PGR

Progressive
D

PGR

Arincen72/100B

If you had invested in Progressive ago, it would be worth $9,363 today, against $4,096 in SPY and $6,368 in QQQ.

ArincenArincen ScoreBeta

72/100

Six parts of the company, five checks each, from its own reported figures. A part scores the checks it passes out of 10; the score is their average out of 100.

Profitability10

Plus shows the checks behind each part of the score, what passed, what failed and the figure it read, for every stock.

Cash10

Plus shows the checks behind each part of the score, what passed, what failed and the figure it read, for every stock.

Valuation5

Plus shows the checks behind each part of the score, what passed, what failed and the figure it read, for every stock.

Growth8

Plus shows the checks behind each part of the score, what passed, what failed and the figure it read, for every stock.

Financial strength8

Plus shows the checks behind each part of the score, what passed, what failed and the figure it read, for every stock.

Shareholders2

Plus shows the checks behind each part of the score, what passed, what failed and the figure it read, for every stock.

Figures to FY2025; the price as of today.

Progressive key facts

Style
Value stock · 7.7/10Growth 3.3 · Value 7.7 · Dividend 1.0
Day range
235.870 – 238.000
52-week range
189.200 – 241.020
Market capitalization
137.43B USD
P/E
11.92
EPS
19.90
Div Yield
0.17%
EPS growth forecast (FY2026)
+0.6%
Volume
7,865
Beta
0.24
ESG score
52.9/100Environment 46 · Social 54 · Governance 58
Sector
Financial Services
Industry
Insurance - Property & Casualty
CEO
Susan Patricia Griffith
Employees
70K
IPO date
17 Mar 1980

Progressive earnings

Next earnings · Q4 FY2026
EPS estimate
4.02 USD
Revenue estimate
20.11B USD
Last quarter · Q3 FY2026
EPS4.37Beat +0.5%Revenue22.30BMissed -1.4%

Revenue

ReportedEstimate

EPS

ReportedEstimate
PeriodReport dateEPS estimateReported EPSSurpriseEPS growthRevenue estimateReported revenueSurpriseRevenue growth
Q3 FY20273.62——-17.24%23.52B——+5.45%
Q2 FY20273.90——-19.66%22.35B——+6.03%
Q1 FY20274.40——-8.44%24.19B——+2.33%
Q4 FY20264.02——-13.92%20.11B——+3.09%
Q3 FY20264.354.37+0.46%+7.90%22.61B22.30B-1.37%+4.29%
Q2 FY20264.644.85+4.53%-0.61%19.49B21.08B+8.16%+4.99%
Q1 FY20264.854.81-0.82%+3.44%22.98B23.64B+2.87%+6.46%
Q4 FY20254.444.67+5.18%+14.46%20.30B19.51B-3.90%+7.75%
Q3 FY20254.994.05-18.84%+13.13%21.80B21.38B-1.92%+9.91%
Q2 FY20254.434.88+10.16%+84.15%20.46B20.08B-1.87%+12.15%

Analysts' estimates for FY2026 over the last 7 days:EPS Revenue How the estimates moved

Progressive analyst forecast

12-month price target
223.23 USD
-5.89%

Analysts' 1-year price targets range from 196.00 to 245.00, with an average of 223.23.

Past year
1-year forecast
Strong sellStrong buy
Hold
14 ratings
Buy
4
Hold
9
Sell
1

12-month price target

Highest target245.00
Average target223.23
Lowest target196.00
Current price237.21

Progressive valuation

Price to earnings ratio (TTM)
11.92
Forward P/E (FY2026)
12.92
Price to sales (TTM)
1.50
Price to book
3.99
EV / EBITDA (TTM)
3.05

Capital structure

Market capitalization
137.43B USD
+
Total debt
8.39B USD
−
Cash and short-term investments
99.34B USD
=
Enterprise value
46.48B USD

Valuation over time

P/EForward P/EForward P/E · EstimateEstimate
Fiscal yearP/EForward P/EP/SP/BEV/EBITDA
FY2028 (est.)14.80————
FY2027 (est.)14.6614.80———
FY2026 (est.)12.9214.66———
Now (TTM)11.9214.411.503.993.05
FY202511.8112.401.524.409.47
FY202416.5813.331.865.4813.04
FY202324.1011.831.504.5918.32
FY2022109.0023.291.534.7755.70
FY202118.0425.631.263.2913.58

Progressive against its own history

Each figure in the latest fiscal year against the same figure from FY2021 to FY2025: the range, its median (the line) and the latest (the dot, green on the good side of the median). The P/E is today's against its daily readings of five years.

Its peers: The Travelers Companies, The Allstate, Cincinnati Financial, W. R. Berkley, Markel, and Loews, the US Insurance - Property & Casualty companies closest to it in size, each in its own latest fiscal year: their median (the line) and its rank among them, first being the best.

