63/100BDollar General stock forecast 2027–2031What is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
Analysts' average 12-month price target for Dollar General is 137.27, 2.7% above the current price of 133.67. Their targets range from 110.00 to 160.00.
Of the 22 firms that rated Dollar General in the past 12 months, 10 rate it buy or strong buy, 12 hold and 0 sell or strong sell (each firm at its latest rating): a Hold consensus.
Analysts' 1-year price targets range from 110.00 to 160.00, with an average of 137.27.
| Buy | 10 | |
| Hold | 12 | |
| Sell | 0 |
12-month price target
| Highest target | 160.00 |
| Average target | 137.27 |
| Lowest target | 110.00 |
| Current price | 133.67 |
Dollar General price target historyWhat is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
Have analysts recently raised or lowered their Dollar General price target and rating?
How analysts rate Dollar General, month by monthWhat is the analyst rating? The analyst rating sums up what the analysts covering a stock recommend, from strong buy to strong sell, by the share of them rating it a buy.
10 of 22 firms rate it buy now, against 9 of 22 in December 2025.
Each month: every firm at its latest rating from the 12 months before. Strong buys count as buys, strong sells as sells.
Dollar General analyst upgrades, downgrades and price targets
The latest rating change came on 6 October 2026, when Gordon Haskett upgraded Dollar General from Hold to Buy. The most recent new target came from HSBC on 24 September 2026: 160.00.
| Date | Firm | Rating | Price target | Change | Price then |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2026 | Gordon Haskett | Upgraded · Hold → Buy | — | — | — |
| 24 Sept 2026 | HSBC | Upgraded · Hold → Buy | 160.00 | — | 120.57 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | BMO Capital | Reiterated · Market Perform | 120.00 → 135.00 | +12.5% | 123.40 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 132.00 → 145.00 | +9.8% | 125.91 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Piper Sandler | Reiterated · Neutral | 118.00 → 123.00 | +4.2% | 125.91 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Goldman Sachs Kate McShane | Reiterated · Neutral | 141.00 | — | 125.91 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Raymond James Bobby Griffin | — | 145.00 → 150.00 | +3.4% | 125.91 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Bernstein Zhihan Ma | — | 149.00 → 160.00 | +7.4% | 125.91 |
| 25 Aug 2026 | Oppenheimer Rupesh Parikh | — | 170.00 → 150.00 | -11.8% | 125.33 |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Wolfe Research Spencer Hanus | — | 165.00 → 143.00 | -13.3% | 119.58 |
| 3 Jun 2026 | Telsey Advisory Joseph Feldman | Reiterated · Market Perform | 140.00 → 125.00 | -10.7% | 103.06 |
| 3 Jun 2026 | Loop Capital Markets | Reiterated · Hold | 115.00 | — | 102.56 |
| 3 Jun 2026 | Evercore ISI | Reiterated · In Line | 145.00 → 140.00 | -3.4% | 103.77 |
| 3 Jun 2026 | BMO Capital Kelly Bania | Reiterated · Market Perform | 130.00 → 120.00 | -7.7% | 106.37 |
| 3 Jun 2026 | Bernstein | — | 150.00 → 149.00 | -0.7% | 106.37 |
| 3 Jun 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 135.00 → 132.00 | -2.2% | 106.37 |
| 3 Jun 2026 | Piper Sandler | Reiterated · Neutral | 129.00 → 118.00 | -8.5% | 106.37 |
| 3 Jun 2026 | Raymond James Bobby Griffin | — | 135.00 → 145.00 | +7.4% | 106.37 |
| 3 Jun 2026 | Barclays Seth Sigman | — | 151.00 → 148.00 | -2.0% | 106.37 |
| 3 Jun 2026 | Freedom Broker | Downgraded · Buy → Hold | — | — | — |
