Moody's stock forecast 2026–2030
Analysts' average 12-month price target for Moody's is 536.44, 6.1% above the current price of 505.63. Their targets range from 480.00 to 595.00.
Of the 14 firms that rated Moody's in the past 12 months, 10 rate it buy or strong buy, 4 hold and 0 sell or strong sell (each firm at its latest rating): a Buy consensus.
Analysts' 1-year price targets range from 480.00 to 595.00, with an average of 536.44.
| Strong buy | 0 | |
| Buy | 10 | |
| Hold | 4 | |
| Sell | 0 | |
| Strong sell | 0 |
12-month price target
| Highest target | 595.00 |
| Average target | 536.44 |
| Lowest target | 480.00 |
| Current price | 505.63 |
Moody's price target history
Have analysts recently raised or lowered their Moody's price target and rating?
How analysts rate Moody's, month by month
10 of 14 firms rate it buy now, against 9 of 15 in December 2025.
Each month: every firm at its latest rating from the 12 months before. Strong buys count as buys, strong sells as sells.
Moody's analyst upgrades, downgrades and price targets
The latest rating change came on 13 January 2026, when Daiwa upgraded Moody's from Neutral to Outperform. Its price target is 590.00. The most recent new target came from BMO Capital on 22 October 2026: 511.00.
| Date | Firm | Rating | Price target | Change | Price then |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct 2026 | BMO Capital | Reiterated · Market Perform | 515.00 → 511.00 | -0.8% | 488.43 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 470.00 → 480.00 | +2.1% | 486.50 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo Jason Haas | Reiterated · Overweight | 597.00 → 595.00 | -0.3% | 480.79 |
| 16 Oct 2026 | Jefferies Surinder Thind | — | 560.00 | — | 483.69 |
| 7 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley Toni Kaplan | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 512.00 → 470.00 | -8.2% | 452.32 |
| 27 Jul 2026 | Mizuho Securities Sean Kennedy | Reiterated · Neutral | 521.00 → 530.00 | +1.7% | 488.89 |
| 23 Jul 2026 | UBS Alex Kramm | — | 490.00 → 505.00 | +3.1% | 473.95 |
| 23 Jul 2026 | Robert W. Baird | — | 572.00 | — | 477.81 |
| 23 Jul 2026 | Wells Fargo | Reiterated · Overweight | 590.00 → 597.00 | +1.2% | 489.79 |
| 22 Jul 2026 | Morgan Stanley | — | 496.00 → 512.00 | +3.2% | 489.79 |
| 10 Jul 2026 | Barclays | Reiterated · Overweight | 550.00 → 575.00 | +4.5% | 487.02 |
| 7 Jul 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 526.00 → 496.00 | -5.7% | 502.26 |
| 7 Jul 2026 | BMO Capital | Reiterated · Market Perform | 489.00 → 515.00 | +5.3% | 498.78 |
| 18 Jun 2026 | Redburn Partners Charles Bendit | — | 500.00 | — | 456.22 |
| 28 Apr 2026 | Mizuho Securities | Reiterated · Neutral | 524.00 → 521.00 | -0.6% | 460.74 |
| 23 Apr 2026 | Wolfe Research Scott Wurtzel | — | 535.00 | — | 451.75 |
| 23 Apr 2026 | BMO Capital | — | 480.00 → 489.00 | +1.9% | 454.18 |
| 23 Apr 2026 | Wells Fargo | Reiterated · Overweight | 620.00 → 590.00 | -4.8% | 466.88 |
| 22 Apr 2026 | National Bank | — | 565.00 | — | 466.88 |
| 24 Feb 2026 | Mizuho Securities | Reiterated · Neutral | 550.00 → 524.00 | -4.7% | 437.11 |
| 23 Feb 2026 | Barclays | Reiterated · Overweight | 520.00 → 550.00 | +5.8% | 447.82 |
| 19 Feb 2026 | UBS | Reiterated · Neutral | 490.00 | — | 442.78 |
| 19 Feb 2026 | Evercore ISI David Motemaden | Reiterated · Outperform | 620.00 → 610.00 | -1.6% | 448.75 |
| 19 Feb 2026 | BMO Capital | — | 507.00 → 480.00 | -5.3% | 450.76 |
| 19 Feb 2026 | Stifel Nicolaus | Reiterated · Buy | 574.00 → 540.00 | -5.9% | 450.76 |
| 18 Feb 2026 | Goldman Sachs | — | 532.00 → 531.00 | -0.2% | 450.76 |
| 9 Feb 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Reiterated · Buy | 570.00 → 532.00 | -6.7% | 452.49 |
| 13 Jan 2026 | Morgan Stanley Toni Kaplan | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 520.00 → 526.00 | +1.2% | 535.12 |
| 13 Jan 2026 | Daiwa Kazuya Nishimura | Upgraded · Neutral → Outperform | 590.00 | — | 535.12 |
| 8 Jan 2026 | Evercore ISI | Reiterated · Outperform | 620.00 | — | 533.78 |
| 5 Jan 2026 | Stifel Nicolaus Shlomo Rosenbaum | Upgraded · Hold → Buy | 471.00 → 574.00 | +21.9% | 498.98 |
| 16 Dec 2025 | Goldman Sachs | Upgraded · Neutral → Buy | 570.00 | — | 487.37 |
Moody's EPS and revenue estimates
Analysts expect Moody's's EPS to grow 14.9% a year until 2028. Over the last 5 years it grew 7.8% a year, and over the last 3 years 22.5%.
