77/100BChubb stock forecast 2026–2030What is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
Analysts' average 12-month price target for Chubb is 355.91, 5.8% below the current price of 377.82. Their targets range from 301.00 to 387.00.
Of the 20 firms that rated Chubb in the past 12 months, 7 rate it buy or strong buy, 12 hold and 1 sell or strong sell (each firm at its latest rating): a Hold consensus.
Analysts' 1-year price targets range from 301.00 to 387.00, with an average of 355.91.
| Buy | 7 | |
| Hold | 12 | |
| Sell | 1 |
12-month price target
| Highest target | 387.00 |
| Average target | 355.91 |
| Lowest target | 301.00 |
| Current price | 377.82 |
Chubb price target historyWhat is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
Have analysts recently raised or lowered their Chubb price target and rating?
How analysts rate Chubb, month by monthWhat is the analyst rating? The analyst rating sums up what the analysts covering a stock recommend, from strong buy to strong sell, by the share of them rating it a buy.
7 of 20 firms rate it buy now, against 4 of 13 in December 2025.
Each month: every firm at its latest rating from the 12 months before. Strong buys count as buys, strong sells as sells.
Chubb analyst upgrades, downgrades and price targets
The latest rating change came on 6 July 2026, when HSBC downgraded Chubb from Buy to Hold. Its price target is 373.00, from 354.00. The most recent new target came from UBS on 26 October 2026: 380.00.
| Date | Firm | Rating | Price target | Change | Price then |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2026 | UBS Brian Meredith | — | 369.00 → 380.00 | +3.0% | 358.87 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | Mizuho Securities | Reiterated · Neutral | 347.00 → 350.00 | +0.9% | 354.95 |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 356.00 → 343.00 | -3.7% | 341.20 |
| 7 Oct 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Reiterated · Neutral | 337.00 → 333.00 | -1.2% | 334.21 |
| 7 Oct 2026 | HSBC Vikram Gandhi | — | 373.00 → 359.00 | -3.8% | 334.21 |
| 16 Sept 2026 | Mizuho Securities Yaron Kinar | Reiterated · Neutral | 352.00 → 347.00 | -1.4% | 341.86 |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley Bob Huang | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 340.00 → 360.00 | +5.9% | 345.29 |
| 23 Jul 2026 | Wells Fargo | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 333.00 → 356.00 | +6.9% | 343.23 |
| 22 Jul 2026 | Deutsche Bank Cave Montazeri | — | 354.00 | — | 341.60 |
| 15 Jul 2026 | Atlantic Equities | — | 301.00 | — | 339.60 |
| 15 Jul 2026 | Piper Sandler | Reiterated · Neutral | 374.00 | — | 346.22 |
| 10 Jul 2026 | Evercore ISI | Reiterated · Outperform | 346.00 → 374.00 | +8.1% | 345.34 |
| 9 Jul 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Reiterated · Neutral | 309.00 → 337.00 | +9.1% | 355.09 |
| 9 Jul 2026 | Mizuho Securities | Reiterated · Neutral | 336.00 → 352.00 | +4.8% | 355.09 |
| 8 Jul 2026 | UBS Brian Meredith | Reiterated · Neutral | 340.00 → 369.00 | +8.5% | 356.49 |
| 7 Jul 2026 | Barclays | — | 368.00 → 387.00 | +5.2% | 356.53 |
| 6 Jul 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 350.00 → 340.00 | -2.9% | 361.17 |
| 6 Jul 2026 | HSBC Vikram Gandhi | Downgraded · Buy → Hold | 354.00 → 373.00 | +5.4% | 361.17 |
| 12 Jun 2026 | Barclays | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 339.00 → 368.00 | +8.6% | 327.93 |
| 23 Apr 2026 | Wells Fargo Elyse Greenspan | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 305.00 → 333.00 | +9.2% | 325.43 |
| 10 Feb 2026 | BMO Capital Michael Zaremski | Reiterated · Market Perform | 283.00 → 326.00 | +15.2% | 326.17 |
| 9 Feb 2026 | UBS | — | 298.00 → 340.00 | +14.1% | 331.56 |
| 9 Feb 2026 | Seaport Global | — | 373.00 | — | 330.70 |
