80/100BOld Dominion Freight Line stock forecast 2026–2030What is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
Analysts' average 12-month price target for Old Dominion Freight Line is 223.62, 29.1% above the current price of 173.20. Their targets range from 190.00 to 250.00.
Of the 19 firms that rated Old Dominion Freight Line in the past 12 months, 9 rate it buy or strong buy, 10 hold and 0 sell or strong sell (each firm at its latest rating): a Hold consensus.
Analysts' 1-year price targets range from 190.00 to 250.00, with an average of 223.62.
| Buy | 9 | |
| Hold | 10 | |
| Sell | 0 |
12-month price target
| Highest target | 250.00 |
| Average target | 223.62 |
| Lowest target | 190.00 |
| Current price | 173.20 |
Old Dominion Freight Line price target historyWhat is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
Have analysts recently raised or lowered their Old Dominion Freight Line price target and rating?
How analysts rate Old Dominion Freight Line, month by monthWhat is the analyst rating? The analyst rating sums up what the analysts covering a stock recommend, from strong buy to strong sell, by the share of them rating it a buy.
9 of 19 firms rate it buy now, against 8 of 18 in December 2025.
Each month: every firm at its latest rating from the 12 months before. Strong buys count as buys, strong sells as sells.
Old Dominion Freight Line analyst upgrades, downgrades and price targets
The latest rating change came on 7 October 2026, when Wolfe Research upgraded Old Dominion Freight Line from Underperform to Peer Perform. The most recent new target came from Barclays on 29 October 2026: 200.00.
| Date | Firm | Rating | Price target | Change | Price then |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct 2026 | Barclays | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 220.00 → 200.00 | -9.1% | 173.32 |
| 29 Oct 2026 | Raymond James Patrick Tyler Brown | — | 241.00 → 210.00 | -12.9% | 173.32 |
| 29 Oct 2026 | Jefferies Stephanie Moore | — | 227.00 → 190.00 | -16.3% | 173.32 |
| 8 Oct 2026 | Stifel Nicolaus | Reiterated · Buy | 263.00 → 230.00 | -12.5% | 175.61 |
| 7 Oct 2026 | Truist Financial Lucas Servera | Reiterated · Buy | 225.00 → 230.00 | +2.2% | 177.48 |
| 7 Oct 2026 | BMO Capital | — | 230.00 → 235.00 | +2.2% | 179.01 |
| 7 Oct 2026 | Wolfe Research | Upgraded · Underperform → Peer Perform | — | — | — |
| 2 Oct 2026 | Susquehanna Harrison Bauer | Reiterated · Neutral | 228.00 → 202.00 | -11.4% | 180.96 |
| 10 Sept 2026 | Bernstein David Vernon | — | 200.00 | — | 181.96 |
| 8 Sept 2026 | Citigroup | Upgraded · Neutral → Buy | — | — | — |
| 30 Jul 2026 | UBS | Reiterated · Neutral | 224.00 → 228.00 | +1.8% | 210.38 |
| 30 Jul 2026 | Evercore ISI | Reiterated · Outperform | 219.00 → 243.00 | +11.0% | 211.29 |
| 30 Jul 2026 | Stifel Nicolaus | Reiterated · Buy | 256.00 → 263.00 | +2.7% | 222.79 |
| 30 Jul 2026 | Jefferies Stephanie Moore | — | 227.00 | — | 222.79 |
| 29 Jul 2026 | Goldman Sachs Jordan Alliger | — | 235.00 → 244.00 | +3.8% | 222.79 |
| 21 Jul 2026 | Stifel Nicolaus Bruce Chan | Reiterated · Buy | 228.00 → 256.00 | +12.3% | 231.76 |
| 14 Jul 2026 | Susquehanna | Reiterated · Neutral | 224.00 → 228.00 | +1.8% | 229.50 |
| 13 Jul 2026 | Raymond James | Reiterated · Outperform | 224.00 → 241.00 | +7.6% | 231.21 |
| 9 Jul 2026 | Citigroup | Upgraded · Sell → Neutral | — | — | — |
| 8 Jul 2026 | Wells Fargo Christian Wetherbee | Upgraded · Equal Weight → Overweight | 235.00 → 250.00 | +6.4% | 215.51 |
| 7 Jul 2026 | UBS Thomas Wadewitz | Reiterated · Neutral | 202.00 → 224.00 | +10.9% | 216.94 |
| 6 Jul 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Downgraded · Overweight → Equal Weight | 235.00 → 245.00 | +4.3% | 217.65 |
