SPOT

Spotify Technology SA
D

SPOT

Arincen74/100B

If you had invested in Spotify Technology SA ago, it would be worth $4,558 today, against $3,131 in SPY and $4,356 in QQQ.

ArincenArincen ScoreBeta

74/100

Six parts of the company, five checks each, from its own reported figures. A part scores the checks it passes out of 10; the score is their average out of 100.

Profitability8

Plus shows the checks behind each part of the score, what passed, what failed and the figure it read, for every stock.

Cash10

Plus shows the checks behind each part of the score, what passed, what failed and the figure it read, for every stock.

Valuation3.3

Plus shows the checks behind each part of the score, what passed, what failed and the figure it read, for every stock.

Growth10

Plus shows the checks behind each part of the score, what passed, what failed and the figure it read, for every stock.

Financial strength10

Plus shows the checks behind each part of the score, what passed, what failed and the figure it read, for every stock.

Shareholders3.3

Plus shows the checks behind each part of the score, what passed, what failed and the figure it read, for every stock.

Figures to FY2025; the price as of today.

Spotify Technology SA key facts

Style
Growth stock · 8.7/10Growth 8.7 · Value 1.6
Day range
598.57 – 614.41
52-week range
405.00 – 668.50
Market capitalization
125.17B USD
P/E
38.33
PEG ratio
2.27
EPS
15.89
EPS growth forecast (FY2026)
+36.6%
Volume
7,078
Beta
1.49
ESG score
86.6/100Environment 88 · Social 84 · Governance 88
Sector
Communication Services
Industry
Internet Content & Information
CEO
Alex Norström
Employees
7K
IPO date
3 Apr 2018

Spotify Technology SA earnings

Next earnings · Q4 FY2026
EPS estimate
3.69 USD
Revenue estimate
5.80B USD
Last quarter · Q3 FY2026
EPS2.81Missed -11.6%Revenue5.63BMissed -0.3%

Revenue

ReportedEstimate

EPS

ReportedEstimate
PeriodReport dateEPS estimateReported EPSSurpriseEPS growthRevenue estimateReported revenueSurpriseRevenue growth
Q3 FY20274.25——+51.14%6.33B——+12.42%
Q2 FY20273.98——+31.40%6.08B——+11.37%
Q1 FY20273.91——-3.26%5.81B——+10.87%
Q4 FY20263.69——-28.49%5.80B——+8.90%
Q3 FY20263.182.81-11.64%-26.63%5.64B5.63B-0.26%+12.50%
Q2 FY20263.163.03-4.11%—5.47B5.46B-0.32%+10.50%
Q1 FY20263.434.04+17.78%+257.52%5.23B5.24B+0.15%+14.02%
Q4 FY20253.215.16+60.75%+174.47%5.31B5.32B+0.17%+21.15%
Q3 FY20252.293.83+67.25%+137.89%4.97B5.00B+0.74%+14.40%
Q2 FY20252.30-0.48-120.87%-136.09%5.02B4.94B-1.62%+20.61%

Analysts' estimates for FY2026 over the last 7 days:EPS Revenue How the estimates moved

Spotify Technology SA analyst forecast

12-month price target
627.77 USD
+3.08%

Analysts' 1-year price targets range from 490.00 to 725.00, with an average of 627.77.

Past year
1-year forecast
Strong sellStrong buy
Buy
20 ratings
Buy
15
Hold
5
Sell
0

12-month price target

Highest target725.00
Average target627.77
Lowest target490.00
Current price609.02

Spotify Technology SA valuation

Price to earnings ratio (TTM)
38.33
Forward P/E (FY2026)
46.25
Price to sales (TTM)
6.02
Price to book
11.41
EV / EBITDA (TTM)
29.15

Capital structure

Market capitalization
125.17B USD
+
Total debt
567.30M USD
−
Cash and short-term investments
12.41B USD
=
Enterprise value
113.33B USD

Valuation over time

P/EForward P/EForward P/E · EstimateEstimate
Fiscal yearP/EForward P/EP/SP/BEV/EBITDA
FY2028 (est.)28.55————
FY2027 (est.)36.0928.55———
FY2026 (est.)46.2536.09———
Now (TTM)38.3337.166.0211.4129.15
FY202545.8960.245.9112.1941.67
FY202476.2060.245.5315.6956.06
FY2023-62.2729.622.5013.12-102.55
FY2022-33.06—1.215.92-84.97
FY2021-1,143.37—4.0718.5892.33

Spotify Technology SA against its own history

Each figure in the latest fiscal year against the same figure from FY2021 to FY2025: the range, its median (the line) and the latest (the dot, green on the good side of the median). The P/E is today's against its daily readings of five years.

Its peers: AT&T, T-Mobile US, Comcast, Verizon Communications, The Walt Disney, and DoorDash, the US Communication Services companies closest to it in size, each in its own latest fiscal year: their median (the line) and its rank among them, first being the best.

