73/100BNutrien stock forecast 2026–2030What is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
Analysts' average 12-month price target for Nutrien is 75.17, 4.9% above the current price of 71.63. Their targets range from 65.00 to 80.00.
Of the 14 firms that rated Nutrien in the past 12 months, 9 rate it buy or strong buy, 4 hold and 1 sell or strong sell (each firm at its latest rating): a Buy consensus.
Analysts' 1-year price targets range from 65.00 to 80.00, with an average of 75.17.
| Buy | 9 | |
| Hold | 4 | |
| Sell | 1 |
12-month price target
| Highest target | 80.00 |
| Average target | 75.17 |
| Lowest target | 65.00 |
| Current price | 71.63 |
Nutrien price target historyWhat is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
Have analysts recently raised or lowered their Nutrien price target and rating?
How analysts rate Nutrien, month by monthWhat is the analyst rating? The analyst rating sums up what the analysts covering a stock recommend, from strong buy to strong sell, by the share of them rating it a buy.
9 of 14 firms rate it buy now, against 6 of 16 in December 2025.
Each month: every firm at its latest rating from the 12 months before. Strong buys count as buys, strong sells as sells.
Nutrien analyst upgrades, downgrades and price targets
The latest rating change came on 16 July 2026, when Jefferies downgraded Nutrien from Buy to Hold. Its price target is 63.00. The most recent new target came from Jefferies on 12 October 2026: 71.00.
| Date | Firm | Rating | Price target | Change | Price then |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2026 | Jefferies Laurence Alexander | — | 63.00 → 71.00 | +12.7% | 67.48 |
| 25 Aug 2026 | National Bank Ahmed Abdullah | — | 64.00 → 77.00 | +20.3% | 74.29 |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Barclays Benjamin Theurer | — | 85.00 → 78.00 | -8.2% | 64.42 |
| 28 Jul 2026 | BNP Paribas David Symonds | — | 80.00 | — | 67.40 |
| 16 Jul 2026 | Jefferies Laurence Alexander | Downgraded · Buy → Hold | 63.00 | — | 68.33 |
| 30 Jun 2026 | Scotiabank | Upgraded · Sector Perform → Sector Outperform | 133.00 → 80.00 | -39.8% | 61.18 |
| 10 Jun 2026 | Berenberg Bank Lucy Bi | — | 65.00 | — | 66.35 |
| 5 May 2026 | Raymond James Nutrien to Outperform | — | 68.00 → 90.00 | +32.4% | 77.23 |
| 27 Apr 2026 | Barclays Benjamin Theurer | Upgraded · Equal Weight → Overweight | 85.00 | — | 71.57 |
| 26 Mar 2026 | UBS | Downgraded · Neutral → Sell | — | — | — |
| 13 Mar 2026 | Wells Fargo Michael Sison | Upgraded · Equal Weight → Overweight | 100.00 | — | 83.94 |
| 12 Mar 2026 | Jefferies | Upgraded · Hold → Buy | — | — | — |
| 20 Jan 2026 | RBC Capital Andrew Wong | Reiterated · Outperform | 75.00 | — | 67.47 |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Upgraded · Equal Weight → Overweight | 77.00 | — | 61.33 |
Nutrien EPS and revenue estimatesWhat are estimate revisions? Estimate revisions are the changes analysts make to their EPS and revenue forecasts for the years ahead. They show whether expectations are rising or falling.
Analysts expect Nutrien's EPS to fall 0.4% a year until 2028. Over the last 5 years it grew 41.0% a year, and over the last 3 years it fell 29.7%.
Analysts expect Nutrien's revenue to fall 0.2% a year until 2028. Over the last 5 years it grew 5.2% a year, and over the last 3 years it fell 10.8%.
Revenue
EPS
Does Nutrien beat earnings estimates?What is an earnings surprise? An earnings surprise is how far a company's reported EPS or revenue came above or below the analysts' average estimate, in percent.
On average, analysts' EPS estimate was 18.5% off the result, either way, and their revenue estimate 3.9%, over the last 12 quarters.
- EPS beats
- 14 / 36
- Revenue beats
- 19 / 35
- Average EPS surprise, last 12What is an earnings surprise? An earnings surprise is how far a company's reported EPS or revenue came above or below the analysts' average estimate, in percent.
