MRNA

Moderna
D

MRNA

If you had invested in Moderna ago, it would be worth $12,860 today, against $2,708 in SPY and $3,564 in QQQ.

Moderna key facts

Style
Speculative (losing money)
Day range
221.880 – 231.290
52-week range
22.280 – 280.800
Market capitalization
90.51B USD
EPS
-7.07
Volume
79,045
Beta
0.90
ESG score
55.8/100Environment 50 · Social 64 · Governance 53
Sector
Healthcare
Industry
Biotechnology
CEO
Stéphane Bancel
Employees
5K
IPO date
7 Dec 2018

Moderna earnings

Next earnings · Q4 FY2026
EPS estimate
-2.09 USD
Revenue estimate
539.30M USD
Last quarter · Q3 FY2026
EPS0.38Beat +134.5%Revenue1.31BBeat +47.5%

Revenue

ReportedEstimate

EPS

ReportedEstimate
PeriodReport dateEPS estimateReported EPSSurpriseEPS growthRevenue estimateReported revenueSurpriseRevenue growth
Q1 FY2027-1.66———302.19M——-22.32%
Q4 FY2026-2.09———539.30M——-20.46%
Q3 FY2026-1.100.38+134.55%—890.25M1.31B+47.49%+29.23%
Q2 FY2026-2.03-1.97+2.96%—102.93M145.00M+40.87%+2.11%
Q1 FY2026-4.45-3.40+23.60%—236.36M389.00M+64.58%+263.55%
Q4 FY2025-2.54-2.11+16.93%—635.15M678.00M+6.75%-29.08%
Q3 FY2025-1.87-0.51+72.73%-1,800.00%920.86M1.02B+10.33%-45.23%
Q2 FY2025-2.99-2.13+28.76%—893.29M142.00M-84.10%-41.08%

Analysts' estimates for FY2026 over the last 7 days:EPS Revenue How the estimates moved

Moderna analyst forecast

12-month price target
140.20 USD
-37.32%

Analysts' 1-year price targets range from 25.00 to 305.00, with an average of 140.20.

Past year
1-year forecast
Strong sellStrong buy
Hold
16 ratings
Buy
2
Hold
9
Sell
5

12-month price target

Highest target305.00
Average target140.20
Lowest target25.00
Current price223.69

Moderna valuation

Forward P/E (FY2029)
241.67
Price to sales (TTM)
35.84
Price to book
13.24

Capital structure

Market capitalization
90.51B USD
+
Total debt
4.18B USD
−
Cash and short-term investments
5.17B USD
=
Enterprise value
89.52B USD

Valuation over time

P/EForward P/E
Fiscal yearP/EForward P/EP/SP/BEV/EBITDA
Now (TTM)—3,581.4735.8413.24—
FY2025-4.063,581.475.901.33-4.23
FY2024-4.493,581.474.991.46-4.36
FY2023-8.063,581.475.552.74-11.06
FY20228.453,581.473.753.706.91
FY20218.3811.955.777.247.12

Moderna against its own history

Each figure in the latest fiscal year against the same figure from FY2021 to FY2025: the range, its median (the line) and the latest (the dot, green on the good side of the median). The P/E is today's against its daily readings of five years.

Its peers: Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Revolution Medicines, United Therapeutics, Incyte, and Insmed, the US Biotechnology companies closest to it in size, each in its own latest fiscal year: their median (the line) and its rank among them, first being the best.

  • Gross marginAt its median55.3%
    31.5%85.2%
    Against its peers: 7 of 7Peers' median 86.6%
  • Operating marginLowest in 5 years-158.1%
    -158.1%75.0%
    Against its peers: 5 of 7Peers' median 25.5%
  • Net marginLowest in 5 years-145.2%
    -145.2%68.8%
    Against its peers: 5 of 7Peers' median 28.2%
  • Return on equityAt its median-32.6%
    -34.0%86.3%
    Against its peers: 6 of 7Peers' median 16.6%
  • Free cash flow marginBelow its median-106.2%
    -126.8%75.2%
    Against its peers: 5 of 7Peers' median 26.4%
  • Revenue growthAt its median-39.2%
    -63.7%2,107.6%
    Against its peers: 6 of 7Peers' median 10.1%
  • Current ratioAt its median3.29
    1.763.67
    Against its peers: 6 of 7Peers' median 3.98

Peers: US companies of the same industry (of its sector when the industry has too few) from a tenth to ten times its market value, the six closest in size. Updated weekly.

