As a retail trader, you are constantly on the lookout for breakouts and pullbacks in the movements of your financial assets. This is how you make your money. A breakout is when a price “breaks out” from a defined price band, while a pullback refers to a reversal or “pulling back” of the direction of a trend. These price changes give you the chance to profit from them by placing a winning trade.
It stands to reason then that finding a reliable method of identifying these price changes could be very valuable to retail traders like you. That’s where technical analysis comes in, and specifically Bollinger Bands. This is a popular tool among traders as it gives you a way to assess price volatility and potential entry or exit points in the market.
It’s highly useful information to have, which is why in this guide our Arincen experts will dive into the structure and components of Bollinger Bands. We’ll tell you how they respond to market volatility and the signals they offer. You’ll also learn how to combine Bollinger Bands with other indicators, such as Relative Strength Index (RSI) or Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), which will help strengthen your strategy.
In the 1980s, financial analyst John Bollinger came up with an ingenious way to visualize market volatility and identify trading opportunities. It was a game changer because, at that time, traders were relying on static indicators that didn’t adjust to price changes fast enough.
Bollinger had been looking for a dynamic system that could capture how constantly the market changed. He came up with the solution that involved a set of bands that expanded and contracted based on price movement and volatility.
John Bollinger used standard deviations, a statistical measure of which you may be aware, to adapt the width of the bands around a moving average. The result of this was that he created a highly responsive indicator that responded instantly to changing market conditions.
Not surprisingly, Bollinger Bands quickly became popular with traders across all types of financial assets. Further, with the advent of computers, these fast-moving prices could now be better visualized on digital charts.
Traders realized that the bands gave them insights not just into volatility but also the relative strength of price movements. Since then, Bollinger Bands have become a vital part of many trading strategies. Your best bet is to use them together with other indicators to identify overbought or oversold conditions, predict potential breakouts, and manage risks.
This was a significant development in technical analysis because it provided traders with a more real-time understanding of price activity. Rather than being confined by rigid levels, Bollinger Bands gave traders a flexible, adaptable way to assess potential price reversals or continuations.
As we’ve said, Bollinger Bands act like a dynamic indicator that changes according to price action, helping you to make sense of complex markets with better insight.
A great thing about them is that they are versatile. The bands are used across various trading strategies, from spotting early signs of a breakout to identifying when a price might be overbought or oversold.
Now, let’s get to the bottom of what Bollinger Bands actually are. Essentially, we are talking about a set of three lines plotted on a price chart, telling you about price movement and volatility. Think of Bollinger Bands as an envelope around the price, showing how far it tends to stray from its average, and they expand or contract based on the most recent price action. Here’s what Bollinger Bands look like:
The most important parts of Bollinger Bands are:
This section of the Bollinger Band is nothing more than a middle band that faithfully tracks a moving average of the price. One common example of this is the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). This band is highly important since it acts as the guide around which the other two bands are calculated. The SMA smooths out price data to create a clearer view of the average trend direction over a set time, thus helping you to identify the general direction of the market.
What you are looking at when you see the upper band is an indicator that is always two standard deviations above the middle band. What this shows you is the higher limit of price movement, adjusting according to recent volatility.
Sometimes the prices move closer to or can even touch the upper band. This most commonly tells you that the market is overbought. Now could be a good time for a potential reversal or a cooling off in the price trend. As you can imagine, this band is useful in working out where prices might struggle to keep rising.
The lower band can be found two standard deviations below the middle band. Think of it as a lower boundary for price action, suggesting that an asset may be oversold. In the same way as the upper band, the lower band adjusts to the market’s volatility. When prices dip toward or touch the lower band, it suggests that selling pressure might be reaching an extreme, often signaling a potential bounce back or price correction.
There you have it. These three elements work together to create a much clearer representation of price volatility. As price action becomes more volatile, the bands will widen, and as it stabilizes, they will contract.
This unique ability to expand and contract allows you to get an instant read on the market’s level of activity, which helps you to make better-informed trading decisions. Bollinger Bands provide not only a framework for understanding volatility, but also a context for evaluating current price levels against recent market history.
Bollinger Bands are very good at painting a picture of market volatility by expanding and contracting in response to price movements. As a trader, the ability to really see how active or calm a market is can be highly useful.
In practical terms, the bands expand when volatility increases, meaning that the distance between the upper and lower bands becomes visibly wider. This normally happens during times of rapid price movement, for example, during a strong upward trend or a sudden drop. When you see the bands widen significantly, it is a sure sign that the market is highly volatile. You could use these sharp price movements as a guide that price trends are strong. However, you should also be cautious as volatility can often lead to unpredictable swings.