| 6 Feb 2026 | Mizuho Securities | Reiterated · Neutral | 317.00 → 336.00 | +6.0% | 331.28 |
| 5 Feb 2026 | Goldman Sachs | — | 351.00 → 366.00 | +4.3% | 331.28 |
| 4 Feb 2026 | Roth Capital | Reiterated · Buy | 360.00 | — | 332.15 |
| 16 Jan 2026 | HSBC | — | 323.00 → 354.00 | +9.6% | 299.96 |
| 16 Jan 2026 | Morgan Stanley | — | 310.00 → 350.00 | +12.9% | 301.11 |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Mizuho Securities | — | 318.00 → 317.00 | -0.3% | 300.69 |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Reiterated · Neutral | 300.00 → 309.00 | +3.0% | 300.69 |
| 13 Jan 2026 | Wells Fargo | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 293.00 → 305.00 | +4.1% | 306.62 |
| 8 Jan 2026 | Barclays | Reiterated · Equal Weight | 310.00 → 339.00 | +9.4% | 306.63 |
| 8 Jan 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Upgraded · Neutral → Buy | — | — | — |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Goldman Sachs Robert Cox | — | 309.00 → 351.00 | +13.6% | 306.63 |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Evercore ISI David Motemaden | — | 315.00 → 346.00 | +9.8% | 307.52 |
| 16 Dec 2025 | Morgan Stanley Bob Huang | — | 310.00 | — | 312.54 |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Mizuho Securities | — | 318.00 | — | 312.54 |
Chubb EPS and revenue estimatesWhat are estimate revisions? Estimate revisions are the changes analysts make to their EPS and revenue forecasts for the years ahead. They show whether expectations are rising or falling.
Analysts expect Chubb's EPS to grow 7.7% a year until 2028, slower than over the last 5 years (27.0% a year) and the last 3 years (27.6%).
Analysts expect Chubb's revenue to grow 1.6% a year until 2028, slower than over the last 5 years (10.6% a year) and the last 3 years (11.6%).
Revenue
EPS
Does Chubb beat earnings estimates?What is an earnings surprise? An earnings surprise is how far a company's reported EPS or revenue came above or below the analysts' average estimate, in percent.
On average, analysts' EPS estimate was 14.4% off the result, either way, and their revenue estimate 8.8%, over the last 12 quarters.
- EPS beats
- 106 / 133
- Revenue beats
- 107 / 119
- Average EPS surprise, last 12What is an earnings surprise? An earnings surprise is how far a company's reported EPS or revenue came above or below the analysts' average estimate, in percent.
- +14.4%
- Since
- August 1993
| Quarter | Report date | EPS estimate | Reported EPS | Surprise | Revenue estimate | Reported revenue | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 FY2026 | 20 Oct 2026 | 6.77 | 7.66 | +13.1% | 15.36B | 15.14B | -1.4% |
| Q2 FY2026 | 21 Jul 2026 | 6.77 | 7.26 | +7.2% | 15.07B | 14.71B | -2.5% |
| Q1 FY2026 | 21 Apr 2026 | 6.60 | 6.82 | +3.3% | 13.56B | 14.01B | +3.3% |
| Q4 FY2025 | 3 Feb 2026 | 6.77 | 7.52 | +11.1% | 12.94B | 13.13B | +1.5% |
| Q3 FY2025 | 21 Oct 2025 | 6.17 | 7.49 | +21.4% | 12.98B | 16.14B | +24.3% |
| Q2 FY2025 | 22 Jul 2025 | 5.98 | 6.14 | +2.7% | 14.16B | 14.90B | +5.2% |
| Q1 FY2025 | 22 Apr 2025 | 3.17 | 3.68 | +16.1% | 12.94B | 13.48B | +4.2% |
| Q4 FY2024 | 28 Jan 2025 | 5.33 | 6.02 | +12.9% | 12.20B | 14.28B | +17.1% |
| Q3 FY2024 | 29 Oct 2024 | 4.98 | 5.72 | +14.9% | 14.16B | 14.85B | +4.9% |
| Q2 FY2024 | 23 Jul 2024 | 5.15 | 5.38 | +4.5% | 13.04B | 13.88B | +6.4% |
| Q1 FY2024 | 23 Apr 2024 | 5.31 | 5.41 | +1.9% | 11.75B | 12.88B | +9.6% |
| Q4 FY2023 | 30 Jan 2024 | 5.07 | 8.30 | +63.7% | 10.54B | 13.26B | +25.8% |
Chubb stock price 2026–2030: scenariosHow are the stock price scenarios calculated? Bear, base and bull prices for the years ahead: the analysts' EPS estimates times the lowest, average and highest P/E of the stock today and at its last five year ends, or of its peers.
