73/100BNXP Semiconductors stock forecast 2026–2030What is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
Analysts' average 12-month price target for NXP Semiconductors is 294.13, 18.4% above the current price of 248.51. Their targets range from 190.00 to 400.00.
Of the 20 firms that rated NXP Semiconductors in the past 12 months, 11 rate it buy or strong buy, 8 hold and 1 sell or strong sell (each firm at its latest rating): a Buy consensus.
Analysts' 1-year price targets range from 190.00 to 400.00, with an average of 294.13.
| Buy | 11 | |
| Hold | 8 | |
| Sell | 1 |
12-month price target
| Highest target | 400.00 |
| Average target | 294.13 |
| Lowest target | 190.00 |
| Current price | 248.51 |
NXP Semiconductors price target historyWhat is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
Have analysts recently raised or lowered their NXP Semiconductors price target and rating?
How analysts rate NXP Semiconductors, month by monthWhat is the analyst rating? The analyst rating sums up what the analysts covering a stock recommend, from strong buy to strong sell, by the share of them rating it a buy.
11 of 20 firms rate it buy now, against 13 of 16 in December 2025.
Each month: every firm at its latest rating from the 12 months before. Strong buys count as buys, strong sells as sells.
NXP Semiconductors analyst upgrades, downgrades and price targets
The latest rating change came on 8 October 2026, when Citigroup downgraded NXP Semiconductors from Buy to Neutral. The most recent new target came from Cantor Fitzgerald on 28 October 2026: 400.00.
| Date | Firm | Rating | Price target | Change | Price then |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald Matthew Prisco | Reiterated · Overweight | 280.00 → 400.00 | +42.9% | 246.76 |
| 28 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley Joseph Moore | Reiterated · Overweight | 338.00 → 313.00 | -7.4% | 253.50 |
| 28 Oct 2026 | UBS | — | 270.00 → 280.00 | +3.7% | 253.50 |
| 8 Oct 2026 | Citigroup | Downgraded · Buy → Neutral | — | — | — |
| 5 Oct 2026 | Stifel Nicolaus Tore Svanberg | Reiterated · Hold | 282.00 → 265.00 | -6.0% | 239.60 |
| 3 Aug 2026 | UBS | Downgraded · Buy → Neutral | 270.00 | — | 229.16 |
| 29 Jul 2026 | Stifel Nicolaus Tore Svanberg | — | 215.00 → 282.00 | +31.2% | 240.58 |
| 29 Jul 2026 | Mizuho Securities | Reiterated · Underperform | 188.00 → 190.00 | +1.1% | 259.12 |
| 29 Jul 2026 | Bernstein Stacy Rasgon | — | 240.00 → 290.00 | +20.8% | 259.12 |
| 29 Jul 2026 | Morgan Stanley Joseph Moore | — | 338.00 | — | 259.12 |
| 24 Jul 2026 | Oppenheimer Richard Schafer | Reiterated · Outperform | 325.00 | — | 270.97 |
| 20 Jul 2026 | Wells Fargo | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 235.00 → 290.00 | +23.4% | 266.53 |
| 29 Apr 2026 | Barclays Tom O'Malley | Reiterated · Overweight | 255.00 → 295.00 | +15.7% | 230.39 |
| 20 Apr 2026 | Wells Fargo | Downgraded · Overweight → Equal Weight | 235.00 | — | 216.03 |
| 17 Apr 2026 | Mizuho | Downgraded · Outperform → Underperform | — | — | — |
| 16 Apr 2026 | Mizuho Securities | — | 255.00 → 188.00 | -26.3% | 213.73 |
| 13 Apr 2026 | B of A Securities | Downgraded · Buy → Neutral | — | — | — |
| 4 Feb 2026 | Mizuho Securities | Reiterated · Outperform | 255.00 | — | 220.66 |
| 4 Feb 2026 | Bernstein Stacy Rasgon | — | 220.00 → 240.00 | +9.1% | 220.66 |
| 3 Feb 2026 | Truist Financial William Stein | — | 255.00 | — | 214.79 |
| 15 Jan 2026 | Barclays Tom O'Malley | — | 255.00 | — | 241.07 |
NXP Semiconductors EPS and revenue estimatesWhat are estimate revisions? Estimate revisions are the changes analysts make to their EPS and revenue forecasts for the years ahead. They show whether expectations are rising or falling.
Analysts expect NXP Semiconductors's EPS to grow 39.4% a year until 2028. Over the last 5 years it grew 113.3% a year, and over the last 3 years it fell 9.0%.
Analysts expect NXP Semiconductors's revenue to grow 12.8% a year until 2028. Over the last 5 years it grew 7.3% a year, and over the last 3 years it fell 2.4%.
Revenue
EPS
Does NXP Semiconductors beat earnings estimates?What is an earnings surprise? An earnings surprise is how far a company's reported EPS or revenue came above or below the analysts' average estimate, in percent.
On average, analysts' EPS estimate was 1.4% off the result, either way, and their revenue estimate 0.5%, over the last 12 quarters.
- EPS beats
- 52 / 65
- Revenue beats
- 52 / 65
- Average EPS surprise, last 12What is an earnings surprise? An earnings surprise is how far a company's reported EPS or revenue came above or below the analysts' average estimate, in percent.
