71/100BMercadoLibre stock forecast 2026–2030What is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
Analysts' average 12-month price target for MercadoLibre is 2,200.00, 45.7% above the current price of 1,509.70. Their targets range from 1,750.00 to 2,450.00.
Of the 13 firms that rated MercadoLibre in the past 12 months, 11 rate it buy or strong buy, 2 hold and 0 sell or strong sell (each firm at its latest rating): a Strong buy consensus.
Analysts' 1-year price targets range from 1,750.00 to 2,450.00, with an average of 2,200.00.
| Buy | 11 | |
| Hold | 2 | |
| Sell | 0 |
12-month price target
| Highest target | 2,450.00 |
| Average target | 2,200.00 |
| Lowest target | 1,750.00 |
| Current price | 1,509.70 |
MercadoLibre price target historyWhat is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
Have analysts recently raised or lowered their MercadoLibre price target and rating?
How analysts rate MercadoLibre, month by monthWhat is the analyst rating? The analyst rating sums up what the analysts covering a stock recommend, from strong buy to strong sell, by the share of them rating it a buy.
11 of 13 firms rate it buy now, against 12 of 14 in December 2025.
Each month: every firm at its latest rating from the 12 months before. Strong buys count as buys, strong sells as sells.
MercadoLibre analyst upgrades, downgrades and price targets
The latest rating change came on 27 October 2026, when Citigroup upgraded MercadoLibre from Neutral to Buy. The most recent new target came from Cantor Fitzgerald on 5 November 2026: 2,000.00.
| Date | Firm | Rating | Price target | Change | Price then |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald Deepak Mathivanan | Reiterated · Overweight | 2,200.00 → 2,000.00 | -9.1% | 1,509.60 |
| 27 Oct 2026 | Citigroup | Upgraded · Neutral → Buy | — | — | — |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Reiterated · Overweight | 2,300.00 → 2,200.00 | -4.3% | 1,889.85 |
| 6 Oct 2026 | Susquehanna James Friedman | Reiterated · Positive | 2,900.00 → 2,400.00 | -17.2% | 1,860.61 |
| 23 Sept 2026 | New Street | — | 2,450.00 | — | 1,811.41 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | — | 2,350.00 → 2,300.00 | -2.1% | 1,827.45 |
| 13 May 2026 | Goldman Sachs | — | 2,100.00 | — | 1,511.58 |
| 13 May 2026 | UBS | Reiterated · Neutral | 2,050.00 → 1,750.00 | -14.6% | 1,578.78 |
| 13 May 2026 | Citigroup | Downgraded · Buy → Neutral | — | — | — |
| 11 May 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Reiterated · Overweight | 2,600.00 → 2,450.00 | -5.8% | 1,574.27 |
| 11 May 2026 | Barclays | Reiterated · Overweight | 2,500.00 → 2,300.00 | -8.0% | 1,632.52 |
| 10 May 2026 | BTIG | — | 2,150.00 | — | 1,632.52 |
| 8 May 2026 | Raymond James | — | 2,000.00 | — | 1,632.52 |
| 8 May 2026 | Daiwa | — | 1,800.00 | — | 1,630.16 |
| 29 Apr 2026 | UBS | Downgraded · Buy → Neutral | 2,900.00 → 2,050.00 | -29.3% | 1,791.99 |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Reiterated · Overweight | 2,750.00 → 2,350.00 | -14.5% | 1,894.81 |
| 20 Apr 2026 | Barclays | Reiterated · Overweight | 2,900.00 → 2,500.00 | -13.8% | 1,855.83 |
| 7 Apr 2026 | Jefferies | Upgraded · Hold → Buy | — | — | — |
| 12 Mar 2026 | JP Morgan | Downgraded · Overweight → Neutral | — | — | — |
| 9 Mar 2026 | Morgan Stanley Andrew Ruben | Reiterated · Overweight | 2,600.00 | — | 1,769.52 |
| 17 Feb 2026 | Wedbush | Reiterated · Outperform | 2,700.00 → 2,600.00 | -3.7% | 1,937.95 |
| 12 Feb 2026 | JP Morgan | Upgraded · Neutral → Overweight | — | — | — |
| 24 Nov 2025 | UBS Kaio Prato | Reiterated · Buy | 3,000.00 → 2,900.00 | -3.3% | 1,951.78 |
MercadoLibre EPS and revenue estimatesWhat are estimate revisions? Estimate revisions are the changes analysts make to their EPS and revenue forecasts for the years ahead. They show whether expectations are rising or falling.
Analysts expect MercadoLibre's EPS to grow 24.5% a year until 2028.
Analysts expect MercadoLibre's revenue to grow 32.4% a year until 2028, slower than over the last 5 years (48.7% a year) and the last 3 years (38.9%).
Revenue
EPS
Does MercadoLibre beat earnings estimates?What is an earnings surprise? An earnings surprise is how far a company's reported EPS or revenue came above or below the analysts' average estimate, in percent.
On average, analysts' EPS estimate was 16.3% off the result, either way, and their revenue estimate 4.8%, over the last 12 quarters.
- EPS beats
- 48 / 77
- Revenue beats
- 58 / 77
- Average EPS surprise, last 12What is an earnings surprise? An earnings surprise is how far a company's reported EPS or revenue came above or below the analysts' average estimate, in percent.
