From Comeback to Contender: Can Europe’s Banks Deliver Again in 2026?

From Comeback to Contender: Can Europe’s Banks Deliver Again in 2026?

European bank stocks have just wrapped up their strongest year on record, capping off a remarkable turnaround after more than a decade in the wilderness. 

In 2025, the EURO STOXX Banks Index surged around 76% by mid-December, eclipsing the previous high-water mark of 74% set back in 1997. What made the rally stand out wasn’t just the headline number, but its depth. Every bank in the index finished higher, with several posting gains well above 100%.

Shares in Société Générale and Commerzbank jumped roughly 139% and 136% respectively, while Banco Santander climbed about 110% and ABN Amro rose more than 100%. BBVA, CaixaBank, Deutsche Bank, and Bank of Ireland all delivered gains between 80% and 100%, underlining how broad-based the move really was.

The macro mix played nicely into banks’ hands. The ECB paused its easing cycle in June, keeping the deposit rate at 2%, high enough to sustain net interest margins well above pre-pandemic norms.

Strong capital positions added fuel. CET1 ratios across the sector sat comfortably in the mid-teens, allowing banks to boost dividends and share buybacks. Valuations amplified the move too, with many lenders starting the year at single-digit P/E multiples and deep discounts to book value.

What Does This Mean for Me?

Looking ahead to 2026, the narrative is shifting. With rates no longer the main story, investors are focusing on earnings growth, efficiency, and execution. Analysts expect double-digit EPS growth despite still-muted valuations, suggesting European banks may have more to give, even after a historic year.

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks. Never invest money you cannot afford to lose, and carefully assess the suitability of complex products such as CFDs and derivatives in light of your financial situation. Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed. Arincen would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes.

Arincen and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website. It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Arincen and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website. Arincen may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.

© 2025 - Arincen L.L.C-FZ - License No. 2420098.01. All Rights Reserved.