  • P/E (today)Below its median11.9
    9.7122.1
  • Gross marginHighest in 5 years29.5%
    15.2%29.5%
    Against its peers: 5 of 7Peers' median 38.6%
  • Operating marginHighest in 5 years16.2%
    1.9%16.2%
    Against its peers: 4 of 7Peers' median 16.2%
  • Net marginHighest in 5 years12.9%
    1.5%12.9%
    Against its peers: 3 of 7Peers' median 12.8%
  • Return on equityHighest in 5 years37.3%
    4.5%37.3%
    Against its peers: 1 of 7Peers' median 16.7%
  • Free cash flow marginAbove its median19.6%
    13.2%19.7%
    Against its peers: 4 of 7Peers' median 18.6%
  • Revenue growthAt its median16.3%
    4.0%25.2%
    Against its peers: 1 of 7Peers' median 5.3%
  • EPS growthAt its median33.5%
    -79.2%457.6%
    Against its peers: 2 of 7Peers' median 14.4%
  • Debt to EBITDALowest in 5 years0.47×
    0.47×4.34×
    Against its peers: 2 of 7Peers' median 1.12×
  • Current ratioBelow its median0.59
    0.3711.98
    Against its peers: 4 of 7Peers' median 0.69

Peers: US companies of the same industry (of its sector when the industry has too few) from a tenth to ten times its market value, the six closest in size. Updated weekly.

Progressive growth and profitability

Revenue (TTM)
91.72B USD
Net income (TTM)
11.62B USD
Gross margin
48.12%
Operating margin
16.02%
Net margin
12.67%

Revenue / Net income

Revenue Net income Net margin
PeriodRevenueGrowthNet incomeGrowthGross marginOperating marginNet marginEBITDAGrowth
FY202587.64B+16.32%11.31B+33.35%29.47%16.23%12.90%14.81B+31.38%
FY202475.34B+21.36%8.48B+117.27%27.74%14.22%11.26%11.28B+106.63%
FY202362.08B+25.20%3.90B+440.58%18.95%7.90%6.29%5.46B+270.72%
FY202249.59B+4.01%722.00M-78.45%15.22%1.86%1.46%1.47B-69.11%
FY202147.68B+11.82%3.35B-41.26%21.68%8.83%7.03%4.77B-38.28%

Progressive revenue breakdown

By product

FY2025
Personal Lines: 86.7%Commercial Lines: 13.3%86.7%Personal Lines13.3%Commercial Lines
SegmentRevenueShare of revenueChange on the year
Personal Lines71.84B86.7%+17.8%
Commercial Lines11.02B13.3%+1.3%

How Progressive makes its money

Revenue87.64B 100.0%
Cost of revenue61.81B 70.5%
Gross profit25.83B 29.5%
Other operating expenses11.61B 13.2%
Operating income14.22B 16.2%
Tax2.92B 3.3%
Net income11.31B 12.9%

FY2025, in USD. Each band is as wide as its money; the percentage is its share of revenue.

Progressive dividends

Annual dividend
0.40 USD
Dividend yield (indicated)
0.17%
Payout ratio
69.85%
Frequency
Quarterly
Last payment
0.10 USD
Last ex-dividend date
1 Oct 2026
Last payment date
9 Oct 2026

Dividends per share

Year2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Dividends per share0.300.300.400.406.400.302.811.120.680.89

Progressive financial health

Cash and short-term investments
99.34B USD
Total debt
8.39B USD
Net cash
90.95B USD
Free cash flow (TTM)
15.22B USD
Current ratio
1.46
Debt to equity
0.24
Piotroski score
7 / 9
Altman Z-score
2.71

Cash, debt and free cash flow

Cash and short-term investments Total debt Free cash flow
Fiscal yearCash and short-term investmentsTotal debtFree cash flow
FY202519.84B6.90B17.20B
FY202476.09B6.89B14.83B
FY202362.25B6.89B10.39B
FY202249.72B6.39B6.56B
FY202145.00B4.90B7.52B

Progressive ownership

Institutions
87.83%
Institutional holders
1,888 (+57)
Free float
99.73%

Who owns the shares

Institutions 87.8% Others 12.2%
As of 30 Jun 2026

Shares free to trade

Free float 577.82M shares ·99.7% Closely held 1.55M shares ·0.3%

Closely held shares belong to insiders, founders and owners of more than 5%, and seldom change hands. The free float is the rest: the shares anyone can buy and sell.

Insider trading

QuarterPurchasesSalesShares acquiredShares disposed of
Q4 2026012.48K1.23K
Q3 2026010251.83K225.31K
Q2 20260525.16K22.27K
Q1 202607173.62K118.88K

Shares outstanding

Basic shares Diluted shares Change in diluted shares
Fiscal yearBasic sharesDiluted sharesChange in diluted shares
FY2025586.30M588.20M+0.09%
FY2024585.50M587.70M+0.03%
FY2023584.90M587.50M+0.07%
FY2022584.40M587.10M0.00%
FY2021584.50M587.10M-0.09%

Source: Financial Modeling PrepVerified against SEC filings

Related Instruments

Title: Progressive Corp

Sector: Financial Services
Industry: Insurance - Property & Casualty
The Progressive Corporation is an American diversified insurance holding company. It is, by many measures, the largest commercial auto insurer and the third-largest insurance carrier in the US. The company’s segments include Personal Lines, Commercial Lines and Property. The company was co-founded in 1937 by Jack Green and Joseph M. Lewis and is headquartered in Mayfield Village, Ohio. The company is consistently ranked in the top 100 of the Fortune 500 top American corporations by revenue. The Progressive Corporation insures, among other items, passenger vehicles, motorcycles, RVs, trailers and commercial vehicles. Its domestic insurance divisions provide home, life, pet, and additional insurance.

Common questions about Progressive stock