The Bank of England (BOE) has cut interest rates for the first time since the pandemic, reducing the benchmark from 5.25% to 5%. This move, marking a significant shift after the longest series of rate hikes in a century, comes as a relief to households facing the highest borrowing costs in 16 years.
The decision was contentious, with a close 5-4 vote among the Bank's monetary policy committee members. Governor Andrew Bailey emphasized the need for caution to prevent inflation from resurging, particularly as the UK economy shows signs of strengthening, potentially pushing inflation upwards.
Inflation in the UK had slowed to 2% in May and stayed there in June, aligning with the Bank's target for the first time in nearly three years. However, the BOE expects inflation to rise in the short term due to the diminishing effects of recent drops in household energy prices, before falling below the 2% target within two years. This decision follows the US Federal Reserve's choice to hold rates steady, though future cuts remain possible for both institutions.
What Does This Mean for Me?
Concerns persist among some BOE policymakers about the persistence of inflation, especially in the services sector, which stands at 5.7%. Monetary policy will remain restrictive until inflation risks are sufficiently mitigated. Analysts predict the next rate cut might not occur until November, reflecting a cautious approach.