78/100BHartford Financial Services Group (The) stock forecast 2026–2030What is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
Analysts' average 12-month price target for Hartford Financial Services Group (The) is 145.40, 5.1% above the current price of 138.34. Their targets range from 136.00 to 154.00.
Of the 15 firms that rated Hartford Financial Services Group (The) in the past 12 months, 4 rate it buy or strong buy, 11 hold and 0 sell or strong sell (each firm at its latest rating): a Hold consensus.
Analysts' 1-year price targets range from 136.00 to 154.00, with an average of 145.40.
| Buy | 4 | |
| Hold | 11 | |
| Sell | 0 |
12-month price target
| Highest target | 154.00 |
| Average target | 145.40 |
| Lowest target | 136.00 |
| Current price | 138.34 |
Hartford Financial Services Group (The) price target historyWhat is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
Have analysts recently raised or lowered their Hartford Financial Services Group (The) price target and rating?
How analysts rate Hartford Financial Services Group (The), month by monthWhat is the analyst rating? The analyst rating sums up what the analysts covering a stock recommend, from strong buy to strong sell, by the share of them rating it a buy.
4 of 15 firms rate it buy now, against 7 of 12 in December 2025.
Each month: every firm at its latest rating from the 12 months before. Strong buys count as buys, strong sells as sells.
Hartford Financial Services Group (The) analyst upgrades, downgrades and price targets
The latest rating change came on 11 November 2026, when Wells Fargo downgraded Hartford Financial Services Group (The) from Overweight to Equal Weight. The most recent new target came from Cantor Fitzgerald on 2 November 2026: 136.00.
| Date | Firm | Rating | Price target | Change | Price then |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov 2026 | Wells Fargo | Downgraded · Overweight → Equal Weight | — | — | — |
| 2 Nov 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald Ryan Tunis | Reiterated · Overweight | 165.00 → 136.00 | -17.6% | 133.41 |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Truist Financial | — | 137.00 | — | 129.11 |
| 16 Sept 2026 | Mizuho | Downgraded · Outperform → Neutral | — | — | — |
| 15 Jul 2026 | Piper Sandler Paul Newsome | Downgraded · Overweight → Neutral | 161.00 → 146.00 | -9.3% | 138.15 |
| 5 Jun 2026 | Mizuho Securities Yaron Kinar | Reiterated · Outperform | 160.00 → 154.00 | -3.7% | 127.33 |
| 5 Jun 2026 | Wells Fargo Elyse Greenspan | Reiterated · Overweight | 156.00 → 154.00 | -1.3% | 127.33 |
| 30 Mar 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Downgraded · Outperform → Market Perform | — | — | — |
| 3 Feb 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 150.00 → 142.00 | -5.3% | 139.38 |
| 2 Feb 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald Ryan Tunis | Reiterated · Overweight | 160.00 → 165.00 | +3.1% | 136.39 |
| 2 Feb 2026 | UBS | Reiterated · Buy | 155.00 → 157.00 | +1.3% | 135.06 |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Wells Fargo | — | 153.00 → 156.00 | +2.0% | 135.06 |
| 30 Jan 2026 | Roth Capital | Reiterated · Neutral | 135.00 | — | 132.37 |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Reiterated · Overweight | 160.00 | — | 132.44 |
| 13 Jan 2026 | Wells Fargo | Reiterated · Overweight | 153.00 | — | 135.24 |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Goldman Sachs Robert Cox | — | 151.00 | — | 135.90 |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Evercore ISI David Motemaden | Reiterated · In Line | 137.00 → 145.00 | +5.8% | 136.86 |
| 22 Dec 2025 | Piper Sandler | Reiterated · Overweight | 150.00 → 161.00 | +7.3% | 139.01 |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Mizuho Securities | — | 160.00 | — | 138.65 |
| 8 Dec 2025 | UBS Brian Meredith | Reiterated · Buy | 152.00 → 155.00 | +2.0% | 129.43 |
| 25 Nov 2025 | Argus Research Kevin Heal | Reiterated · Buy | 155.00 | — | 138.37 |
| 24 Nov 2025 | RBC Capital | — | 145.00 | — | 136.64 |
| 17 Nov 2025 | Morgan Stanley Bob Huang | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 140.00 → 150.00 | +7.1% | 133.06 |
Hartford Financial Services Group (The) EPS and revenue estimatesWhat are estimate revisions? Estimate revisions are the changes analysts make to their EPS and revenue forecasts for the years ahead. They show whether expectations are rising or falling.
Analysts expect Hartford Financial Services Group (The)'s EPS to grow 3.4% a year until 2028, slower than over the last 5 years (22.9% a year) and the last 3 years (34.8%).
Analysts expect Hartford Financial Services Group (The)'s revenue to grow 3.7% a year until 2028, slower than over the last 5 years (6.8% a year) and the last 3 years (8.9%).
Revenue
EPS
Does Hartford Financial Services Group (The) beat earnings estimates?What is an earnings surprise? An earnings surprise is how far a company's reported EPS or revenue came above or below the analysts' average estimate, in percent.
On average, analysts' EPS estimate was 12.7% off the result, either way, and their revenue estimate 1.2%, over the last 12 quarters.
- EPS beats
- 98 / 123
- Revenue beats
- 95 / 119
- Average EPS surprise, last 12What is an earnings surprise? An earnings surprise is how far a company's reported EPS or revenue came above or below the analysts' average estimate, in percent.
