3.7% | 193.84 |
| 21 May 2026 | Barclays | — | 148.00 | — | 179.12 |
| 21 May 2026 | UBS | Reiterated · Sell | 140.00 → 145.00 | +3.6% | 175.28 |
| 15 May 2026 | Scotiabank Alfonso Salazar | Reiterated · Sector Underperform | 133.00 → 135.00 | +1.5% | 174.85 |
| 1 May 2026 | Wells Fargo | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 186.00 → 171.00 | -8.1% | 171.69 |
| 23 Apr 2026 | Scotiabank Alfonso Salazar | Reiterated · Sector Underperform | 125.00 → 133.00 | +6.4% | 187.74 |
| 15 Apr 2026 | Wells Fargo Timna Tanners | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 192.00 → 186.00 | -3.1% | 193.37 |
| 10 Apr 2026 | Goldman Sachs | — | 129.00 → 178.00 | +38.0% | 188.05 |
| 8 Apr 2026 | Morgan Stanley | — | 156.00 → 160.00 | +2.6% | 187.17 |
| 27 Mar 2026 | UBS Myles Allsop | Reiterated · Sell | 150.00 → 140.00 | -6.7% | 162.07 |
| 26 Feb 2026 | B of A Securities | Downgraded · Neutral → Underperform | — | — | — |
| 3 Feb 2026 | UBS | Reiterated · Sell | 148.00 → 150.00 | +1.4% | 192.80 |
| 30 Jan 2026 | Morgan Stanley | — | 138.00 → 156.00 | +13.0% | 198.20 |
| 29 Jan 2026 | Wells Fargo | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 182.00 → 192.00 | +5.5% | 198.18 |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Scotiabank | Reiterated · Sector Underperform | 125.00 | — | 191.73 |
| 23 Jan 2026 | JP Morgan | Downgraded · Neutral → Underweight | — | — | — |
| 21 Jan 2026 | UBS Myles Allsop | Downgraded · Neutral → Sell | 143.00 → 148.00 | +3.5% | 186.25 |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Goldman Sachs | — | 115.00 → 129.00 | +12.2% | 174.37 |
| 13 Jan 2026 | Wells Fargo | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 144.00 → 182.00 | +26.4% | 176.00 |
| 23 Dec 2025 | Wells Fargo | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 121.00 → 144.00 | +19.0% | 147.18 |
| 23 Dec 2025 | Itau BBA | Downgraded · Market Perform → Underperform | — | — | — |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Morgan Stanley | — | 132.00 → 138.00 | +4.5% | 143.86 |
| 12 Dec 2025 | UBS Myles Allsop | Reiterated · Neutral | 143.00 | — | 144.06 |
Southern Copper EPS and revenue estimatesWhat are estimate revisions? Estimate revisions are the changes analysts make to their EPS and revenue forecasts for the years ahead. They show whether expectations are rising or falling.
Analysts expect Southern Copper's EPS to grow 11.6% a year until 2028, slower than over the last 5 years (20.9% a year) and the last 3 years (15.4%).
Analysts expect Southern Copper's revenue to grow 7.5% a year until 2028. Over the last 5 years it grew 10.9% a year, and over the last 3 years 10.1%.
Revenue
EPS
Does Southern Copper beat earnings estimates?What is an earnings surprise? An earnings surprise is how far a company's reported EPS or revenue came above or below the analysts' average estimate, in percent.
On average, analysts' EPS estimate was 8.3% off the result, either way, and their revenue estimate 3.9%, over the last 12 quarters.
- EPS beats
- 49 / 120
- Revenue beats
- 46 / 113
- Average EPS surprise, last 12What is an earnings surprise? An earnings surprise is how far a company's reported EPS or revenue came above or below the analysts' average estimate, in percent.