- -2.5%
- Since
- November 2007
| Quarter | Report date | EPS estimate | Reported EPS | Surprise | Revenue estimate | Reported revenue | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 FY2026 | 4 Nov 2026 | 9.27 | 8.83 | -4.7% | 10.69B | 10.75B | +0.6% |
| Q2 FY2026 | 5 Aug 2026 | 8.65 | 9.19 | +6.2% | 9.79B | 10.20B | +4.1% |
| Q1 FY2026 | 7 May 2026 | 8.75 | 8.23 | -5.9% | 8.29B | 8.85B | +6.7% |
| Q4 FY2025 | 24 Feb 2026 | 11.45 | 11.03 | -3.7% | 8.45B | 8.76B | +3.7% |
| Q3 FY2025 | 29 Oct 2025 | 9.12 | 8.32 | -8.8% | 7.22B | 7.41B | +2.7% |
| Q2 FY2025 | 4 Aug 2025 | 11.93 | 10.31 | -13.6% | 6.67B | 6.79B | +1.7% |
| Q1 FY2025 | 7 May 2025 | 8.27 | 9.74 | +17.8% | 5.49B | 5.94B | +8.2% |
| Q4 FY2024 | 20 Feb 2025 | 10.21 | 12.61 | +23.5% | 5.82B | 6.06B | +4.1% |
| Q3 FY2024 | 6 Nov 2024 | 10.00 | 7.83 | -21.7% | 5.28B | 5.31B | +0.7% |
| Q2 FY2024 | 1 Aug 2024 | 8.53 | 10.48 | +22.9% | 4.64B | 5.07B | +9.4% |
| Q1 FY2024 | 2 May 2024 | 6.03 | 6.78 | +12.4% | 3.84B | 4.33B | +13.0% |
| Q4 FY2023 | 22 Feb 2024 | 7.08 | 3.25 | -54.1% | 4.14B | 4.26B | +2.9% |
MercadoLibre stock price 2026–2030: scenariosHow are the stock price scenarios calculated? Bear, base and bull prices for the years ahead: the analysts' EPS estimates times the lowest, average and highest P/E of the stock today and at its last five year ends, or of its peers.
If MercadoLibre's earnings grow at the 24.5% a year analysts expect to FY2028, then 15.0% a year, it would earn about 100.63 a share in FY2030. At the P/E it has traded at over the last five years (40.5 to 51.1) that is 4,075.13 to 5,145.84 a share, or 4,587.01 at its average P/E of 45.6. This is arithmetic on the analysts' estimates, not a prediction.
| Fiscal year | EPS | Bear | Base | Bull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | 38.27 | 1,549.84 | 1,744.51 | 1,957.05 |
| FY2027 | 54.93 | 2,224.63 | 2,504.07 | 2,809.13 |
| FY2028 | 76.09 | 3,081.38 | 3,468.44 | 3,890.99 |
| FY2029 (extrapolated) | 87.50 | 3,543.59 | 3,988.71 | 4,474.64 |
| FY2030 (extrapolated) | 100.63 | 4,075.13 | 4,587.01 | 5,145.84 |
Each year's EPS is the analysts' consensus to FY2028; the years after grow 15.0% a year (the analysts' growth, at most 15%). Bear, base and bull apply the lowest, average and highest P/E of today and the last five fiscal year ends, leaving out any above 60, the mark of a year of collapsed earnings (40.5, 45.6, 51.1).
Is MercadoLibre stock undervalued or overvalued?How does Arincen work out a stock's fair value? Fair value is our estimate of a share's price at the P/E the company usually trades at, with a low to high range around it.
MercadoLibre's P/E of 40.5 is near the bottom of its 5-year range (40.5 to 1,076.2, median 70.1). It is within 5% of its 5-year low. Analysts expect slower growth than in recent years, so the low P/E may be deserved. Growing 24.5% a year, MercadoLibre earns a P/E of 24.5 at a PEG of 1 (at most 25): × the next twelve months' EPS of 52.56, a fair value of 1,289.92; the price, 1,509.70, is 17.0% above it. Its forward P/E, on the consensus for FY2026, is 39.4.
Fair value on growth is a P/E equal to the EPS growth analysts expect a year (a PEG of 1, at most 25) times the earnings per share of the next twelve months; the ends of the bar are a PEG of 0.75 and 1.25 (a P/E of 18.4 and 30.7). The price against its P/E range
- Price to earnings ratio (TTM)What is the P/E ratio? The P/E ratio divides a share's price by its earnings per share over the last year: what you pay for each dollar of profit.
- 40.50
- Five-year median P/EWhat is the P/E ratio? The P/E ratio divides a share's price by its earnings per share over the last year: what you pay for each dollar of profit.
- 70.13
- Five-year P/E range
- 40.5 – 1,076.2
- Forward P/E (FY2026)What is the forward P/E ratio? Forward P/E divides a share's price by the earnings per share analysts expect in the coming year, rather than last year's actual earnings.
- 39.45
- PEG ratioWhat is the PEG ratio? The PEG ratio divides the P/E by the yearly earnings growth analysts expect, to show how much you pay for each point of growth.
- 1.65
- To the average targetWhat is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
- +45.7%
Most undervalued US stocksHow does Arincen work out a stock's fair value? Fair value is our estimate of a share's price at the P/E the company usually trades at, with a low to high range around it.
| Stock | Price | Fair value | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99.090 | 194.93146Price 99.09244 | +96.7% | |
| 42.225 | 82.9546Price 42.23165 | +96.4% | |
| 186.680 | 360.82271Price 186.68451 | +93.3% | |
| 213.670 | 405.57304Price 213.67507 | +89.8% | |
| 161.160 | 305.51157Price 161.16396 | +89.6% | |
| 160.650 | 300.09225Price 160.65375 | +86.8% | |
| 165.860 | 308.95212Price 165.86442 | +86.3% |
Furthest below the fair value on each stock's page, updated every day.