- +10.4%
- Since
- January 1996
| Quarter | Report date | EPS estimate | Reported EPS | Surprise | Revenue estimate | Reported revenue | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 FY2026 | 26 Oct 2026 | 3.17 | 3.50 | +10.4% | 7.37B | 7.22B | -2.0% |
| Q2 FY2026 | 23 Jul 2026 | 3.16 | 3.42 | +8.2% | 7.17B | 7.26B | +1.3% |
| Q1 FY2026 | 23 Apr 2026 | 3.39 | 3.09 | -8.8% | 7.35B | 7.23B | -1.7% |
| Q4 FY2025 | 29 Jan 2026 | 3.17 | 4.06 | +28.1% | 7.29B | 7.34B | +0.6% |
| Q3 FY2025 | 27 Oct 2025 | 3.09 | 3.78 | +22.3% | 7.17B | 7.15B | -0.3% |
| Q2 FY2025 | 28 Jul 2025 | 2.83 | 3.41 | +20.5% | 7.04B | 6.99B | -0.8% |
| Q1 FY2025 | 24 Apr 2025 | 2.15 | 2.20 | +2.3% | 6.81B | 6.77B | -0.5% |
| Q4 FY2024 | 30 Jan 2025 | 2.68 | 2.94 | +9.7% | 6.61B | 6.80B | +2.8% |
| Q3 FY2024 | 24 Oct 2024 | 2.54 | 2.53 | -0.4% | 6.68B | 6.71B | +0.5% |
| Q2 FY2024 | 25 Jul 2024 | 2.24 | 2.50 | +11.6% | 6.57B | 6.49B | -1.3% |
| Q1 FY2024 | 25 Apr 2024 | 2.45 | 2.34 | -4.5% | 6.52B | 6.42B | -1.5% |
| Q4 FY2023 | 1 Feb 2024 | 2.44 | 3.06 | +25.4% | 6.36B | 6.40B | +0.6% |
Hartford Financial Services Group (The) stock price 2026–2030: scenariosHow are the stock price scenarios calculated? Bear, base and bull prices for the years ahead: the analysts' EPS estimates times the lowest, average and highest P/E of the stock today and at its last five year ends, or of its peers.
If Hartford Financial Services Group (The)'s earnings keep growing at the 3.0% a year analysts expect to FY2028, it would earn about 15.60 a share in FY2030. At the P/E it has traded at over the last five years (8.3 to 13.7) that is 129.50 to 214.36 a share, or 163.51 at its average P/E of 10.5. This is arithmetic on the analysts' estimates, not a prediction.
| Fiscal year | EPS | Bear | Base | Bull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | 13.07 | 108.48 | 136.97 | 179.57 |
| FY2027 | 13.62 | 113.01 | 142.69 | 187.08 |
| FY2028 | 14.70 | 122.02 | 154.07 | 201.99 |
| FY2029 (extrapolated) | 15.15 | 125.71 | 158.72 | 208.09 |
| FY2030 (extrapolated) | 15.60 | 129.50 | 163.51 | 214.36 |
Each year's EPS is the analysts' consensus to FY2028; the years after grow 3.0% a year (the analysts' growth, at most 15%). Bear, base and bull apply the lowest, average and highest P/E of today and the last five fiscal year ends, leaving out any above 60, the mark of a year of collapsed earnings (8.3, 10.5, 13.7).
Is Hartford Financial Services Group (The) stock undervalued or overvalued?How does Arincen work out a stock's fair value? Fair value is our estimate of a share's price at the P/E the company usually trades at, with a low to high range around it.
Hartford Financial Services Group (The)'s P/E of 8.3 is near the bottom of its 5-year range (7.8 to 14.1, median 11.2). Analysts expect slower growth than in recent years, so the low P/E may be deserved. Buyers pay more for each point of growth than usual: a PEG of 2.5 on expected growth against 0.5 on its median P/E and past five years' growth. At the median P/E of its peers (13.4 × EPS of 14.95), Hartford Financial Services Group (The)'s fair value is 199.86; the price, 138.34, is 30.8% below it. The EPS is without 1.72 a share of one-off gains in its other income, which the business does not repeat. Its forward P/E, on the consensus for FY2026, is 10.6.
Fair value on the peers is the median P/E of the US companies of its industry closest in size times its earnings per share of the last twelve months; the ends of the bar are the same earnings at the lowest and highest peer P/E (11.1 and 28.7). The price against its P/E range
- Price to earnings ratio (TTM)What is the P/E ratio? The P/E ratio divides a share's price by its earnings per share over the last year: what you pay for each dollar of profit.
- 8.30
- Five-year median P/EWhat is the P/E ratio? The P/E ratio divides a share's price by its earnings per share over the last year: what you pay for each dollar of profit.
- 11.22
- Five-year P/E range
- 7.8 – 14.1
- Forward P/E (FY2026)What is the forward P/E ratio? Forward P/E divides a share's price by the earnings per share analysts expect in the coming year, rather than last year's actual earnings.
- 10.58
- PEG ratioWhat is the PEG ratio? The PEG ratio divides the P/E by the yearly earnings growth analysts expect, to show how much you pay for each point of growth.
- 2.75
- To the average targetWhat is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
- +5.1%
Most undervalued US stocksHow does Arincen work out a stock's fair value? Fair value is our estimate of a share's price at the P/E the company usually trades at, with a low to high range around it.
| Stock | Price | Fair value | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|
| 235.690 | 464.49205Price 235.69627 | +97.1% | |
| 28.860 | 56.2634Price 28.8696 | +94.9% | |
| 199.110 | 384.58163Price 199.112,644 | +93.1% | |
| 123.990 | 237.24178Price 123.99297 | +91.3% | |
| 157.820 | 297.58169Price 157.82471 | +88.6% | |
| 162.670 | 305.52160Price 162.67396 | +87.8% | |
| 216.610 | 405.38304Price 216.61507 | +87.1% |
Furthest below the fair value on each stock's page, updated every day.