- +5.4%
- Since
- April 1996
| Quarter | Report date | EPS estimate | Reported EPS | Surprise | Revenue estimate | Reported revenue | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 FY2026 | 21 Oct 2026 | 1.99 | 2.15 | +8.0% | 4.49B | 4.70B | +4.6% |
| Q2 FY2026 | 21 Jul 2026 | 1.94 | 2.01 | +3.6% | 4.28B | 4.29B | +0.3% |
| Q1 FY2026 | 28 Apr 2026 | 1.78 | 1.86 | +4.5% | 4.20B | 4.25B | +1.1% |
| Q4 FY2025 | 27 Jan 2026 | 1.50 | 1.54 | +2.7% | 3.71B | 3.87B | +4.3% |
| Q3 FY2025 | 28 Oct 2025 | 1.22 | 1.31 | +7.4% | 3.21B | 3.38B | +5.3% |
| Q2 FY2025 | 28 Jul 2025 | 1.09 | 1.18 | +8.3% | 3.05B | 3.05B | +0.1% |
| Q1 FY2025 | 24 Apr 2025 | 1.10 | 1.15 | +4.5% | 2.96B | 3.12B | +5.4% |
| Q4 FY2024 | 12 Feb 2025 | 1.00 | 0.99 | -0.9% | 2.87B | 2.78B | -2.8% |
| Q3 FY2024 | 23 Oct 2024 | 1.09 | 1.10 | +0.9% | 2.95B | 2.93B | -0.8% |
| Q2 FY2024 | 6 Aug 2024 | 1.03 | 1.18 | +14.6% | 2.85B | 3.12B | +9.6% |
| Q1 FY2024 | 26 Apr 2024 | 0.74 | 0.94 | +27.5% | 2.49B | 2.60B | +4.5% |
| Q4 FY2023 | 2 Feb 2024 | 0.66 | 0.55 | -16.3% | 2.49B | 2.30B | -7.8% |
Southern Copper stock price 2026–2030: scenariosHow are the stock price scenarios calculated? Bear, base and bull prices for the years ahead: the analysts' EPS estimates times the lowest, average and highest P/E of the stock today and at its last five year ends, or of its peers.
If Southern Copper's earnings keep growing at the 12.1% a year analysts expect to FY2028, it would earn about 9.16 a share in FY2030. At the P/E it has traded at over the last five years (12.7 to 26.3) that is 116.60 to 240.63 a share, or 185.86 at its average P/E of 20.3. This is arithmetic on the analysts' estimates, not a prediction.
| Fiscal year | EPS | Bear | Base | Bull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | 7.92 | 100.85 | 160.75 | 208.12 |
| FY2027 | 7.48 | 95.24 | 151.81 | 196.55 |
| FY2028 | 7.29 | 92.85 | 147.99 | 191.60 |
| FY2029 (extrapolated) | 8.17 | 104.05 | 165.85 | 214.72 |
| FY2030 (extrapolated) | 9.16 | 116.60 | 185.86 | 240.63 |
Each year's EPS is the analysts' consensus to FY2028; the years after grow 12.1% a year (the analysts' growth, at most 15%). Bear, base and bull apply the lowest, average and highest P/E of today and the last five fiscal year ends, leaving out any above 60, the mark of a year of collapsed earnings (12.7, 20.3, 26.3).
Is Southern Copper stock undervalued or overvalued?How does Arincen work out a stock's fair value? Fair value is our estimate of a share's price at the P/E the company usually trades at, with a low to high range around it.
Southern Copper's P/E of 21.4 is around the middle of its 5-year range (9.4 to 44.2, median 20.6). It is in line with its own history. Buyers pay more for each point of growth than usual: a PEG of 1.8 on expected growth against 1.0 on its median P/E and past five years' growth. At its usual P/E (22.5 × EPS of 7.64), Southern Copper's fair value is 171.91, close to the price of 163.82. Its forward P/E, on the consensus for FY2026, is 20.7.
Fair value is the usual (median) P/E of the last five years times the earnings per share of the last twelve months; the ends of the bar are the same earnings at its lowest and highest P/E of those years (9.4 and 44.2). The price against its P/E range
- Price to earnings ratio (TTM)What is the P/E ratio? The P/E ratio divides a share's price by its earnings per share over the last year: what you pay for each dollar of profit.
- 21.44
- Five-year median P/EWhat is the P/E ratio? The P/E ratio divides a share's price by its earnings per share over the last year: what you pay for each dollar of profit.
- 20.60
- Five-year P/E range
- 9.4 – 44.2
- Forward P/E (FY2026)What is the forward P/E ratio? Forward P/E divides a share's price by the earnings per share analysts expect in the coming year, rather than last year's actual earnings.
- 20.69
- PEG ratioWhat is the PEG ratio? The PEG ratio divides the P/E by the yearly earnings growth analysts expect, to show how much you pay for each point of growth.
- 1.78
- To the average targetWhat is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
- +3.5%
Most undervalued US stocksHow does Arincen work out a stock's fair value? Fair value is our estimate of a share's price at the P/E the company usually trades at, with a low to high range around it.
| Stock | Price | Fair value | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|
| 235.690 | 464.49205Price 235.69627 | +97.1% | |
| 28.860 | 56.2634Price 28.8696 | +94.9% | |
| 199.110 | 384.58163Price 199.112,644 | +93.1% | |
| 123.990 | 237.24178Price 123.99297 | +91.3% | |
| 157.820 | 297.58169Price 157.82471 | +88.6% | |
| 162.670 | 305.52160Price 162.67396 | +87.8% | |
| 216.610 | 405.38304Price 216.61507 | +87.1% |
Furthest below the fair value on each stock's page, updated every day.