Analysts expect Moody's's revenue to grow 6.9% a year until 2028. Over the last 5 years it grew 7.5% a year, and over the last 3 years 12.2%.
Revenue
EPS
Does Moody's beat earnings estimates?
On average, analysts' EPS estimate was 7.8% off the result, either way, and their revenue estimate 3.0%, over the last 12 quarters.
- EPS beats
- 88 / 104
- Revenue beats
- 88 / 104
- Average EPS surprise, last 12
- +6.4%
- Since
- February 2001
| Quarter | Report date | EPS estimate | Reported EPS | Surprise | Revenue estimate | Reported revenue | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 FY2026 | 21 Oct 2026 | 4.25 | 4.14 | -2.6% | 2.08B | 2.02B | -2.6% |
| Q2 FY2026 | 22 Jul 2026 | 4.26 | 4.68 | +9.9% | 2.09B | 2.19B | +4.7% |
| Q1 FY2026 | 22 Apr 2026 | 4.22 | 4.33 | +2.6% | 2.07B | 2.08B | +0.5% |
| Q4 FY2025 | 18 Feb 2026 | 3.43 | 3.64 | +6.1% | 1.86B | 1.89B | +1.5% |
| Q3 FY2025 | 22 Oct 2025 | 3.70 | 3.92 | +5.9% | 1.96B | 2.01B | +2.6% |
| Q2 FY2025 | 23 Jul 2025 | 3.39 | 3.56 | +5.0% | 1.85B | 1.90B | +2.6% |
| Q1 FY2025 | 22 Apr 2025 | 3.54 | 3.83 | +8.2% | 1.88B | 1.92B | +2.6% |
| Q4 FY2024 | 13 Feb 2025 | 2.27 | 2.62 | +15.4% | 1.70B | 1.67B | -1.8% |
| Q3 FY2024 | 22 Oct 2024 | 2.86 | 3.21 | +12.2% | 1.71B | 1.81B | +6.2% |
| Q2 FY2024 | 23 Jul 2024 | 3.02 | 3.28 | +8.6% | 1.72B | 1.82B | +5.3% |
| Q1 FY2024 | 2 May 2024 | 3.04 | 3.37 | +10.9% | 1.70B | 1.79B | +5.2% |
| Q4 FY2023 | 13 Feb 2024 | 2.32 | 2.19 | -5.6% | 1.48B | 1.48B | -0.3% |
Moody's stock price 2026–2030: scenarios
If Moody's's earnings keep growing at the 11.5% a year analysts expect to FY2028, it would earn about 25.76 a share in FY2030. At the P/E it has traded at over the last five years (32.9 to 44.5) that is 846.84 to 1,147.09 a share, or 998.03 at its average P/E of 38.7. This is arithmetic on the analysts' estimates, not a prediction.
| Fiscal year | EPS | Bear | Base | Bull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | 16.77 | 551.44 | 649.89 | 746.95 |
| FY2027 | 18.62 | 612.10 | 721.37 | 829.11 |
| FY2028 | 20.72 | 681.23 | 802.85 | 922.76 |
| FY2029 (extrapolated) | 23.10 | 759.54 | 895.13 | 1,028.83 |
| FY2030 (extrapolated) | 25.76 | 846.84 | 998.03 | 1,147.09 |
Each year's EPS is the analysts' consensus to FY2028; the years after continue its 11.5% a year. Bear, base and bull apply the lowest, average and highest P/E of the last five fiscal year ends (32.9, 38.7, 44.5).
Is Moody's stock undervalued or overvalued?
Moody's's P/E of 30.7 is near the bottom of its 5-year range (23.9 to 49.6, median 40.1). Analysts expect slower growth than in recent years, so the low P/E may be deserved. Buyers pay less for each point of growth than usual: a PEG of 2.1 on expected growth against 5.1 on its median P/E and past five years' growth. At its usual P/E (38.5 × EPS of 15.62), Moody's's fair value is 601.00; the price, 505.63, is 15.9% below it. The EPS is without 0.83 a share of one-off gains in its other income, which the business does not repeat. Its forward P/E, on the consensus for FY2026, is 30.1.
Fair value is the usual (median) P/E of the last five years times the earnings per share of the last twelve months; the ends of the bar are the same earnings at its lowest and highest P/E of those years (23.9 and 49.6). The price against its P/E range
- Price to earnings ratio (TTM)
- 30.74
- Five-year median P/E
- 40.09
- Five-year P/E range
- 23.9 – 49.6
- Forward P/E (FY2026)
- 30.15
- PEG ratio
- 2.67
- To the average target
- +6.1%
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