80/100BRepublic Services stock forecast 2026–2030What is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
Analysts' average 12-month price target for Republic Services is 244.25, 4.0% below the current price of 254.54. Their targets range from 219.00 to 275.00.
Of the 15 firms that rated Republic Services in the past 12 months, 9 rate it buy or strong buy, 6 hold and 0 sell or strong sell (each firm at its latest rating): a Buy consensus.
Analysts' 1-year price targets range from 219.00 to 275.00, with an average of 244.25.
| Buy | 9 | |
| Hold | 6 | |
| Sell | 0 |
12-month price target
| Highest target | 275.00 |
| Average target | 244.25 |
| Lowest target | 219.00 |
| Current price | 254.54 |
Republic Services price target historyWhat is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
Have analysts recently raised or lowered their Republic Services price target and rating?
How analysts rate Republic Services, month by monthWhat is the analyst rating? The analyst rating sums up what the analysts covering a stock recommend, from strong buy to strong sell, by the share of them rating it a buy.
9 of 15 firms rate it buy now, against 11 of 16 in December 2025.
Each month: every firm at its latest rating from the 12 months before. Strong buys count as buys, strong sells as sells.
Republic Services analyst upgrades, downgrades and price targets
The latest rating change came on 12 November 2026, when Argus Research upgraded Republic Services from Hold to Buy. Its price target is 275.00.
| Date | Firm | Rating | Price target | Change | Price then |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2026 | Argus Research John Eade | Upgraded · Hold → Buy | 275.00 | — | 250.99 |
| 11 Nov 2026 | JP Morgan | Upgraded · Neutral → Overweight | — | — | — |
| 2 Nov 2026 | Wells Fargo Jerry Revich | Reiterated · Overweight | 238.00 → 270.00 | +13.4% | 244.04 |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Scotiabank Konark Gupta | — | 242.00 → 236.00 | -2.5% | 229.32 |
| 15 Oct 2026 | BMO Capital | — | 248.00 → 244.00 | -1.6% | 229.93 |
| 13 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 232.00 → 219.00 | -5.6% | 218.97 |
| 9 Oct 2026 | Raymond James | — | 240.00 → 235.00 | -2.1% | 217.13 |
| 8 Oct 2026 | CIBC Kevin Chiang | Reiterated · Outperform | 249.00 → 240.00 | -3.6% | 215.44 |
| 11 Aug 2026 | UBS Jon Windham | Reiterated · Neutral | 223.00 → 235.00 | +5.4% | 216.85 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | — | 225.00 → 232.00 | +3.1% | 217.57 |
| 12 May 2026 | UBS Jon Windham | Reiterated · Neutral | 220.00 → 223.00 | +1.4% | 197.73 |
| 11 May 2026 | Barclays | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 227.00 → 233.00 | +2.6% | 200.02 |
| 11 May 2026 | Argus Research | Downgraded · Buy → Hold | — | — | — |
| 8 May 2026 | CIBC Kevin Chiang | — | 249.00 | — | 200.48 |
| 23 Feb 2026 | Barclays | — | 236.00 → 227.00 | -3.8% | 219.50 |
| 18 Feb 2026 | BMO Capital | Reiterated · Outperform | 284.00 → 248.00 | -12.7% | 211.33 |
| 18 Feb 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 245.00 → 225.00 | -8.2% | 212.45 |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Oppenheimer | Reiterated · Outperform | 256.00 → 255.00 | -0.4% | 215.75 |
| 21 Jan 2026 | Scotiabank | Reiterated · Sector Perform | 246.00 → 242.00 | -1.6% | 212.97 |
| 20 Jan 2026 | Barclays | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 240.00 → 236.00 | -1.7% | 210.96 |
| 5 Jan 2026 | UBS | — | 240.00 → 220.00 | -8.3% | 210.20 |
| 24 Nov 2025 | Goldman Sachs Adam Bubes | — | 255.00 | — | 219.00 |
| 13 Nov 2025 | Wells Fargo Jerry Revich | — | 238.00 | — | 206.02 |
Republic Services EPS and revenue estimatesWhat are estimate revisions? Estimate revisions are the changes analysts make to their EPS and revenue forecasts for the years ahead. They show whether expectations are rising or falling.
Analysts expect Republic Services's EPS to grow 9.2% a year until 2028, slower than over the last 5 years (17.8% a year) and the last 3 years (13.5%).
Analysts expect Republic Services's revenue to grow 5.0% a year until 2028. Over the last 5 years it grew 10.3% a year, and over the last 3 years 7.1%.
Revenue
EPS
Does Republic Services beat earnings estimates?What is an earnings surprise? An earnings surprise is how far a company's reported EPS or revenue came above or below the analysts' average estimate, in percent.
On average, analysts' EPS estimate was 5.8% off the result, either way, and their revenue estimate 1.2%, over the last 12 quarters.
- EPS beats
- 75 / 113
- Revenue beats
- 65 / 113
- Average EPS surprise, last 12What is an earnings surprise? An earnings surprise is how far a company's reported EPS or revenue came above or below the analysts' average estimate, in percent.