Moderna growth and profitability

Revenue (TTM)
2.53B USD
Net income (TTM)
-2.79B USD
Gross margin
28.00%
Operating margin
-116.04%
Net margin
-110.46%

Revenue / Net income

Revenue Net income Net margin
PeriodRevenueGrowthNet incomeGrowthGross marginOperating marginNet marginEBITDAGrowth
FY20251.94B-39.23%-2.82B—55.35%-158.13%-145.16%-2.55B—
FY20243.20B-53.29%-3.56B—54.24%-123.32%-111.32%-3.39B—
FY20236.85B-63.72%-4.71B-156.37%31.47%-61.90%-68.84%-3.28B-132.99%
FY202218.88B+6.42%8.36B-31.47%71.31%49.91%44.30%9.95B-26.47%
FY202117.74B+2,107.63%12.20B—85.24%74.97%68.80%13.54B—

Moderna revenue breakdown

By product

FY2025
COVID: 93.1%Stand-ready manufacturing revenue: 4.1%Grant revenue: 1.1%Collaboration revenue: 0.7%Licensing and royalty revenue: 0.6%RSV: 0.4%93.1%COVID4.1%Stand-ready manufacturing revenue1.1%Grant revenue
SegmentRevenueShare of revenueChange on the year
COVID1.81B93.1%—
Stand-ready manufacturing revenue80.00M4.1%—
Grant revenue22.00M1.1%-40.5%
Collaboration revenue13.00M0.7%+8.3%
Licensing and royalty revenue11.00M0.6%—
RSV8.00M0.4%—

By region

FY2025
United States: 64.6%Rest Of The World: 32.5%Europe: 2.9%64.6%United States32.5%Rest Of The World2.9%Europe
RegionRevenueShare of revenueChange on the year
United States1.20B64.6%-32.8%
Rest Of The World603.00M32.5%-25.6%
Europe53.00M2.9%-91.1%

Moderna financial health

Cash and short-term investments
5.17B USD
Total debt
4.18B USD
Net cash
992.00M USD
Free cash flow (TTM)
-1.97B USD
Current ratio
3.62
Debt to equity
0.61
Piotroski score
3 / 9
Altman Z-score
9.45

Cash, debt and free cash flow

Cash and short-term investments Total debt Free cash flow
Fiscal yearCash and short-term investmentsTotal debtFree cash flow
FY20255.80B1.90B-2.07B
FY20247.03B747.00M-4.06B
FY20238.60B1.24B-3.83B
FY20229.90B1.20B4.58B
FY202110.73B916.00M13.34B

Moderna ownership

Institutions
82.26%
Institutional holders
870 (+65)
Free float
93.26%

Who owns the shares

Institutions 82.3% Others 17.7%
As of 30 Jun 2026

Shares free to trade

Free float 377.37M shares ·93.3% Closely held 27.26M shares ·6.7%

Closely held shares belong to insiders, founders and owners of more than 5%, and seldom change hands. The free float is the rest: the shares anyone can buy and sell.

Insider trading

QuarterPurchasesSalesShares acquiredShares disposed of
Q4 202603154.36K233.43K
Q3 20260101.10M1.49M
Q2 202605293.96K361.01K
Q1 202602977.85K485.70K

Shares outstanding

Basic shares Diluted shares Change in diluted shares
Fiscal yearBasic sharesDiluted sharesChange in diluted shares
FY2025389.00M389.00M+1.30%
FY2024384.00M384.00M+0.52%
FY2023382.00M382.00M-8.17%
FY2022394.00M416.00M-3.48%
FY2021403.00M431.00M+13.02%

Source: Financial Modeling Prep

Signals
Strategic Pips
Strategic Pips
7 months ago
sell
MRNA
MRNAModerna @53.95
2026-03-26 15:07
MRNA@53.95 Chart
Profit
220.00
USD
4.08%
Strategic Pips
Strategic Pips
1 year ago
buy
MRNA
MRNAModerna @26.15
2025-04-14 07:32
MRNA@26.15 Chart
Profit
164.25
USD
4.19%
Strategic Pips
Strategic Pips
2 years ago
sell
MRNA
MRNAModerna @101.02
2024-02-01 04:45
MRNA@101.02 Chart
Profit
357.00
USD
3.53%
Strategic Pips
Strategic Pips
2 years ago
sell
MRNA
MRNAModerna @101.83
2024-01-29 05:09
MRNA@101.83 Chart
Profit
-175.00
USD
-3.44%
More
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Title: Moderna

Sector: Healthcare
Industry: Biotechnology
Moderna is a commercial-stage biotech that was founded in 2010 and had its initial public offering in 2018. The firm's mRNA technology was rapidly validated with its covid vaccine, which was authorized in the United States in December 2020. Moderna had 25 mRNA development candidates in clinical studies as of March 2026. Programs span a wide range of therapeutic areas, including infectious disease, oncology, cardiovascular disease, and rare genetic diseases.

Common questions about Moderna stock