On the other hand, Bollinger Bands contract, or shrink, when there is less volatility. Visually, you will notice that the bands are closer together. It’s a sign that price movements are more stable. This could happen during a consolidation phase where the market moves sideways. These contracted periods normally reveal a market that does not have momentum.
As you can see, the dynamic nature of Bollinger Bands makes them a convenient and reliable way for you to assess current market volatility while putting you on high alert for potential price changes. In a trading space where price signals and candlesticks can be hard to read, Bollinger Bands are a shorthand way to understand just how volatile the market is, giving you crucial information for timing your trades and setting stop-losses and take-profits.
By now you must be wondering how exactly you can use all this information about Bollinger Bands. We will tell you how by showing you the most common set of Bollinger signals and how you can capitalize on them when you see them. Let’s look at three common signals: "The Squeeze," "Riding the Bands," and "Mean Reversion."
This is one of the most popular trading signals you get when working with Bollinger Bands. The "squeeze," as it’s called, happens when the upper and lower bands move closer together, meaning that volatility is low and there is very little happening in terms of volatility. It simply means that the market is "compressing," which should normally put you on alert that a major breakout could be about to happen.
We should warn you that the squeeze doesn’t predict the direction of the breakout, it’s just a pointer that a breakout could be about to happen. The breakout could be up or down. You should be on high alert that it will happen, but you won’t know how it will break. In moments like these, smart traders use this information to get ready for action. How? By setting alerts or using other indicators like volume to confirm the direction of the next move.
Another common phenomenon related to Bollinger Bands is when the price trend is strong and you see that the price action "rides the bands." This simply means that it moves along the upper or lower band. What this could look like is that, in an uptrend, the price could consistently touch or stay close to the upper band. In a downtrend, it might do the same with the lower band.
This riding of the bands shows strong price momentum. You would be forgiven for thinking that touching the bands isn’t necessarily a reversal signal during a strong trend. In reality, it’s actually a sign of trend confirmation. Traders often search for a continuation when they witness prices riding the bands, as opposed to expecting a reversal.
Among traders, there is the idea that, over time, prices will often return to their average value, which is represented by the middle band. The most reliable expression of an average value is usually a 20-day moving average. You should know that when prices hit the upper or lower bands, they are normally far from the average. It’s quite likely that they will revert back to the middle. You can use this signal to identify potential entry and exit points, betting that the price will gravitate back to the middle band after reaching an extreme. For instance, if the price touches the lower band and shows that it is stabilizing, you could take this as an opportunity to buy, full in the expectation that it will at some point come back to the middle band.
These three basic trading signals are what make Bollinger Bands a versatile tool. Once you master them, you can use them for both identifying trends and sensing when a market is ready for a potential reversal or breakout. Once you understand these signals, you have the best chance of making more informed decisions based on price action.
In our technical analysis series, we’ve written articles on Fibonacci sequences, RSI, and now Bollinger Bands. The truth is that as well as any of these tools work on their own, they become so much more effective when paired with other technical indicators. Using multiple indicators helps you confirm signals and improve your confidence in making trading decisions.
Using RSI to Confirm Signals
The RSI measures overbought and oversold conditions on a scale of 0 to 100. It is a powerful tool because it gives a quantifiable number that traders can use to measure the strength of overbought or oversold conditions.
By combining RSI with Bollinger Bands, you can get a far better sense of potential reversals or continuations. Think of it this way, if the price touches or goes over the upper Bollinger Band while RSI reads above 70, it could mean that it’s an overbought market with a higher likelihood of a price pullback. On the other hand, let’s say the price hits the lower Bollinger Band and RSI is below 30, this could very well mean that the asset is oversold and ready for a bounce. So, when you use both indicators together, you can swerve all the false signals and gain a clearer picture of whether a reversal is likely.
Using MACD to Confirm Signals
The MACD is another useful way of reading the market. This trend-following indicator helps you identify the direction of a trend and how strong it is. When used together with Bollinger Bands, the MACD can often confirm breakouts or trend continuations.
For example, during a "squeeze," you might look for a MACD crossover. This is when the MACD line crosses above the signal line. This could be a good clue that an upward breakout could be about to happen. By the same token, if the price is riding the bands in a strong uptrend, an increasing MACD histogram can confirm that the trend has momentum, meaning that a sudden reversal probably won’t happen.
By combining different indicators, you can more safely differentiate between true opportunities and false signals. Think of these extra indicators as an added layer of validation. This confidence allows you to better time your entries and exits. This multi-indicator approach works best in volatile markets, when it might be dangerous to rely on one indicator to tell you the full story.
