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What to Do in a Crypto Bear Market? 8 Strategies for Bear Market
Last Update: 2024-11-16
Simply put, a crypto bear market is when crypto assets trade at 20% lower than their previous high mark for an extended period. Given that crypto prices are much more volatile than other financial assets, the 20% mark is important here. Before you take any action, be certain you are aware of the total picture. When a crypto bear market is brewing, early signals almost always show up on bitcoin’s price movement. Other cryptocurrencies normally fall into line behind it.
Here are some keys to navigating a bear market, with explanations to come:
1. Stay Calm and Assess your Options.
2. Carefully Assess the Current State of the Market.
3. Avoid Leaving Your Crypto on Exchanges.
4. Don’t Try to Time the Bottom.
5. Look out for Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA).
6. Avoid Shorting in a Crypto Bear Market.
7. Consider Staking.
8. Diversify Investments Across Various Crypto Assets.
Quick-but-Critical Definitions
Bear and bull markets apply to all forms of financial trading. The crypto market is young and developing and is giving new meaning to bear and bull markets as every phenomenon related to crypto is supercharged. The highs are higher and, as we can see from the current bear market, the lows are lower.
Bear Market: This is defined as a prolonged drop in asset prices, leading to your portfolio decreasing in value. In a bear market, asset supply is generally greater than demand because – and you see from where the name comes – the “bears” begin to sell losing assets before further price drops.
Bull Market: When asset prices are increasing over a prolonged period and your total portfolio increases, i.e., the opposite of a bear market. Confidence returns to the investors and they return to buying, leading to a condition where prices rise, or are expected to rise.
Bull Vs. Bear market
Generally, investors are bullish, and most assets – including digital ones – normally post positive returns on investment (ROI) in the long term. However, things change and that is why you are reading this.
As bull markets normally persist for a longer time period, it is easier for investors to return a profit. Navigating a bear market, while it is still possible to profit through shorting, is more difficult. So much depends on investors’ psychology and risk aversion, but there is more to be considered.
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Crypto Winter
Before launching into our helpful guidelines, here is one more key term you need to know - , “crypto winter.” This term has nothing to do with the time of year or the weather. This rather dark and apocalyptic term instead refers to a lengthy period – normally measured in months – during which most digital assets dip steeply in price. The most recent such period was between early 2018 and mid-2020, when bitcoin dropped more than 85% of its value compared to its all-time high. Other cryptocurrencies dropped 90-95%.
Eight Strategies to Employ in a Crypto Bear Market
Nobody buys into crypto expecting to weather a prolonged bear market. Most crypto investors are attracted to the high upside of the asset class and the promise of steep gains. Thus, it takes a mental adjustment to accept a crypto bear market when it comes around. To help you navigate the inevitable (every assets goes through up and down cycles) downturn in crypto assets, we have collated a list of the best actions available to you:
1. Stay Calm and Assess your Options
Don’t panic and, as much as you are able, calmly consider where you are. The absolute worst thing you can do is make rash decisions. Emotional decisions will come back to haunt you, particularly as a trader. Renowned American economist Benjamin Graham once said, “Individuals who cannot master their emotions are ill-suited to profit from the investment process.”
Begin by going back to ask yourself why you invested in crypto initially. Was it to make a quick buck by trading short-term or did you believe in crypto’s long-term possibilities? Did you want to be part of as many opportunities as you were able? The answer sets the stage for you moving forward out of the bear market, unscathed.
2. Carefully Assess the Current State of the Market
At the time of writing, bitcoin was selling at just under $20,000. Saying that out loud is scary to many because bitcoin’s high, just a few months ago, was $69,000. However, don’t be anxious about selling. As noted above, it is not easy to control your emotions during bear markets. Therefore, analyze why prices have fallen and dig deeper into the reasons. Develop your own solutions. Re-strategize before taking any action.
Take your time to research and learn about one or more of the cryptocurrencies. Be aware, however, that information gleaned from obscure Websites driven by self-interest may well only mislead you, further adding to the frustration. Always rely on credible sources and track the market regularly. As an investor, it is imperative that you know about crypto market trends and changes.
For investors with a higher understanding of technical analysis, i.e., predicting an asset’s price movements based on patterns, indicators and chart trends, there are indicators that gauge when an asset has hit bottom. One method is the Relative Strength Indicator (RSI). Two key elements of the tool include providing information on whether the crypto is overbought or oversold. Learning the intricacies of the RSI is one way to perform your analysis.
3. Avoid Leaving Your Crypto on Exchanges
While there always is a concern about having your cryptos on a custodial crypto exchange, the risks of losing them completely increases greatly during a turbulent bear market. A sudden market crash could lead to some/all crypto exchanges becoming insolvent. This is not being said just to scare you; it is always a possibility. Therefore, opt for a non-custodial wallet app or – even better – a test hardware wallet, where you have full control over your crypto holdings.