| 2 Jun 2026 | Truist Financial | — | 109.00 → 114.00 | +4.6% | 107.59 |
| 27 May 2026 | Truist Financial Scot Ciccarelli | Reiterated · Hold | 139.00 → 109.00 | -21.6% | 105.62 |
| 27 May 2026 | Deutsche Bank | — | 170.00 → 110.00 | -35.3% | 103.64 |
| 24 Mar 2026 | Telsey Advisory Joseph Feldman | — | 130.00 → 140.00 | +7.7% | 117.89 |
| 16 Mar 2026 | UBS Michael Lasser | — | 168.00 → 163.00 | -3.0% | 134.19 |
| 13 Mar 2026 | Guggenheim John Heinbockel | Reiterated · Buy | 140.00 → 160.00 | +14.3% | 132.68 |
| 12 Mar 2026 | Jefferies Corey Tarlowe | — | 165.00 → 170.00 | +3.0% | 135.95 |
| 12 Mar 2026 | Truist Financial Scot Ciccarelli | — | 144.00 → 139.00 | -3.5% | 135.95 |
| 12 Mar 2026 | BNP Paribas Chris Bottiglieri | — | 127.00 | — | 135.42 |
| 12 Mar 2026 | Wolfe Research Spencer Hanus | — | 139.00 → 165.00 | +18.7% | 138.72 |
| 24 Feb 2026 | Oppenheimer | Reiterated · Outperform | 170.00 | — | 152.90 |
| 17 Feb 2026 | Redburn Partners | — | 111.00 | — | 153.84 |
| 6 Feb 2026 | UBS | — | 143.00 → 168.00 | +17.5% | 147.11 |
| 3 Feb 2026 | Evercore ISI | Reiterated · In Line | 130.00 → 145.00 | +11.5% | 143.51 |
| 16 Jan 2026 | Truist Financial | — | 129.00 → 144.00 | +11.6% | 151.73 |
| 12 Jan 2026 | Jefferies Corey Tarlowe | — | 142.00 → 165.00 | +16.2% | 142.74 |
| 8 Jan 2026 | Deutsche Bank | — | 80.00 → 170.00 | +112.5% | 143.89 |
| 8 Jan 2026 | Barclays | Reiterated · Overweight | 127.00 → 151.00 | +18.9% | 143.51 |
| 5 Jan 2026 | Bernstein | Reiterated · Outperform | 134.00 → 150.00 | +11.9% | 136.82 |
| 19 Dec 2025 | Wells Fargo | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 115.00 → 125.00 | +8.7% | 136.68 |
| 15 Dec 2025 | JP Morgan | Upgraded · Neutral → Overweight | — | — | — |
| 5 Dec 2025 | Truist Financial | Reiterated · Hold | 120.00 → 129.00 | +7.5% | 131.23 |
| 5 Dec 2025 | Telsey Advisory | Reiterated · Market Perform | 123.00 → 130.00 | +5.7% | 131.76 |
| 5 Dec 2025 | Jefferies | Reiterated · Buy | 142.00 | — | 131.13 |
| 5 Dec 2025 | Morgan Stanley | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 125.00 → 135.00 | +8.0% | 131.00 |
| 5 Dec 2025 | Evercore ISI | Reiterated · In Line | 105.00 → 130.00 | +23.8% | 127.98 |
| 5 Dec 2025 | UBS Michael Lasser | Reiterated · Buy | 129.00 → 143.00 | +10.9% | 129.84 |
| 5 Dec 2025 | UBS | — | 129.00 | — | 132.87 |
| 5 Dec 2025 | BMO Capital | Reiterated · Market Perform | 130.00 | — | 125.29 |
| 5 Dec 2025 | Guggenheim John Heinbockel | — | 125.00 → 140.00 | +12.0% | 132.24 |
Dollar General EPS and revenue estimatesWhat are estimate revisions? Estimate revisions are the changes analysts make to their EPS and revenue forecasts for the years ahead. They show whether expectations are rising or falling.
Analysts expect Dollar General's EPS to grow 6.8% a year until 2028. Over the last 5 years it fell 8.4% a year, and over the last 3 years it fell 13.8%.
Analysts expect Dollar General's revenue to grow 2.7% a year until 2028, about as fast as over the last 5 years (4.8% a year) and the last 3 years (4.1%).
Revenue
EPS
Does Dollar General beat earnings estimates?What is an earnings surprise? An earnings surprise is how far a company's reported EPS or revenue came above or below the analysts' average estimate, in percent.
On average, analysts' EPS estimate was 13.0% off the result, either way, and their revenue estimate 0.7%, over the last 12 quarters.
- EPS beats
- 70 / 126
- Revenue beats
- 72 / 118
- Average EPS surprise, last 12What is an earnings surprise? An earnings surprise is how far a company's reported EPS or revenue came above or below the analysts' average estimate, in percent.