  • Gross marginHighest in 5 years32.0%
    25.0%32.0%
    Against its peers: 7 of 7Peers' median 49.3%
  • Operating marginHighest in 5 years12.8%
    -5.6%12.8%
    Against its peers: 6 of 7Peers' median 18.3%
  • Net marginHighest in 5 years12.9%
    -4.0%12.9%
    Against its peers: 4 of 7Peers' median 12.8%
  • Return on equityHighest in 5 years26.6%
    -21.1%26.6%
    Against its peers: 1 of 7Peers' median 17.5%
  • Free cash flow marginHighest in 5 years16.7%
    0.2%16.7%
    Against its peers: 2 of 7Peers' median 15.5%
  • Revenue growthLowest in 5 years9.7%
    9.7%22.7%
    Against its peers: 2 of 7Peers' median 3.0%
  • Debt to EBITDALowest in 5 years0.83×
    0.83×4.28×
    Against its peers: 1 of 7Peers' median 2.78×
  • Current ratioAbove its median1.72
    1.241.88
    Against its peers: 1 of 7Peers' median 0.91

Peers: US companies of the same industry (of its sector when the industry has too few) from a tenth to ten times its market value, the six closest in size. Updated weekly.

Spotify Technology SA growth and profitability

Revenue (TTM)
18.81B EUR
Net income (TTM)
2.96B EUR
Gross margin
33.12%
Operating margin
14.58%
Net margin
15.73%

Revenue / Net income

Revenue Net income Net margin
PeriodRevenueGrowthNet incomeGrowthGross marginOperating marginNet marginEBITDAGrowth
FY202517.19B+9.65%2.21B+94.38%31.98%12.79%12.87%2.36B+57.34%
FY202415.67B+18.31%1.14B—30.14%8.71%7.26%1.50B—
FY202313.25B+12.96%-532.00M—25.64%-3.37%-4.02%-309.00M—
FY202211.73B+21.30%-430.00M—24.95%-5.62%-3.67%-158.00M-137.98%
FY20219.67B+22.69%-34.00M—26.80%0.97%-0.35%416.00M—

Spotify Technology SA revenue breakdown

By product

FY2024
Premium: 88.2%Ad-Supported: 11.8%88.2%Premium11.8%Ad-Supported
SegmentRevenueShare of revenueChange on the year
Premium14.95B88.2%+19.5%
Ad-Supported2.01B11.8%+10.4%

By region

FY2025
Other Countries: 62.3%United States: 37.6%Luxembourg: 0.1%62.3%Other Countries37.6%United States
RegionRevenueShare of revenueChange on the year
Other Countries10.70B62.3%+33.1%
United States6.47B37.6%+5.4%
Luxembourg13.00M0.1%+30.0%

How Spotify Technology SA makes its money

Revenue17.19B 100.0%
Cost of revenue11.69B 68.0%
Gross profit5.50B 32.0%
Research and development1.39B 8.1%
Selling and administration1.91B 11.1%
Operating income2.20B 12.8%
Tax12.00M 0.1%
Net income2.21B 12.9%

FY2025, in EUR. Each band is as wide as its money; the percentage is its share of revenue.

Spotify Technology SA financial health

Cash and short-term investments
11.23B EUR
Total debt
513.40M EUR
Net cash
10.72B EUR
Free cash flow (TTM)
3.20B EUR
Current ratio
2.13
Debt to equity
0.05
Piotroski score
8 / 9
Altman Z-score
13.00

Cash, debt and free cash flow

Cash and short-term investments Total debt Free cash flow
Fiscal yearCash and short-term investmentsTotal debtFree cash flow
FY20259.47B1.96B2.87B
FY20247.45B2.08B2.28B
FY20234.21B1.70B674.00M
FY20223.35B1.68B21.00M
FY20213.50B1.78B276.00M

Spotify Technology SA ownership

Institutions
66.01%
Institutional holders
1,343 (-25)
Free float
76.41%

Who owns the shares

Institutions 66.0% Others 34.0%
As of 30 Jun 2026

Shares free to trade

Free float 157.05M shares ·76.4% Closely held 48.48M shares ·23.6%

Closely held shares belong to insiders, founders and owners of more than 5%, and seldom change hands. The free float is the rest: the shares anyone can buy and sell.

Insider trading

QuarterPurchasesSalesShares acquiredShares disposed of
Q4 20260829.05K45.29K
Q3 202605575.17K157.82K
Q2 202609198.58K269.45K
Q1 2026000.000.00

Shares outstanding

Basic shares Diluted shares Change in diluted shares
Fiscal yearBasic sharesDiluted sharesChange in diluted shares
FY2025205.41M210.51M+1.70%
FY2024200.62M206.99M+6.29%
FY2023194.73M194.73M-0.57%
FY2022192.93M195.85M+0.98%
FY2021191.30M193.94M+3.39%

Source: Financial Modeling PrepVerified against SEC filings

Related Instruments News

Title: Spotify Technology SA

Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Internet Content & Information
Spotify is the leading global music streaming service, with over 800 million monthly active users and more than 300 million paying subscribers, with the latter constituting the firm's premium segment. Most of the firm's revenue and nearly all its gross profit come from subscribers, who pay a monthly fee to access a music library that includes most of the most popular songs ever recorded, including all from the major record labels. The firm also offers access to audiobooks and integrates podcasts within its standard music app. Podcast content is not exclusive and is typically free to access on other platforms. Ad-supported users can access a similar music catalog, but cannot customize a similar on-demand experience.

Common questions about Spotify Technology SA stock