If Chubb's earnings keep growing at the 9.0% a year analysts expect to FY2028, it would earn about 38.20 a share in FY2030. At the P/E it has traded at over the last five years (10.0 to 17.6) that is 381.02 to 674.13 a share, or 478.27 at its average P/E of 12.5. This is arithmetic on the analysts' estimates, not a prediction.
| Fiscal year | EPS | Bear | Base | Bull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | 29.21 | 291.40 | 365.78 | 515.57 |
| FY2027 | 29.59 | 295.17 | 370.51 | 522.24 |
| FY2028 | 32.15 | 320.71 | 402.57 | 567.43 |
| FY2029 (extrapolated) | 35.05 | 349.57 | 438.79 | 618.48 |
| FY2030 (extrapolated) | 38.20 | 381.02 | 478.27 | 674.13 |
Each year's EPS is the analysts' consensus to FY2028; the years after grow 9.0% a year (the analysts' growth, at most 15%). Bear, base and bull apply the lowest, average and highest P/E of today and the last five fiscal year ends, leaving out any above 60, the mark of a year of collapsed earnings (10.0, 12.5, 17.6).
Is Chubb stock undervalued or overvalued?How does Arincen work out a stock's fair value? Fair value is our estimate of a share's price at the P/E the company usually trades at, with a low to high range around it.
Chubb's P/E of 13.1 is above the middle of its 5-year range (8.9 to 17.0, median 12.5). Analysts do not expect faster growth than in recent years, so it is expensive compared with its own history. Buyers pay more for each point of growth than usual: a PEG of 1.7 on expected growth against 0.5 on its median P/E and past five years' growth. At its usual P/E (11.6 × EPS of 28.79), Chubb's fair value is 333.95; the price, 377.82, is 13.1% above it. Its forward P/E, on the consensus for FY2026, is 12.9.
Fair value is the usual (median) P/E of the last five years times the earnings per share of the last twelve months; the ends of the bar are the same earnings at its lowest and highest P/E of those years (8.9 and 14.0). The price against its P/E range
- Price to earnings ratio (TTM)What is the P/E ratio? The P/E ratio divides a share's price by its earnings per share over the last year: what you pay for each dollar of profit.
- 13.12
- Five-year median P/EWhat is the P/E ratio? The P/E ratio divides a share's price by its earnings per share over the last year: what you pay for each dollar of profit.
- 12.53
- Five-year P/E range
- 8.9 – 17.0
- Forward P/E (FY2026)What is the forward P/E ratio? Forward P/E divides a share's price by the earnings per share analysts expect in the coming year, rather than last year's actual earnings.
- 12.93
- PEG ratioWhat is the PEG ratio? The PEG ratio divides the P/E by the yearly earnings growth analysts expect, to show how much you pay for each point of growth.
- 1.46
- To the average targetWhat is an analyst price target? A price target is the price an analyst expects a stock to reach in 12 months. Arincen shows the average, high and low targets and the upside to the average.
- -5.8%
Most undervalued US stocksHow does Arincen work out a stock's fair value? Fair value is our estimate of a share's price at the P/E the company usually trades at, with a low to high range around it.
| Stock | Price | Fair value | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|
| 235.690 | 464.49205Price 235.69627 | +97.1% | |
| 28.860 | 56.2634Price 28.8696 | +94.9% | |
| 199.110 | 384.58163Price 199.112,644 | +93.1% | |
| 123.990 | 237.24178Price 123.99297 | +91.3% | |
| 157.820 | 297.58169Price 157.82471 | +88.6% | |
| 162.670 | 305.52160Price 162.67396 | +87.8% | |
| 216.610 | 405.38304Price 216.61507 | +87.1% |
Furthest below the fair value on each stock's page, updated every day.