Let’s go over a few live trading examples that show how you can use Bollinger Bands to identify opportunities and make the most of market trends.
Example 1: The Squeeze and Breakout
Imagine that a stock in which you’ve invested is trading within a narrow range and you notice that the Bollinger Bands are contracting sharply. By now you know that the asset is in a "squeeze," which means that volatility is low, and a major price change could be about to happen.
In this scenario, let’s say the price breaks above the upper band, and the trading volume starts to increase. You would be correct in feeling that this looks very much like a breakout to the upside, signaling a potential buy. By using the bands, you could have anticipated this extra volatility and been prepared to enter the trade as soon as the breakout happened, riding the trend higher to your advantage.
Example 2: Riding the Bands in an Uptrend
Let’s look at another situation where a stock is in the middle of a strong uptrend and the price keeps touching the upper Bollinger Band without reversing. Some traders might feel that the price will surely pull back, but in this case, riding the upper band is a sustained buying pressure signal.
This example is where the price consistently moves along the upper band for many days. During this time, the middle band (the 20-day SMA we spoke about) acts as dynamic support. You can confidently use this as a signal to hold your long positions, as the price "riding the band" shows strong momentum. If you were to exit prematurely when the upper band was first touched, this could lead to you missing opportunities for extra gains.
Example 3: Mean Reversion in a Downtrend
Let’s take an example of a downward trending asset. Imagine the price touches the lower Bollinger Band, and, at the same time, the RSI plummets under 30. This possibly means that the asset could be oversold. In this sequence, you see the price start to stabilize and move back toward the middle band.
What we’ve just seen is a classic example of what is known as mean reversion (from the term reverting to the mean), where the price moves from an extreme point all the way back to its average. By using this strategy, you could rightly see the price touching the lower band as an opportunity to buy, as you expect it to revert back to the middle band. This type of trade is great for short-term gains inside of a broader trend, allowing you to capitalize on smaller price corrections.
As we’ve seen, you can effectively integrate Bollinger Bands into your trading strategy. Whether you’re looking for signs of a soon-to-happen breakout, or a strong trend continuation, or even a potential price correction, Bollinger Bands give you a visual framework on which you can rely. You should know that Bollinger Bands are highly adaptible, and you can be ready for any situation ranging from fast breakouts to steady trends and sharp reversals.
For newbie traders, Bollinger Bands are undoubtedly a powerful tool, but they need a bit of practice to get right. Here are some evergreen tips to help you use Bollinger Bands as best you can
Get to grips with volatility
Bollinger Bands are a great tool to reflect market volatility. By understanding what volatility really means, you can interpret the bands better. When the bands widen, expect price action to be more volatile. When they get narrow, be on the lookout for potential breakouts.
Bollinger Bands can spot overbought and oversold levels
One of the best ways to use Bollinger Bands is to use them to identify overbought and oversold conditions. When the price hits the upper band, it could be that the market is overbought. This is prime territory for a pullback.
When the price touches the lower band, the market could possibly be oversold. This is when you need to start preparing for a possible bounce back. Remember, this is not guaranteed, and you should always try to find a confirmation signal with another indicator before acting.
Remember to pair Bollinger Bands with other indicators
We know that Bollinger Bands give us important information, but their effectiveness is always better when paired with other such indicators asRSI or MACD. Think of this: if the price touches the upper band and the RSI also hints at overbought conditions, you have much stronger evidence that a reversal might be coming. Using multiple indicators at the same time gives you a fuller picture.
Don’t assume the price will always come back
A common mistake beginners make is assuming that every time the price touches the upper or lower band, it will automatically come back to the middle band. You should be aware that during strong trends, prices can "ride the band" for a long time. Avoid the temptation to leap to buy or sell when the price hits an outer band. You should look for more signs that the market is ready to turn.
Practice with different time frames
Bollinger Bands are useful for all types of time frames. They could be as short as one-minute charts or as long as daily or weekly charts. Be sure to practice on different time frames until you get the full hang of how Bollinger Bands act throughout different types of market conditions. In general, shorter time frames offer more frequent signals but need you to act sooner. On the other side of things, longer time frames tend to give you more durable signals as a swing (long term) trader.
Bands are guidelines, not gospel
For all we’ve said to talk up the value of Bollinger Bands, they are not a crystal ball. No indicator is full proof. Market conditions change rapidly, and there are no guarantees. That’s why Bollinger Bands should be no more than one piece of a larger strategy. We would always advise you to match them with sound risk management techniques and different forms of analysis.
As versatile as Bollinger Bands are, they can still be misunderstood, especially if you are not accustomed to using them. Here are some common mistakes you want to avoid when using Bollinger Bands.
