CARR

Carrier Global
D

CARR

Arincen38/100B

If you had invested in Carrier Global ago, it would be worth $1,563 today, against $2,324 in SPY and $2,472 in QQQ.

ArincenArincen ScoreBeta

38/100

Six parts of the company, five checks each, from its own reported figures. A part scores the checks it passes out of 10; the score is their average out of 100.

Profitability2

Plus shows the checks behind each part of the score, what passed, what failed and the figure it read, for every stock.

Cash8

Plus shows the checks behind each part of the score, what passed, what failed and the figure it read, for every stock.

Valuation—

Plus shows the checks behind each part of the score, what passed, what failed and the figure it read, for every stock.

Growth4

Plus shows the checks behind each part of the score, what passed, what failed and the figure it read, for every stock.

Financial strength0

Plus shows the checks behind each part of the score, what passed, what failed and the figure it read, for every stock.

Shareholders5

Plus shows the checks behind each part of the score, what passed, what failed and the figure it read, for every stock.

Figures to FY2025; the price as of today.

Carrier Global key facts

Style
Speculative (losing money)
Day range
54.020 – 55.100
52-week range
50.240 – 76.760
Market capitalization
44.49B USD
EPS
-2.21
Div Yield
1.77%
EPS growth forecast (FY2026)
+11.1%
Volume
46,176
Beta
1.33
ESG score
72.1/100Environment 79 · Social 69 · Governance 68
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Industrial - Machinery
CEO
David L. Gitlin
Employees
47K
IPO date
19 Mar 2020

Carrier Global earnings

Next earnings · Q4 FY2026
EPS estimate
0.57 USD
Revenue estimate
5.89B USD
Last quarter · Q3 FY2026
EPS0.87Beat +14.8%Revenue6.26BBeat +2.8%

Revenue

ReportedEstimate

EPS

ReportedEstimate
PeriodReport dateEPS estimateReported EPSSurpriseEPS growthRevenue estimateReported revenueSurpriseRevenue growth
Q3 FY20270.95——+9.40%6.63B——+5.81%
Q2 FY20271.00——+16.07%6.82B——+7.38%
Q1 FY20270.52——-9.06%5.67B——+6.24%
Q4 FY20260.57——+67.65%5.89B——+21.69%
Q3 FY20260.760.87+14.78%+29.85%6.09B6.26B+2.77%+12.26%
Q2 FY20260.820.86+5.26%-6.52%6.02B6.35B+5.53%+3.89%
Q1 FY20260.510.57+12.20%-12.31%5.01B5.34B+6.51%+2.36%
Q4 FY20250.370.34-9.31%-37.04%5.05B4.84B-4.25%-6.04%
Q3 FY20250.630.67+5.68%-19.28%5.65B5.58B-1.30%-6.77%
Q2 FY20250.910.92+1.55%+5.75%6.11B6.11B+0.07%-8.61%

Analysts' estimates for FY2026 over the last 7 days:EPS Revenue How the estimates moved

Carrier Global analyst forecast

12-month price target
68.40 USD
+25.78%

Analysts' 1-year price targets range from 61.00 to 80.00, with an average of 68.40.

Past year
1-year forecast
Strong sellStrong buy
Buy
13 ratings
Buy
8
Hold
5
Sell
0

12-month price target

Highest target80.00
Average target68.40
Lowest target61.00
Current price54.38

Carrier Global valuation

Forward P/E (FY2026)
18.97
Price to sales (TTM)
1.95
Price to book
4.43
EV / EBITDA (TTM)
230.18

Capital structure

Market capitalization
44.49B USD
+
Total debt
11.88B USD
−
Cash and short-term investments
1.35B USD
=
Enterprise value
55.01B USD

Valuation over time

P/EForward P/EForward P/E · Estimate
Fiscal yearP/EForward P/EP/SP/BEV/EBITDA
FY2028 (est.)15.01————
FY2027 (est.)17.1015.01———
FY2026 (est.)18.9717.10———
Now (TTM)—17.331.954.43230.18
FY202530.3718.432.043.2115.71
FY202410.9415.212.734.3517.14
FY202335.6815.212.545.5418.91
FY20229.8415.212.014.489.13
FY202128.2523.182.286.9520.15

Carrier Global against its own history

Each figure in the latest fiscal year against the same figure from FY2021 to FY2025: the range, its median (the line) and the latest (the dot, green on the good side of the median). The P/E is today's against its daily readings of five years.

Its peers: Rockwell Automation, PACCAR, Ingersoll Rand, Cummins, Otis Worldwide, and Honeywell International, the US Industrial - Machinery companies closest to it in size, each in its own latest fiscal year: their median (the line) and its rank among them, first being the best.

  • Gross marginBelow its median25.9%
    24.9%29.0%
    Against its peers: 5 of 7Peers' median 33.6%
  • Operating marginLowest in 5 years8.8%
    8.8%12.8%
    Against its peers: 7 of 7Peers' median 16.2%
  • Net marginLowest in 5 years6.8%
    6.8%24.9%
    Against its peers: 7 of 7Peers' median 9.0%
  • Return on equityLowest in 5 years10.8%
    10.8%45.6%
    Against its peers: 5 of 6Peers' median 23.0%
  • Free cash flow marginBelow its median7.8%
    0.2%11.4%
    Against its peers: 6 of 7Peers' median 12.6%
  • Revenue growthBelow its median-3.3%
    -16.1%18.7%
    Against its peers: 6 of 7Peers' median 3.5%
  • EPS growthLowest in 5 years-72.4%
    -72.4%277.3%
    Against its peers: 7 of 7Peers' median -21.6%
  • Debt to EBITDAAt its median3.59×
    2.10×5.23×
    Against its peers: 4 of 7Peers' median 3.41×
  • Current ratioLowest in 5 years1.20
    1.202.80
    Against its peers: 6 of 7Peers' median 1.91

Peers: US companies of the same industry (of its sector when the industry has too few) from a tenth to ten times its market value, the six closest in size. Updated weekly.