- +11.3%
- Since
- March 1993
| Quarter | Report date | EPS estimate | Reported EPS | Surprise | Revenue estimate | Reported revenue | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2027 | 27 Aug 2026 | 2.01 | 2.48 | +23.4% | 11.20B | 11.29B | +0.8% |
| Q1 FY2027 | 2 Jun 2026 | 1.89 | 2.00 | +5.8% | 10.81B | 10.79B | -0.3% |
| Q4 FY2026 | 12 Mar 2026 | 1.66 | 1.93 | +16.3% | 10.81B | 10.91B | +0.9% |
| Q3 FY2026 | 4 Dec 2025 | 0.95 | 1.28 | +35.4% | 10.62B | 10.65B | +0.3% |
| Q2 FY2026 | 28 Aug 2025 | 1.58 | 1.86 | +17.7% | 10.68B | 10.73B | +0.5% |
| Q1 FY2026 | 3 Jun 2025 | 1.48 | 1.78 | +20.3% | 10.29B | 10.44B | +1.4% |
| Q4 FY2025 | 13 Mar 2025 | 1.51 | 1.68 | +11.3% | 10.26B | 10.30B | +0.4% |
| Q3 FY2025 | 5 Dec 2024 | 0.94 | 0.89 | -5.3% | 10.14B | 10.18B | +0.4% |
| Q2 FY2025 | 29 Aug 2024 | 1.79 | 1.70 | -5.0% | 10.37B | 10.21B | -1.5% |
| Q1 FY2025 | 30 May 2024 | 1.57 | 1.65 | +5.1% | 9.89B | 9.91B | +0.3% |
| Q4 FY2024 | 14 Mar 2024 | 1.75 | 1.83 | +4.6% | 9.77B | 9.86B | +0.9% |
| Q3 FY2024 | 7 Dec 2023 | 1.19 | 1.26 | +5.9% | 9.78B | 9.69B | -0.9% |
Dollar General stock price 2027–2031: scenariosHow are the stock price scenarios calculated? Bear, base and bull prices for the years ahead: the analysts' EPS estimates times the lowest, average and highest P/E of the stock today and at its last five year ends, or of its peers.
If Dollar General's earnings keep growing at the 10.5% a year analysts expect to FY2029, it would earn about 11.29 a share in FY2031. At the P/E it has traded at over the last five years (13.9 to 21.3) that is 156.65 to 239.93 a share, or 209.27 at its average P/E of 18.5. This is arithmetic on the analysts' estimates, not a prediction.
| Fiscal year | EPS | Bear | Base | Bull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2027 | 7.91 | 109.80 | 146.68 | 168.17 |
| FY2028 | 8.35 | 115.87 | 154.79 | 177.46 |
| FY2029 | 9.24 | 128.29 | 171.38 | 196.48 |
| FY2030 (extrapolated) | 10.21 | 141.76 | 189.38 | 217.12 |
| FY2031 (extrapolated) | 11.29 | 156.65 | 209.27 | 239.93 |
Each year's EPS is the analysts' consensus to FY2029; the years after grow 10.5% a year (the analysts' growth, at most 15%). Bear, base and bull apply the lowest, average and highest P/E of today and the last five fiscal year ends, leaving out any above 60, the mark of a year of collapsed earnings (13.9, 18.5, 21.3).
Is Dollar General stock undervalued or overvalued?How does Arincen work out a stock's fair value? Fair value is our estimate of a share's price at the P/E the company usually trades at, with a low to high range around it.
Dollar General's P/E of 17.3 is below the middle of its 5-year range (10.4 to 27.0, median 18.7). Analysts do not expect slower growth than in recent years, so it is cheaper than its usual level. Fair value is not a reliable guide for Dollar General: its earnings swing (EPS fell 32.3% in FY2024), so its usual P/E would mislead. Its forward P/E, on the consensus for FY2027, is 16.9.
- Price to earnings ratio (TTM)What is the P/E ratio? The P/E ratio divides a share's price by its earnings per share over the last year: what you pay for each dollar of profit.
- 17.29
- Five-year median P/EWhat is the P/E ratio? The P/E ratio divides a share's price by its earnings per share over the last year: what you pay for each dollar of profit.
- 18.68
- Five-year P/E range
- 10.4 – 27.0
- Forward P/E (FY2027)What is the forward P/E ratio? Forward P/E divides a share's price by the earnings per share analysts expect in the coming year, rather than last year's actual earnings.
- 16.90
- PEG ratioWhat is the PEG ratio? The PEG ratio divides the P/E by the yearly earnings growth analysts expect, to show how much you pay for each point of growth.
- 1.65
- To the average targetWhat is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
- +2.7%
Most undervalued US stocksHow does Arincen work out a stock's fair value? Fair value is our estimate of a share's price at the P/E the company usually trades at, with a low to high range around it.
| Stock | Price | Fair value | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99.090 | 194.93146Price 99.09244 | +96.7% | |
| 42.225 | 82.9546Price 42.23165 | +96.4% | |
| 186.680 | 360.82271Price 186.68451 | +93.3% | |
| 213.670 | 405.57304Price 213.67507 | +89.8% | |
| 161.160 | 305.51157Price 161.16396 | +89.6% | |
| 160.650 | 300.09225Price 160.65375 | +86.8% | |
| 165.860 | 308.95212Price 165.86442 | +86.3% |
Furthest below the fair value on each stock's page, updated every day.