- +5.8%
- Since
- October 1998
| Quarter | Report date | EPS estimate | Reported EPS | Surprise | Revenue estimate | Reported revenue | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 FY2026 | 29 Oct 2026 | 1.93 | 1.94 | +0.5% | 4.42B | 4.56B | +3.2% |
| Q2 FY2026 | 6 Aug 2026 | 1.81 | 1.85 | +2.2% | 4.36B | 4.43B | +1.5% |
| Q1 FY2026 | 7 May 2026 | 1.64 | 1.70 | +3.7% | 4.10B | 4.11B | +0.4% |
| Q4 FY2025 | 17 Feb 2026 | 1.62 | 1.76 | +8.6% | 4.21B | 4.14B | -1.7% |
| Q3 FY2025 | 30 Oct 2025 | 1.83 | 1.90 | +3.8% | 4.24B | 4.21B | -0.6% |
| Q2 FY2025 | 29 Jul 2025 | 1.77 | 1.77 | 0.0% | 4.26B | 4.24B | -0.5% |
| Q1 FY2025 | 24 Apr 2025 | 1.53 | 1.58 | +3.3% | 4.05B | 4.01B | -0.9% |
| Q4 FY2024 | 13 Feb 2025 | 1.40 | 1.58 | +12.9% | 4.07B | 4.05B | -0.7% |
| Q3 FY2024 | 29 Oct 2024 | 1.61 | 1.81 | +12.4% | 4.12B | 4.08B | -1.1% |
| Q2 FY2024 | 24 Jul 2024 | 1.53 | 1.61 | +5.2% | 4.04B | 4.05B | +0.2% |
| Q1 FY2024 | 30 Apr 2024 | 1.35 | 1.45 | +7.4% | 3.89B | 3.86B | -0.8% |
| Q4 FY2023 | 27 Feb 2024 | 1.29 | 1.41 | +9.3% | 3.73B | 3.83B | +2.7% |
Republic Services stock price 2026–2030: scenariosHow are the stock price scenarios calculated? Bear, base and bull prices for the years ahead: the analysts' EPS estimates times the lowest, average and highest P/E of the stock today and at its last five year ends, or of its peers.
If Republic Services's earnings keep growing at the 8.3% a year analysts expect to FY2028, it would earn about 10.46 a share in FY2030. At the P/E it has traded at over the last five years (27.4 to 35.2) that is 286.97 to 368.13 a share, or 329.50 at its average P/E of 31.5. This is arithmetic on the analysts' estimates, not a prediction.
| Fiscal year | EPS | Bear | Base | Bull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | 7.27 | 199.51 | 229.08 | 255.93 |
| FY2027 | 8.03 | 220.37 | 253.03 | 282.69 |
| FY2028 | 8.91 | 244.55 | 280.80 | 313.71 |
| FY2029 (extrapolated) | 9.65 | 264.91 | 304.18 | 339.83 |
| FY2030 (extrapolated) | 10.46 | 286.97 | 329.50 | 368.13 |
Each year's EPS is the analysts' consensus to FY2028; the years after grow 8.3% a year (the analysts' growth, at most 15%). Bear, base and bull apply the lowest, average and highest P/E of today and the last five fiscal year ends, leaving out any above 60, the mark of a year of collapsed earnings (27.4, 31.5, 35.2).
Is Republic Services stock undervalued or overvalued?How does Arincen work out a stock's fair value? Fair value is our estimate of a share's price at the P/E the company usually trades at, with a low to high range around it.
Republic Services's P/E of 35.2 is near the top of its 5-year range (26.4 to 38.9, median 32.2). Analysts do not expect faster growth than in recent years, so it is expensive compared with its own history. Buyers pay more for each point of growth than usual: a PEG of 3.8 on expected growth against 1.8 on its median P/E and past five years' growth. At its usual P/E (32.2 × EPS of 7.23), Republic Services's fair value is 232.89; the price, 254.54, is 9.3% above it. Its forward P/E, on the consensus for FY2026, is 35.0.
Fair value is the usual (median) P/E of the last five years times the earnings per share of the last twelve months; the ends of the bar are the same earnings at its lowest and highest P/E of those years (26.4 and 38.9). The price against its P/E range
- Price to earnings ratio (TTM)What is the P/E ratio? The P/E ratio divides a share's price by its earnings per share over the last year: what you pay for each dollar of profit.
- 35.21
- Five-year median P/EWhat is the P/E ratio? The P/E ratio divides a share's price by its earnings per share over the last year: what you pay for each dollar of profit.
- 32.21
- Five-year P/E range
- 26.4 – 38.9
- Forward P/E (FY2026)What is the forward P/E ratio? Forward P/E divides a share's price by the earnings per share analysts expect in the coming year, rather than last year's actual earnings.
- 35.01
- PEG ratioWhat is the PEG ratio? The PEG ratio divides the P/E by the yearly earnings growth analysts expect, to show how much you pay for each point of growth.
- 4.23
- To the average targetWhat is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
- -4.0%
Most undervalued US stocksHow does Arincen work out a stock's fair value? Fair value is our estimate of a share's price at the P/E the company usually trades at, with a low to high range around it.
| Stock | Price | Fair value | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|
| 235.690 | 464.49205Price 235.69627 | +97.1% | |
| 28.860 | 56.2634Price 28.8696 | +94.9% | |
| 199.110 | 384.58163Price 199.112,644 | +93.1% | |
| 123.990 | 237.24178Price 123.99297 | +91.3% | |
| 157.820 | 297.58169Price 157.82471 | +88.6% | |
| 162.670 | 305.52160Price 162.67396 | +87.8% | |
| 216.610 | 405.38304Price 216.61507 | +87.1% |
Furthest below the fair value on each stock's page, updated every day.