Carrier Global growth and profitability

Revenue (TTM)
22.79B USD
Net income (TTM)
-1.80B USD
Gross margin
24.64%
Operating margin
-5.30%
Net margin
-7.90%

Revenue / Net income

Revenue Net income Net margin
PeriodRevenueGrowthNet incomeGrowthGross marginOperating marginNet marginEBITDAGrowth
FY202521.75B-3.29%1.48B-73.52%25.86%8.77%6.82%3.53B-13.61%
FY202422.49B+18.65%5.60B+315.42%26.60%9.33%24.92%4.09B+46.14%
FY202318.95B+9.62%1.35B-61.83%27.24%10.88%7.12%2.80B-37.21%
FY202217.29B-16.13%3.53B+112.38%24.86%11.01%20.44%4.45B+65.23%
FY202120.61B+18.09%1.66B-16.04%29.01%12.83%8.07%2.70B-22.76%

Carrier Global revenue breakdown

By product

FY2025
Product: 88.2%Service: 11.8%88.2%Product11.8%Service
SegmentRevenueShare of revenueChange on the year
Product19.17B88.2%-4.1%
Service2.57B11.8%+3.1%

By region

FY2025
United States: 51.2%Europe: 28.0%Asia Pacific: 17.7%Other Geographical Region: 3.1%51.2%United States28.0%Europe17.7%Asia Pacific3.1%Other Geographical Region
RegionRevenueShare of revenueChange on the year
United States11.14B51.2%-1.4%
Europe6.09B28.0%-8.9%
Asia Pacific3.84B17.7%+0.6%
Other Geographical Region678.00M3.1%-1.5%

How Carrier Global makes its money

Product19.17B 88.2%
Service2.57B 11.8%
Revenue21.75B 100.0%
Cost of revenue16.12B 74.1%
Gross profit5.62B 25.9%
Research and development625.00M 2.9%
Selling and administration3.09B 14.2%
Operating income1.91B 8.8%
Tax240.00M 1.1%
Other expense183.00M 0.8%
Net income1.48B 6.8%

FY2025, in USD. Each band is as wide as its money; the percentage is its share of revenue.

Carrier Global dividends

Annual dividend
0.96 USD
Dividend yield (indicated)
1.77%
Years of dividend growth
6
Frequency
Quarterly
Next payment
0.24 USD
Last ex-dividend date
29 Oct 2026
Next payment date
18 Nov 2026

Dividends per share

Year202520242023202220212020
Dividends per share0.900.760.740.600.480.16

Carrier Global financial health

Cash and short-term investments
1.35B USD
Total debt
11.88B USD
Net cash
-10.52B USD
Free cash flow (TTM)
2.35B USD
Current ratio
1.00
Debt to equity
1.18
Piotroski score
6 / 9
Altman Z-score
2.10

Cash, debt and free cash flow

Cash and short-term investments Total debt Free cash flow
Fiscal yearCash and short-term investmentsTotal debtFree cash flow
FY20251.56B12.67B1.70B
FY20243.97B12.71B44.00M
FY20239.85B14.63B2.17B
FY20223.52B9.37B1.43B
FY20212.99B10.22B1.89B

Carrier Global ownership

Institutions
87.59%
Institutional holders
1,711 (+152)
Free float
95.23%

Who owns the shares

Institutions 87.6% Others 12.4%
As of 30 Jun 2026

Shares free to trade

Free float 779.10M shares ·95.2% Closely held 39.06M shares ·4.8%

Closely held shares belong to insiders, founders and owners of more than 5%, and seldom change hands. The free float is the rest: the shares anyone can buy and sell.

Insider trading

QuarterPurchasesSalesShares acquiredShares disposed of
Q4 202600190.67K91.39K
Q3 2026009.73K9.04K
Q2 20260193.05K12.17M
Q1 2026001.16M73.40K

Shares outstanding

Basic shares Diluted shares Change in diluted shares
Fiscal yearBasic sharesDiluted sharesChange in diluted shares
FY2025839.20M862.40M-5.41%
FY2024898.20M911.70M+6.88%
FY2023837.30M853.00M-0.95%
FY2022843.40M861.20M-3.27%
FY2021867.70M890.30M+1.15%

Source: Financial Modeling PrepVerified against SEC filings

Related Instruments

Title: Carrier Global Corp

Sector: Industrials
Industry: Industrial - Machinery
Carrier Global, spun out of United Technologies in 2020, manufactures and services commercial and residential HVAC systems and transportation refrigeration solutions under its flagship Carrier brand, as well as Bryant, Payne, Heil, and others across various price points. In 2024, Carrier acquired Viessmann Climate Solutions to expand its footprint in Europe with heat pumps, boilers, and solar PV equipment. Proceeds from the sale of Carrier's fire and security (Honeywell) andcommercial refrigeration (Haier) businesses reduced debt and focused the company on global HVAC and refrigeration solutions. Carrier generates 75% of sales from equipment and 25% from parts and services. The company derives 50% of revenue from the US, 30% from Europe, and 20% from the Asia-Pacific region.

Common questions about Carrier Global stock