Reversal signals are not guaranteed
One of the biggest mistakes beginners make is assuming that the price will always reverse when it touches the upper or lower Bollinger Band. We’ve already shown how, in a strong trend, the price can "ride the band" for a long time without reversing. To avoid falling into this trap, you should always use additional indicators, such as RSI, to give you more information that a reversal is in the pipeline.
Ignoring market trends
Bollinger Bands are great at showing volatility, but they don’t always give you a clear indication of market direction. If you home in on Bollinger Bands and nothing else, you could be failing to see the wood for the trees. You have to consider the overall trend or you could misinterpret the signals.
For instance, during a strong uptrend, the price could repeatedly hit the upper band without reversing, and if you simply assume it will drop could lead to a losing trade. Understanding the full picture of the market trend is the best way to use Bollinger Bands.
Using bands on their own
Some traders use Bollinger Bands as their only tool because they are so easy to read. However, relying on Bollinger Bands and nothing else can lead to false signals. You must always combine Bollinger Bands with other indicators to confirm the trades you want to make.
For example, during a "squeeze" phase, using RSI or watching trading volume can give you excellent clues about the direction of the upcoming breakout. Using Bollinger Bands together with other indicators helps confirm signals and makes your strategy more reliable.
Misreading the squeeze
The squeeze is great at reading low-volatility situations, and the natural response is to prepare for a breakout. However, some traders make the mistake of assuming that a breakout will be strong or last for a long time, no matter what other noises the market is making. This is a mistake. The squeeze doesn’t tell you anything about the direction of the breakout—just that volatility is about to go up.
Overcomplicating trades with tight stops
It’s perfectly understandable to set tight stop-loss orders just outside the Bollinger Bands because you expect the price to respect these boundaries. But what if it doesn’t? Markets are nothing if not unpredictable. How many times have you seen prices briefly spike beyond the bands before returning to normal? This situation can see you getting “stopped out” unnecessarily. Give your trades some breathing room and don’t set stops too tight, especially in volatile markets
Failing to adjust for market conditions
Bollinger Bands are adaptable, but their default settings (usually a 20-day SMA) is not suited to all market conditions. During very volatile times, the default settings might create bands that are overly wide or too narrow, leading to misleading signals.
You have to be prepared to adjust your parameters to suit different assets or market conditions. Testing your signals over time based on the particular asset and the trading environment can help give you more accurate signals.
Bollinger Bands are a versatile tool that can really improve your trading strategy by giving you insight into market volatility and possible entry and exit points. However, like all indicators, they come with their limitations. While Bollinger Bands offer valuable signals, it's important to remember that no indicator is foolproof. Market conditions can change without warning, and relying on Bollinger Bands without confirming with other indicators, like RSI or MACD, could lead to you making losing trades.
Remember to be cautious of every signal. After all, a signal is not a confirmation. The unique strength of Bollinger Bands lies in how adaptable they are and how they can give you important market context. With practice and patience, you can make Bollinger Bands a key part of a broader, well-rounded trading strategy. Trading will never be about perfection, but it’s about managing risk and making informed decisions with the use of indicators.
Bollinger Bands show you price volatility. When the bands widen, there is more volatility, often indicating strong trends, while narrow bands suggest low volatility, usually a calm period before a breakout.
This is when the upper and lower bands contract, indicating that the market is in a low volatility phase. It’s a signal to be on high alert because a significant breakout is likely to happen soon, though its direction (up or down) isn’t certain.
No, you shouldn’t assume a price reversal every time it touches an upper or lower band. During strong trends, prices can "ride the band" for an extended period.
When the price touches the upper or lower Bollinger Band, combining it with the RSI helps confirm potential reversals. For instance, if the price hits the upper band and the RSI is above 70, it may signal that the asset is overbought and could soon pull back.
Bollinger Bands expand when market volatility is high, showing that prices are moving strongly in one direction. On the other hand, they contract when the market is stable, indicating lower volatility.
Riding the bands means that the price is moving along the upper or lower band, suggesting strong momentum in that direction. In an uptrend, if the price rides the upper band, it indicates sustained buying interest. Instead of expecting a reversal, this is usually a confirmation of the trend. If you’re already in the trade, it’s a signal to hold your position rather than exit prematurely.
It’s not advisable to use Bollinger Bands in isolation. Although they’re effective at showing volatility and spotting potential reversal points, relying solely on Bollinger Bands can lead to false signals.
While it might seem logical to set tight stop-loss orders just outside the bands, it’s often better to give your trades a bit of breathing room. Prices can sometimes spike beyond the bands before reverting, which can lead to unnecessary stop-outs. You could be missing out on potential gains if you set your stop loss too tight.