- +1.3%
- Since
- November 2010
| Quarter | Report date | EPS estimate | Reported EPS | Surprise | Revenue estimate | Reported revenue | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 FY2026 | 27 Oct 2026 | 4.12 | 4.20 | +1.9% | 3.76B | 3.79B | +0.6% |
| Q2 FY2026 | 28 Jul 2026 | 3.52 | 3.61 | +2.6% | 3.47B | 3.50B | +0.9% |
| Q1 FY2026 | 28 Apr 2026 | 2.98 | 3.05 | +2.3% | 3.14B | 3.18B | +1.2% |
| Q4 FY2025 | 2 Feb 2026 | 3.31 | 3.35 | +1.2% | 3.31B | 3.34B | +0.8% |
| Q3 FY2025 | 27 Oct 2025 | 3.12 | 3.11 | -0.3% | 3.16B | 3.17B | +0.4% |
| Q2 FY2025 | 21 Jul 2025 | 2.68 | 2.72 | +1.5% | 2.90B | 2.93B | +0.8% |
| Q1 FY2025 | 28 Apr 2025 | 2.61 | 2.64 | +1.1% | 2.83B | 2.84B | +0.1% |
| Q4 FY2024 | 3 Feb 2025 | 3.14 | 3.18 | +1.3% | 3.10B | 3.11B | +0.3% |
| Q3 FY2024 | 4 Nov 2024 | 3.43 | 3.45 | +0.6% | 3.25B | 3.25B | -0.1% |
| Q2 FY2024 | 22 Jul 2024 | 3.21 | 3.20 | -0.3% | 3.13B | 3.13B | +0.0% |
| Q1 FY2024 | 29 Apr 2024 | 3.19 | 3.24 | +1.6% | 3.13B | 3.13B | -0.1% |
| Q4 FY2023 | 5 Feb 2024 | 3.64 | 3.71 | +1.9% | 3.40B | 3.42B | +0.7% |
NXP Semiconductors stock price 2026–2030: scenariosHow are the stock price scenarios calculated? Bear, base and bull prices for the years ahead: the analysts' EPS estimates times the lowest, average and highest P/E of the stock today and at its last five year ends, or of its peers.
If NXP Semiconductors's earnings grow at the 22.1% a year analysts expect to FY2028, then 15.0% a year, it would earn about 28.48 a share in FY2030. At the P/E it has traded at over the last five years (14.9 to 33.0) that is 422.98 to 938.78 a share, or 648.89 at its average P/E of 22.8. This is arithmetic on the analysts' estimates, not a prediction.
| Fiscal year | EPS | Bear | Base | Bull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | 15.23 | 226.18 | 346.99 | 502.00 |
| FY2027 | 18.35 | 272.56 | 418.13 | 604.93 |
| FY2028 | 21.53 | 319.84 | 490.66 | 709.85 |
| FY2029 (extrapolated) | 24.76 | 367.81 | 564.25 | 816.33 |
| FY2030 (extrapolated) | 28.48 | 422.98 | 648.89 | 938.78 |
Each year's EPS is the analysts' consensus to FY2028; the years after grow 15.0% a year (the analysts' growth, at most 15%). Bear, base and bull apply the lowest, average and highest P/E of today and the last five fiscal year ends, leaving out any above 60, the mark of a year of collapsed earnings (14.9, 22.8, 33.0).
Is NXP Semiconductors stock undervalued or overvalued?How does Arincen work out a stock's fair value? Fair value is our estimate of a share's price at the P/E the company usually trades at, with a low to high range around it.
NXP Semiconductors's P/E of 19.4 is below the middle of its 5-year range (14.3 to 41.4, median 21.0). Analysts do not expect slower growth than in recent years, so it is cheaper than its usual level. Buyers pay more for each point of growth than usual: a PEG of 0.5 on expected growth against 0.2 on its median P/E and past five years' growth. At its usual P/E (21.8 × EPS of 10.79), NXP Semiconductors's fair value is 234.85; the price, 248.51, is 5.8% above it. The EPS is without 2.00 a share of one-off gains in its other income, which the business does not repeat. Its forward P/E, on the consensus for FY2026, is 16.3.
Fair value is the usual (median) P/E of the last five years times the earnings per share of the last twelve months; the ends of the bar are the same earnings at its lowest and highest P/E of those years (14.3 and 41.4). The price against its P/E range
- Price to earnings ratio (TTM)What is the P/E ratio? The P/E ratio divides a share's price by its earnings per share over the last year: what you pay for each dollar of profit.
- 19.43
- Five-year median P/EWhat is the P/E ratio? The P/E ratio divides a share's price by its earnings per share over the last year: what you pay for each dollar of profit.
- 20.99
- Five-year P/E range
- 14.3 – 41.4
- Forward P/E (FY2026)What is the forward P/E ratio? Forward P/E divides a share's price by the earnings per share analysts expect in the coming year, rather than last year's actual earnings.
- 16.32
- PEG ratioWhat is the PEG ratio? The PEG ratio divides the P/E by the yearly earnings growth analysts expect, to show how much you pay for each point of growth.
- 0.88
- To the average targetWhat is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
- +18.4%
Most undervalued US stocksHow does Arincen work out a stock's fair value? Fair value is our estimate of a share's price at the P/E the company usually trades at, with a low to high range around it.
| Stock | Price | Fair value | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99.090 | 194.93146Price 99.09244 | +96.7% | |
| 42.225 | 82.9546Price 42.23165 | +96.4% | |
| 186.680 | 360.82271Price 186.68451 | +93.3% | |
| 213.670 | 405.57304Price 213.67507 | +89.8% | |
| 161.160 | 305.51157Price 161.16396 | +89.6% | |
| 160.650 | 300.09225Price 160.65375 | +86.8% | |
| 165.860 | 308.95212Price 165.86442 | +86.3% |
Furthest below the fair value on each stock's page, updated every day.