| 1 Jul 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Upgraded · In Line → Outperform | — | — | — |
| 25 Jun 2026 | Barclays | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 210.00 → 220.00 | +4.8% | 219.04 |
| 23 Jun 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Reiterated · Buy | 216.00 → 235.00 | +8.8% | 219.52 |
| 15 Jun 2026 | Citigroup | Downgraded · Neutral → Sell | — | — | — |
| 5 Jun 2026 | Wells Fargo | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 235.00 | — | 245.52 |
| 4 Jun 2026 | BMO Capital Fadi Chamoun | — | 170.00 → 230.00 | +35.3% | 236.06 |
| 2 Jun 2026 | Susquehanna Harrison Bauer | Reiterated · Neutral | 205.00 → 224.00 | +9.3% | 225.75 |
| 30 Apr 2026 | Morgan Stanley Ravi Shanker | — | 209.00 → 235.00 | +12.4% | 210.57 |
| 30 Apr 2026 | Raymond James Patrick Tyler Brown | — | 155.00 → 224.00 | +44.5% | 213.45 |
| 30 Apr 2026 | Goldman Sachs Jordan Alliger | — | 209.00 → 216.00 | +3.3% | 209.45 |
| 30 Apr 2026 | Evercore ISI | Reiterated · In Line | 201.00 → 219.00 | +9.0% | 209.61 |
| 30 Apr 2026 | Stephens Reed Seay | Reiterated · Overweight | 232.00 → 240.00 | +3.4% | 209.35 |
| 30 Apr 2026 | Barclays | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 185.00 → 210.00 | +13.5% | 209.35 |
| 29 Apr 2026 | Goldman Sachs Jordan Alliger | — | 195.00 → 209.00 | +7.2% | 209.35 |
| 28 Apr 2026 | Robert W. Baird | — | 166.00 → 229.00 | +38.0% | 220.53 |
| 28 Apr 2026 | Baird | Upgraded · Underperform → Neutral | — | — | — |
| 16 Apr 2026 | Stifel Nicolaus | Reiterated · Buy | 217.00 → 228.00 | +5.1% | 205.19 |
| 7 Apr 2026 | Wells Fargo | Upgraded · Underweight → Equal Weight | — | — | — |
| 26 Mar 2026 | Evercore ISI Jonathan Chappell | — | 200.00 → 201.00 | +0.5% | 187.93 |
| 12 Feb 2026 | Argus Research | — | 220.00 | — | 185.92 |
| 11 Feb 2026 | Susquehanna | Reiterated · Neutral | 170.00 → 205.00 | +20.6% | 196.04 |
| 9 Feb 2026 | Citigroup | Downgraded · Buy → Neutral | — | — | — |
| 5 Feb 2026 | Deutsche Bank | — | 236.00 → 205.00 | -13.1% | 202.14 |
| 5 Feb 2026 | Stifel Nicolaus Bruce Chan | — | 173.00 → 217.00 | +25.4% | 202.36 |
| 5 Feb 2026 | Evercore ISI | Reiterated · In Line | 150.00 → 200.00 | +33.3% | 201.79 |
| 5 Feb 2026 | Truist Financial Lucas Servera | — | 185.00 → 225.00 | +21.6% | 204.78 |
| 5 Feb 2026 | UBS | Reiterated · Neutral | 164.00 → 202.00 | +23.2% | 208.54 |
| 5 Feb 2026 | Stephens | — | 190.00 → 232.00 | +22.1% | 208.54 |
Old Dominion Freight Line EPS and revenue estimatesWhat are estimate revisions? Estimate revisions are the changes analysts make to their EPS and revenue forecasts for the years ahead. They show whether expectations are rising or falling.
Analysts expect Old Dominion Freight Line's EPS to grow 16.2% a year until 2028. Over the last 5 years it grew 11.2% a year, and over the last 3 years it fell 7.4%.
Analysts expect Old Dominion Freight Line's revenue to grow 8.4% a year until 2028. Over the last 5 years it grew 6.5% a year, and over the last 3 years it fell 4.2%.
Revenue
EPS
Does Old Dominion Freight Line beat earnings estimates?What is an earnings surprise? An earnings surprise is how far a company's reported EPS or revenue came above or below the analysts' average estimate, in percent.
On average, analysts' EPS estimate was 3.7% off the result, either way, and their revenue estimate 0.7%, over the last 12 quarters.
- EPS beats
- 82 / 130
- Revenue beats
- 72 / 120
- Average EPS surprise, last 12What is an earnings surprise? An earnings surprise is how far a company's reported EPS or revenue came above or below the analysts' average estimate, in percent.