4. Don’t Try to Time the Bottom
It is a fact of life that no one can accurately predict the bottom of a bear market. You can devote all your available time to research and analysis and the best you can do is make an educated guess. Certainly, the more you study and analyze, the better your “guesses” become, and that is exactly what the experts do. However, one bad call and all could be lost, which takes us back to the headline of this section, which is about what you can do to ride out bear markets. Still, learn all you can in order to make your best moves, but do not put all of your holdings into that one “sure thing.”
5. DCA
An investment strategy that is usually successful during a bear market is Dollar-Cost averaging (DCA). With this strategy, you continue to purchase small amounts of an asset over time, regardless of the price. A typical DCA schedule would see you investing $50 on bitcoin every week rather than $200 all at once. Of course, you may change your DCA schedule from time to time, as you desire.
Using the above as an example, if you started purchasing $50 of bitcoin weekly three years ago, by now your total bitcoin investment over that period would be $7,850. Using a DCA calculator, you will see that the total value of that investment at the time of this writing would be $21,777. That is a 17.42% gain over the three years. Because it is very difficult when a digital asset reaches its lowest price before turnaround, experts advise saving your money by not spending it all at once
6. Avoid Shorting in a Crypto Bear Market
Traders use shorting as a technique to profit from falling crypto prices. Normally, shorting is an ideal method for use when an asset hits an established support level, i.e., within the normal course of business. However, many experts do not favor the approach when it comes to bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies because it could lead to unlimited losses or even liquidation of your position. This is a fundamental issue with shorting and no amount of experience can prepare you for a market whose bottom is falling out.
Shorting is selling an asset at a high price with the intention of repurchasing it later at a low price. In practice, it is borrowing a certain cryptocurrency at a current market price and selling it immediately. When prices fall, you purchase the same amount of crypto at the lower price and return it to the lender, profiting from the difference.
For example, when you purchase a crypto (going long), you can never really lose more than the amount of that investment. Thus, if you purchase bitcoin for $1,000, the maximum you could lose is $1,000. By contrast, the potential gain is limitless (at least on paper). If you short bitcoin for $1,000, the maximum you will gain from that trade is $1,000. However, if the crypto’s price begins to increase and the uptrend continues, your losses could pile up indefinitely. To make matters worse, if you short using margin, you must continue paying the interest charges, in addition to the original loss, for as long as you choose to keep your position open.
7. Consider Staking
Staking is the practice of locking away your coins on a proof-of-stake (PoS) blockchain for a period of time and being rewarded for it. This may be a good way for you to earn a passive income from your crypto holdings. It is an easy-to-use strategy that also minimizes the emotional impact of a bear market. You can stake coins and earn extra income during a crypto bear market. Many layer-one protocols permit staking of native tokens on their networks for yields.
8. Diversify Investments Across Various Crypto Assets
With more than 17,000 cryptocurrencies on the market, no one can predict which one will rank highest or recover quickest, just as it is difficult to predict just how long the crypto bear market will continue.
You should investigate various cryptos to learn their all-time highs, their overall performance, and to determine their roadmaps. A new roadmap announcement, which might include a new partnership or rebranding, just might be a major clue that a crypto is on the up.
One approach to hedging your bets is to use DCA for a range of different crypto assets, which may even involve reducing trade sizes even more. Before making such a move, learn and understand previous all-time highs and past performance, and how your chosen crypto fared in previous crashes.
Additional Investment Strategies for Bear Markets
Every trader’s situation is different. Make sure you cover your costs, i.e., living expenses, if you are trying to make it as a full time trader. If you are dependent on short-term market gains to pay the rent, you are not in a position to make sustainable choices as your portfolio value takes a dive.
Avoid volatility. If you are working through an investment house, consider moving a portion of your crypto holdings to gold, cash or some other stable asset.
Identify growing market segments. Some cryptos retain their value better during a severe market downturn because they are associated with market segments that are seeing substantial growth. Crypto examples are those used in online gambling, the video game industry, or fan-based NFT marketplaces. These are worth evaluating, particularly if you already have specific knowledge about such market segments.
Look beyond price. Although a crypto’s price may drop in a bear market, there still may be advantages to owning some coins. Some funds earn fees from lending coins to a liquidity pool or staking them to a blockchain consensus network. Alternatively, you may want to hold onto a crypto to preserve your position in the decentralized autonomous organization that sets policies. Although bitcoin is a pure currency, more and more altcoins are tied to key technologies and can continue to deliver financial rewards.
Invest in derivatives. These are complex financial instruments that permit investors to minimize risk and make money even when market prices decline. Blockchain derivatives that handle crypto futures and options are starting to become more prominent. While not entirely without risk, they allow experienced investors to make big profits in falling markets.
Conclusion
Even with market downturns, cryptocurrencies continue to advance with impressive speed. Many new projects emerge on a monthly basis. Because of the volatility and other factors, crypto winter periods and bear markets will continue to occur. Keys to surviving crypto bear markets are positivity, patience and a solid survival strategy that incorporates the tips noted here.