- -8.7%
- Since
- February 2018
| Quarter | Report date | EPS estimate | Reported EPS | Surprise | Revenue estimate | Reported revenue | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 FY2026 | 4 Nov 2026 | 0.74 | 0.61 | -17.6% | 5.66B | 5.71B | +0.9% |
| Q2 FY2026 | 5 Aug 2026 | 2.70 | 2.61 | -3.3% | 10.44B | 10.47B | +0.3% |
| Q1 FY2026 | 6 May 2026 | 0.48 | 0.51 | +6.3% | 5.30B | 5.69B | +7.3% |
| Q4 FY2025 | 18 Feb 2026 | 0.87 | 0.83 | -4.6% | 5.43B | 5.12B | -5.6% |
| Q3 FY2025 | 5 Nov 2025 | 0.93 | 0.97 | +4.3% | 5.25B | 5.94B | +13.2% |
| Q2 FY2025 | 6 Aug 2025 | 2.40 | 2.65 | +10.4% | 10.45B | 10.44B | -0.1% |
| Q1 FY2025 | 7 May 2025 | 0.33 | 0.11 | -66.7% | 5.15B | 5.10B | -0.9% |
| Q4 FY2024 | 19 Feb 2025 | 0.37 | 0.31 | -16.2% | 5.08B | 5.08B | -0.1% |
| Q3 FY2024 | 6 Nov 2024 | 0.44 | 0.39 | -11.4% | 5.06B | 5.35B | +5.7% |
| Q2 FY2024 | 7 Aug 2024 | 2.13 | 2.34 | +9.9% | 10.81B | 10.16B | -6.0% |
| Q1 FY2024 | 8 May 2024 | 0.36 | 0.46 | +27.8% | 5.32B | 5.39B | +1.4% |
| Q4 FY2023 | 21 Feb 2024 | 0.65 | 0.37 | -43.1% | 5.35B | 5.66B | +6.0% |
Nutrien stock price 2026–2030: scenariosHow are the stock price scenarios calculated? Bear, base and bull prices for the years ahead: the analysts' EPS estimates times the lowest, average and highest P/E of the stock today and at its last five year ends, or of its peers.
If Nutrien's earnings keep growing at the 0.9% a year analysts expect to FY2028, it would earn about 4.78 a share in FY2030. At the P/E it has traded at over the last five years (5.3 to 32.9) that is 25.54 to 157.17 a share, or 81.84 at its average P/E of 17.1. This is arithmetic on the analysts' estimates, not a prediction.
| Fiscal year | EPS | Bear | Base | Bull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | 4.67 | 24.95 | 79.95 | 153.54 |
| FY2027 | 5.09 | 27.20 | 87.16 | 167.38 |
| FY2028 | 4.69 | 25.07 | 80.34 | 154.28 |
| FY2029 (extrapolated) | 4.73 | 25.30 | 81.09 | 155.72 |
| FY2030 (extrapolated) | 4.78 | 25.54 | 81.84 | 157.17 |
Each year's EPS is the analysts' consensus to FY2028; the years after grow 0.9% a year (the analysts' growth, at most 15%). Bear, base and bull apply the lowest, average and highest P/E of today and the last five fiscal year ends, leaving out any above 60, the mark of a year of collapsed earnings (5.3, 17.1, 32.9).
Is Nutrien stock undervalued or overvalued?How does Arincen work out a stock's fair value? Fair value is our estimate of a share's price at the P/E the company usually trades at, with a low to high range around it.
Nutrien's P/E of 15.6 is around the middle of its 5-year range (4.1 to 58.8, median 15.9). It is in line with its own history. At its usual P/E (14.1 × EPS of 4.40), Nutrien's fair value is 62.12; the price, 71.63, is 15.3% above it. The EPS is without 0.20 a share of one-off gains in its other income, which the business does not repeat. Its forward P/E, on the consensus for FY2026, is 15.4.
Fair value is the usual (median) P/E of the last five years times the earnings per share of the last twelve months; the ends of the bar are the same earnings at its lowest and highest P/E of those years (4.1 and 21.8). The price against its P/E range
- Price to earnings ratio (TTM)What is the P/E ratio? The P/E ratio divides a share's price by its earnings per share over the last year: what you pay for each dollar of profit.
- 15.57
- Five-year median P/EWhat is the P/E ratio? The P/E ratio divides a share's price by its earnings per share over the last year: what you pay for each dollar of profit.
- 15.93
- Five-year P/E range
- 4.1 – 58.8
- Forward P/E (FY2026)What is the forward P/E ratio? Forward P/E divides a share's price by the earnings per share analysts expect in the coming year, rather than last year's actual earnings.
- 15.35
- PEG ratioWhat is the PEG ratio? The PEG ratio divides the P/E by the yearly earnings growth analysts expect, to show how much you pay for each point of growth.
- 16.70
- To the average targetWhat is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
- +4.9%
Most undervalued US stocksHow does Arincen work out a stock's fair value? Fair value is our estimate of a share's price at the P/E the company usually trades at, with a low to high range around it.
| Stock | Price | Fair value | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35.850 | 71.4258Price 35.85193 | +99.2% | |
| 29.050 | 56.2634Price 29.0596 | +93.7% | |
| 241.000 | 464.49205Price 241.00627 | +92.7% | |
| 123.590 | 237.24178Price 123.59297 | +92.0% | |
| 161.400 | 305.52159Price 161.40396 | +89.3% | |
| 157.460 | 297.58169Price 157.46471 | +89.0% | |
| 217.560 | 405.38304Price 217.56507 | +86.3% |
Furthest below the fair value on each stock's page, updated every day.