- +3.6%
- Since
- January 1993
| Quarter | Report date | EPS estimate | Reported EPS | Surprise | Revenue estimate | Reported revenue | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 FY2026 | 28 Oct 2026 | 1.61 | 1.65 | +2.5% | 1.57B | 1.59B | +1.2% |
| Q2 FY2026 | 29 Jul 2026 | 1.54 | 1.68 | +9.1% | 1.54B | 1.55B | +0.9% |
| Q1 FY2026 | 29 Apr 2026 | 1.05 | 1.14 | +8.6% | 1.31B | 1.33B | +1.6% |
| Q4 FY2025 | 4 Feb 2026 | 1.06 | 1.09 | +2.8% | 1.30B | 1.31B | +0.6% |
| Q3 FY2025 | 29 Oct 2025 | 1.22 | 1.28 | +4.9% | 1.40B | 1.41B | +0.2% |
| Q2 FY2025 | 30 Jul 2025 | 1.28 | 1.27 | -0.8% | 1.42B | 1.41B | -0.6% |
| Q1 FY2025 | 23 Apr 2025 | 1.14 | 1.19 | +4.4% | 1.37B | 1.37B | +0.6% |
| Q4 FY2024 | 5 Feb 2025 | 1.16 | 1.23 | +6.0% | 1.38B | 1.39B | +0.8% |
| Q3 FY2024 | 23 Oct 2024 | 1.42 | 1.43 | +0.7% | 1.49B | 1.47B | -1.2% |
| Q2 FY2024 | 24 Jul 2024 | 1.45 | 1.48 | +2.1% | 1.50B | 1.50B | -0.0% |
| Q1 FY2024 | 24 Apr 2024 | 1.34 | 1.34 | 0.0% | 1.47B | 1.46B | -0.7% |
| Q4 FY2023 | 31 Jan 2024 | 1.43 | 1.47 | +2.8% | 1.50B | 1.50B | -0.1% |
Old Dominion Freight Line stock price 2026–2030: scenariosHow are the stock price scenarios calculated? Bear, base and bull prices for the years ahead: the analysts' EPS estimates times the lowest, average and highest P/E of the stock today and at its last five year ends, or of its peers.
If Old Dominion Freight Line's earnings grow at the 16.2% a year analysts expect to FY2028, then 15.0% a year, it would earn about 10.03 a share in FY2030. At the P/E it has traded at over the last five years (23.1 to 40.1) that is 232.23 to 402.19 a share, or 325.20 at its average P/E of 32.4. This is arithmetic on the analysts' estimates, not a prediction.
| Fiscal year | EPS | Bear | Base | Bull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | 5.96 | 137.95 | 193.17 | 238.90 |
| FY2027 | 6.78 | 156.84 | 219.62 | 271.62 |
| FY2028 | 7.59 | 175.60 | 245.90 | 304.11 |
| FY2029 (extrapolated) | 8.72 | 201.94 | 282.78 | 349.73 |
| FY2030 (extrapolated) | 10.03 | 232.23 | 325.20 | 402.19 |
Each year's EPS is the analysts' consensus to FY2028; the years after grow 15.0% a year (the analysts' growth, at most 15%). Bear, base and bull apply the lowest, average and highest P/E of today and the last five fiscal year ends, leaving out any above 60, the mark of a year of collapsed earnings (23.1, 32.4, 40.1).
Is Old Dominion Freight Line stock undervalued or overvalued?How does Arincen work out a stock's fair value? Fair value is our estimate of a share's price at the P/E the company usually trades at, with a low to high range around it.
Old Dominion Freight Line's P/E of 31.1 is around the middle of its 5-year range (12.0 to 51.9, median 30.3). It is in line with its own history. Buyers pay less for each point of growth than usual: a PEG of 1.9 on expected growth against 2.7 on its median P/E and past five years' growth. At its usual P/E (30.3 × EPS of 5.57), Old Dominion Freight Line's fair value is 168.72, close to the price of 173.20. Its forward P/E, on the consensus for FY2026, is 29.1.
Fair value is the usual (median) P/E of the last five years times the earnings per share of the last twelve months; the ends of the bar are the same earnings at its lowest and highest P/E of those years (12.0 and 51.9). The price against its P/E range
- Price to earnings ratio (TTM)What is the P/E ratio? The P/E ratio divides a share's price by its earnings per share over the last year: what you pay for each dollar of profit.
- 31.10
- Five-year median P/EWhat is the P/E ratio? The P/E ratio divides a share's price by its earnings per share over the last year: what you pay for each dollar of profit.
- 30.29
- Five-year P/E range
- 12.0 – 51.9
- Forward P/E (FY2026)What is the forward P/E ratio? Forward P/E divides a share's price by the earnings per share analysts expect in the coming year, rather than last year's actual earnings.
- 29.06
- PEG ratioWhat is the PEG ratio? The PEG ratio divides the P/E by the yearly earnings growth analysts expect, to show how much you pay for each point of growth.
- 1.91
- To the average targetWhat is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
- +29.1%
Most undervalued US stocksHow does Arincen work out a stock's fair value? Fair value is our estimate of a share's price at the P/E the company usually trades at, with a low to high range around it.
| Stock | Price | Fair value | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35.850 | 71.4258Price 35.85193 | +99.2% | |
| 29.050 | 56.2634Price 29.0596 | +93.7% | |
| 241.000 | 464.49205Price 241.00627 | +92.7% | |
| 123.590 | 237.24178Price 123.59297 | +92.0% | |
| 161.400 | 305.52159Price 161.40396 | +89.3% | |
| 157.460 | 297.58169Price 157.46471 | +89.0% | |
| 217.560 | 405.38304Price 217.56507 | +86.3% |
Furthest below the fair value on each stock's page, updated every day.